Who Should I Draft?

Gerrit Cole or Blake Snell (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Expert
Recommendation
85%
Recommended by
50 of 59 experts
15%
Recommended by
9 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 5# 8
Best Rank# 4# 3
Worst Rank# 10# 16
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 27# 28
Best Rank# 24# 27
Worst Rank# 28# 30
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts237216
Wins1514
Saves00
ERA3.313.15
WHIP1.131.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 6# 12
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 7
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 10
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 4# 11
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 7
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 5# 9
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 12
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 8
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 10# 11
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 5# 10
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 5# 7
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 14
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 5# 9
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 6
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 8
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 5# 7
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 9
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 5# 9
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 5# 8
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 6# 9
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 4# 9
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 6# 10
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 7
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 5# 8
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 5# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 4# 9
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 8# 12
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 16
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 6# 8
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 8
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 7# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 11
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 6# 7
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 5# 6
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 7
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 7# 9
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 6# 8
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 8
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 5# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 9
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 6# 11
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 8# 9
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 5# 8
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 5# 7
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 4# 6
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 6# 9
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 8
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 8
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 5
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 7# 5
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 7# 6
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 7# 3
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 8# 7
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 9# 5
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 9# 6
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 9# 7
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 10# 7
   
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3231
   
Games Started3231
   
Innings Pitched200.2181.1
   
Wins1521
   
Losses55
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed143112
   
Earned Runs6438
   
Home Runs Allowed1916
   
Strikeouts276221
   
Walks6464
   
ERA2.881.89
   
WHIP1.030.97
   
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3232
   
Games Started3232
   
Innings Pitched196.9182.9
   
Wins1514
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed164145
   
Earned Runs7264
   
Home Runs Allowed2319
   
Strikeouts237216
   
Walks5972
   
ERA3.313.15
   
WHIP1.131.18
   
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
News 
 Gerrit Cole (17-5) allowed four hits and two walks while striking out 11 through eight scoreless innings in Friday's 4-1 win over the Royals. He earned his 17th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 14th
Blake Snell (elbow) is scheduled to return on Tuesday versus the Dodgers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 13th
 Gerrit Cole (16-5) allowed one run on one hit with no walks while striking out 15 in Sunday's 21-1 win over the Mariners. He picked up his 16th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 9th
Blake Snell (elbow) is joining the Rays in California for their upcoming series against the Angels and Dodgers, MLB Network Radio on SiriusXM reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 13th
 Gerrit Cole allowed one run on three hits and two walks while striking out 14 through six innings in Monday's 3-2 win over the Brewers. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Tue, Sep 3rd
Blake Snell is scheduled to throw two innings (or 30 pitches) for Triple-A Durham on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 10th
 Gerrit Cole allowed four runs on six hits while striking out 14 through six 2/3 innings in Wednesday's 8-6 win over the Rays. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 29th
Blake Snell (elbow) will make a rehab start Saturday for Triple-A Durham, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 6th
 Cole (15-5) allowed two hits and one walk while striking out 12 through seven scoreless innings in Thursday's 6-3 win over the Tigers. He picked up his 15th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Fri, Aug 23rd
Blake Snell (elbow) is set to play catch Monday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Mon, Aug 12th
Notes 
 You can look at Cole's 3.50 second half ERA and assume he got worse over the season, but all the underlying numbers suggest he was actually better. Don't shy away from him because of a false fear of his risk. Rather, expect another 250+ strikeouts with plenty of wins and excellent ratios
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Snell may have posted the single greatest second half of any pitcher in the last 50 years with a 1.17 ERA, .155 BAA and 12.7 K/9. There is a chance he finishes as the #1 fantasy pitcher this season, but both Scherzer and Sale are safer bets because of their sustained reliability
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Cole was trending in a bad direction over his last couple years in Pittsburgh, but a move to Houston completely revived his career. As an Astro, Cole ditched an ineffective sinker and dramatically increased his spin rate on his fastball, and the result was a career-best 12.4 K/9 rate along with a shiny 2.88 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Cole doesn't have the extended track record of dominance that some of the other fantasy aces possess, but there is little reason to doubt that he can replicate his success in his second season in Houston.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Snell experienced a massive breakout in 2018, establishing himself as a bonafide fantasy ace. It's fairly obvious that his 1.89 ERA is due for some regression, but the question is how much. He cut his walk rate, but it is still a bit higher than most of the top-tier starters, and his .241 BABIP allowed and 88 percent left-on-base percentage are highly unlikely to happen again. Pitching in the AL East also remain a tough assignment, although at least his home park is pitcher-friendly. Snell may see his ERA and WHIP rise to over 3.00 and 1.15, respectively, but he can still be a legit number one starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 The Astros unlocked Cole's ace upside by tabling a middling sinker for more sliders and curveballs. He also revamped his fastball, which yielded a .268 wOBA after allowing a .334 wOBA in his last year with the Pirates. As a result, his strikeout and swinging-strike rates skyrocketed to 34.5 and 14.1%, respectively. His contact rate dropped eight points to 71.5, and he earned his 2.88 ERA with a 2.70 FIP and 2.91 SIERA. Trust the breakout and treat the strikeout artist on a title contender as a borderline top-five hurler alongside teammate Justin Verlander.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Snell is going to regress. That's not necessarily a cause for panic, as his ERA could rise a full run and remain a resounding 2.89. His control (9.1 BB%) is lacking for a top-tier ace, but Tampa Bay's southpaw also permitted the lowest contact rate (66.6%) of all qualified starters while sporting the fourth-best swinging-strike rate (15.1%). He could approach 240-250 strikeouts with an innings uptick, so don't flea as long as his price factors in some regression.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros