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Who Should I Draft?

Gerrit Cole or Christian Yelich (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
35 of 55 experts
36%
Recommended by
20 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 9
Best Rank# 4# 5
Worst Rank# 24# 15
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 7# 12
Best Rank# 5# 9
Worst Rank# 8# 13
   
Projections 
   
Runs103
Home Runs3036
RBI93
Stolen Bases18
Batting Avg.283
Strikeouts262154
Wins16
Saves0
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 8# 9
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 6# 10
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 15
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 7
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 12
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 6# 12
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 9# 15
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 8# 9
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 12
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 8# 9
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 14
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 8# 9
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 6# 8
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 8# 9
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 6# 12
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 8# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 15
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 11
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 8# 10
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 9# 12
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 8# 12
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 7# 14
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 8# 9
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 7# 11
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 9# 13
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 8# 14
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 8# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 8# 7
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 9# 5
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 6
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 6
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 11# 9
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 8
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 11# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 12# 9
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 12# 5
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 12# 5
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 12# 10
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 12# 9
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 12# 7
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 12# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 12# 5
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 13# 10
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 8
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 17# 11
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 24# 10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs39
   
Home Runs1412
   
RBI22
   
Stolen Bases4
   
Batting Avg.205
   
Strikeouts9476
   
Wins7
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.84
   
WHIP0.96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs103
   
Home Runs3036
   
RBI93
   
Stolen Bases18
   
Batting Avg.283
   
Strikeouts262154
   
Wins16
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.18
   
WHIP1.03
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
News 
 Gerrit Cole allowed four hits and no walks while striking out 12 in six scoreless innings to earn the win against the Tigers on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, May 1st
After returning from the IL on Monday, Christian Yelich is set to spend at least another 10 days on there. Manager Craig Counsell said "there's something else we haven't diagnosed," meaning this could be a longer absence than just the 10 days.
Ethan Biddle
Tue, May 4th
 Gerrit Cole picked up the win in Saturday's 2-1 victory over Cleveland, allowing one run on three hits over seven innings. He struck out 11 without walking a batter.
John Aubin
Sun, Apr 25th
Christian Yelich went 2-for-4 in Monday's loss to the Phillies.
Connor Rooney
Tue, May 4th
 Gerrit Cole gave up three runs (two earned) on five hits with 10 strikeouts and no walks over 6 1/3 innings on Sunday in a loss to the Rays.
John Aubin
Sun, Apr 18th
Brewers star OF Christian Yelich (back) was reinstated from the 10-day injured list Monday.
Brad Camara
Mon, May 3rd
 Gerrit Cole picked up the win in Monday's 3-1 victory over the Blue Jays, allowing one run on three hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out eight.
John Aubin
Tue, Apr 13th
Brewers OF Christian Yelich (back) is playing in a simulated game on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 29th
 Gerrit Cole earned the win by pitching seven scoreless innings with 13 strikeouts against the Orioles on Tuesday, allowing four hits and no walks.
John Aubin
Wed, Apr 7th
Brewers OF Christian Yelich (back) resumed hitting in the cage on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 28th
Notes 
 Cole was pretty much as advertised in his first season with the Yankees. His ERA rose a tad, as did his home run rate as expected, and his strikeout rate fell a bit, though it remained at an absurdly high level. And, for the most part, all of his expected metrics fell off a tad from his 2019 season. But Cole's numbers from that season were so dominating that he could withstand plenty of regression and still be one of the best pitchers in fantasy. As such, he'll head into 2021 close to the way he came into the 2020 season: a dominant, high-strikeout, low-walk starter who will throw plenty of innings and who is more likely to finish as the top overall fantasy pitcher than he is to finish outside the top-10. It's a matter of personal preference between Cole and Jacob deGrom as the first pitcher off the board, but neither should fall outside the top-10 overall picks on draft day.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Yelich's 2020 season was, in a word, bizarre. After batting .327 combined from 2018-2019, his batting average dropped to a meager .205 last year. Although he hit the ball as hard as ever, setting career highs in average exit velocity and hard hit percentage, his strikeout rate ballooned more than 10 points to 30.8%. At the same time, Yelich's walk rate jumped up to 18.6%. Unsurprisingly, the reason for the jump in both Yelich's strikeouts and walks was that he simply swung less - just 34.6% of the time after his mark hovered above 44% the previous two seasons. If Yelich takes the same passive approach in 2021, then it's likely that his batting average will remain below what fantasy managers had come to expect. But considering that his season was so out of line with what he'd produced since coming to Milwaukee, fantasy managers should expect far more this season, and feel confident drafting him late in the first round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Yelich was a bust for those who used a top-three selection on him in 2020 fantasy drafts. Don't let that scare you off, however. One of the biggest factors we need to consider for draft prep this year is how much should we weigh 2020? Yelich actually had a higher average exit velocity, a higher hard-hit rate, and a better walk rate than he did in 2019. He was just striking out way more often than usual. That, to me, looks like a profile in which Yelich would've eventually rebounded over the course of a full year. Perhaps he was pressing due to the depletion of Milwaukee's lineup, but Yelich's batted ball data is fine. I'm taking the discount and drafting him in the late-first with confidence.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros