Who Should I Draft?

Gerrit Cole or Carlos Carrasco (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
Expert
Recommendation
95%
Recommended by
53 of 56 experts
5%
Recommended by
3 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 5# 9
Best Rank# 4# 7
Worst Rank# 10# 15
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 27# 36
Best Rank# 24# 33
Worst Rank# 28# 40
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts237215
Wins1515
Saves00
ERA3.313.31
WHIP1.131.12
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 6# 10
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 8
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 4# 10
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 9# 10
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 8# 9
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 11
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 5# 8
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 12
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 9
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 5# 9
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 5# 11
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 11
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 5# 8
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 9# 11
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 7# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 10
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 7
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 5# 15
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 8
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 5# 8
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 5# 9
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 6# 8
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 4# 8
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 6# 7
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 8
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 5# 10
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 5# 8
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 4# 10
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 8# 9
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 9
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 10
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 6# 11
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 6# 11
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 11
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 7# 12
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 8
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 6# 8
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 5# 10
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 7# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 6# 11
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 7# 12
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 6# 7
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 10
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 7# 10
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 5# 11
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 6# 8
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 5# 9
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 6# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 7
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 9# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 11
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 7
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 10# 8
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 10# 8
   
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3232
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched200.2192.0
   
Wins1517
   
Losses510
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed143173
   
Earned Runs6472
   
Home Runs Allowed1921
   
Strikeouts276231
   
Walks6443
   
ERA2.883.38
   
WHIP1.031.13
   
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3230
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched196.9189.4
   
Wins1515
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed164168
   
Earned Runs7270
   
Home Runs Allowed2322
   
Strikeouts237215
   
Walks5944
   
ERA3.313.31
   
WHIP1.131.12
   
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
News 
 Gerrit Cole allowed one run on six hits and three walks over six innings against the Reds on Wednesday. He struck out eight and did not factor into the decision.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 20th
The Indians have placed Carlos Carrasco on the 10-day injured list with a blood condition.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
 Gerrit Cole surrendered two runs on three hits, two walks, and 10 strikeouts through six innings on Friday against Toronto.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Jun 15th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco struggled in a 10-4 loss to the White Sox on Thursday. Carrasco allowed six runs in 6 1/3 innings while striking out seven.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, May 31st
 Gerrit Cole allowed three runs (one earned) on four hits over seven innings against the Orioles Friday. He struck out 14.
Dan Harris
Mon, Jun 10th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco struggled in his team's 6-2 loss to the Rays on Saturday. Carrasco allowed six runs (five earned) in 6 1/3 innings of work while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, May 26th
 Gerrit Cole allowed two runs on four hits, two walks, and four strikeouts through six innings on Sunday against Oakland.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Jun 3rd
Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco worked hard to get through five innings in a 6-4 loss to Oakland on Monday. Carrasco threw 100 pitches and allowed three runs while striking out four.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, May 21st
 Gerrit Cole allowed two runs on three hits, one walk, and 12 strikeouts through six innings on Monday against the Cubs.
Kamran Hoda
Tue, May 28th
Carlos Carrasco's next start is being pushed back to Monday due to Adam Plutko starting on Saturday. He'll face Oakland on Monday.
Kamran Hoda
Thu, May 16th
Notes 
 You can look at Cole's 3.50 second half ERA and assume he got worse over the season, but all the underlying numbers suggest he was actually better. Don't shy away from him because of a false fear of his risk. Rather, expect another 250+ strikeouts with plenty of wins and excellent ratios
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Although Cleveland doesn't pay him like it, Carrasco has been a true ace for five straight years, posting a sparkling 3.27 ERA with 193 Ks per season in that time. There is more upside with a pitcher like Syndergaard or Strasburg, but Carrasco's floor makes him one of the top 15 pitchers in this year's fantasy drafts
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Cole was trending in a bad direction over his last couple years in Pittsburgh, but a move to Houston completely revived his career. As an Astro, Cole ditched an ineffective sinker and dramatically increased his spin rate on his fastball, and the result was a career-best 12.4 K/9 rate along with a shiny 2.88 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Cole doesn't have the extended track record of dominance that some of the other fantasy aces possess, but there is little reason to doubt that he can replicate his success in his second season in Houston.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
While he is not quite as dominant as the top-tier fantasy aces, Carrasco has been consistently excellent over the last five seasons in Cleveland, churning out a low-3.00s ERA and 1.10-ish WHIP, while striking out well more than a batter per inning. And although he has had health concerns at times, Carrasco has been something of a workhorse of late, tossing at least 192 innings and collecting at least 17 wins each of the last two seasons. Carrasco's terrific year-to-year consistency makes him a prudent choice once the top-six aces are off the board.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 The Astros unlocked Cole's ace upside by tabling a middling sinker for more sliders and curveballs. He also revamped his fastball, which yielded a .268 wOBA after allowing a .334 wOBA in his last year with the Pirates. As a result, his strikeout and swinging-strike rates skyrocketed to 34.5 and 14.1%, respectively. His contact rate dropped eight points to 71.5, and he earned his 2.88 ERA with a 2.70 FIP and 2.91 SIERA. Trust the breakout and treat the strikeout artist on a title contender as a borderline top-five hurler alongside teammate Justin Verlander.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
To little fanfare, Carrasco has finally morphed into the ace everyone has chased for years. Dealing with durability problems throughout his career, Cleveland's overlooked stud has posted ERAs of 3.29 and 3.38 in 200 and 192 innings, respectively, over the last two years. Each time he notched a K/9 above 10.0 and BB/9 slightly above 2.00. He ranked inside the top 10 in FIP (2.98), swinging-strike rate (15.2%), and contact rate (69.2%) among qualified starters in 2018, but isn't always getting drafted like a top-10 ace. He's a great affordable anchor to target in the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros