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Who Should I Draft?

Gerrit Cole or Cody Bellinger (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Expert
Recommendation
69%
Recommended by
9 of 13 experts
31%
Recommended by
4 of 13 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 10# 14
Best Rank# 6# 3
Worst Rank# 19# 17
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 6# 14
Best Rank# 6# 14
Worst Rank# 7# 14
   
Projections 
   
Runs101
Home Runs3138
RBI106
Stolen Bases14
Batting Avg.280
Strikeouts262122
Wins16
Saves0
ERA3.29
WHIP1.07
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 15
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 14
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 12# 14
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 17
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 11# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 8# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 7# 11
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 7# 14
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 7# 5
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 7# 3
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 12# 11
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs33
   
Home Runs1412
   
RBI30
   
Stolen Bases6
   
Batting Avg.239
   
Strikeouts9442
   
Wins7
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.84
   
WHIP0.96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs101
   
Home Runs3138
   
RBI106
   
Stolen Bases14
   
Batting Avg.280
   
Strikeouts262122
   
Wins16
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.29
   
WHIP1.07
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
News 
  Cody Bellinger and the Dodgers avoid arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $16.1 million deal.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jan 15th
Notes 
 Cole was pretty much as advertised in his first season with the Yankees. His ERA rose a tad, as did his home run rate as expected, and his strikeout rate fell a bit, though it remained at an absurdly high level. And, for the most part, all of his expected metrics fell off a tad from his 2019 season. But Cole's numbers from that season were so dominating that he could withstand plenty of regression and still be one of the best pitchers in fantasy. As such, he'll head into 2021 close to the way he came into the 2020 season: a dominant, high-strikeout, low-walk starter who will throw plenty of innings and who is more likely to finish as the top overall fantasy pitcher than he is to finish outside the top-10. It's a matter of personal preference between Cole and Jacob deGrom as the first pitcher off the board, but neither should fall outside the top-10 overall picks on draft day.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Bellinger was unable to replicate the magic of his 2019 breakout during last year's shortened season. His average dipped to .239, the worst mark of his career, his power dropped significantly, and he didn't make the same quality of contact. But although he slid backwards in his walk and strikeout rates, his regression there was minimal, and his expected batting average was .284. In other words, Bellinger got worse in 2020, but it wasn't quite as bad as the surface numbers suggest. He did have offseason shoulder surgery after getting injured during a post-season celebration, and that's always a bit worrisome for a hitter. But given that a "down" year for Bellinger at this point is a 30-15 season, he warrants being selected early in the second round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros