Who Should I Draft?

Gerrit Cole or Justin Verlander (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Justin Verlander
SP - HOU
Justin Verlander
Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Expert
Recommendation
88%
Recommended by
49 of 56 experts
13%
Recommended by
7 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 5
Best Rank# 2# 4
Worst Rank# 10# 10
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 21# 27
Best Rank# 17# 24
Worst Rank# 23# 28
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts243237
Wins1615
Saves00
ERA3.133.31
WHIP1.041.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 5# 6
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 5
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 6
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 4# 9
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 5# 8
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 4# 5
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 5
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 5# 9
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 4# 6
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 7# 10
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 4# 5
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 4# 5
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 4# 5
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 5# 9
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 6# 7
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 5
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 4# 6
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 4# 5
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 5
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 4# 6
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 4# 6
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 5
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 4# 5
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 4# 5
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 6# 8
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 7
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 3# 9
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 4# 6
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 4# 6
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 4# 6
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 5# 7
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 4# 6
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 3# 5
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 5
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 6# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 7
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 5# 7
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 3# 6
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 4# 7
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 2# 7
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 3# 5
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 4# 6
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 4# 5
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 5# 6
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 6
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 7# 9
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 4# 5
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 5# 4
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 4
   
Staff Rankings
ScoutFantasySports
# 7# 4
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 4
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 9# 5
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 6# 5
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 10# 8
   
  Justin Verlander
SP - HOU
Justin Verlander
Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3432
   
Games Started3432
   
Innings Pitched214.0200.3
   
Wins1615
   
Losses95
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156143
   
Earned Runs6064
   
Home Runs Allowed2819
   
Strikeouts290276
   
Walks3764
   
ERA2.522.88
   
WHIP0.901.03
   
  Justin Verlander
SP - HOU
Justin Verlander
Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3132
   
Games Started3232
   
Innings Pitched200.0196.9
   
Wins1615
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed158164
   
Earned Runs7072
   
Home Runs Allowed2623
   
Strikeouts243237
   
Walks5059
   
ERA3.133.31
   
WHIP1.041.13
   
  Justin Verlander
SP - HOU
Justin Verlander
Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
News 
 Justin Verlander allowed one run on four hits, no walks, and eight strikeouts through eight innings pitched on Wednesday against the Twins.
Kamran Hoda
Thu, Apr 25th
Gerrit Cole allowed two runs on three hits, three walks, and 10 strikeouts against the Indians on Thursday.
Kamran Hoda
Fri, Apr 26th
 Justin Verlander allowed one run on three hits, three walks, and eight strikeouts on Friday against the Rangers.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Apr 20th
Gerrit Cole allowed nine runs (eight earned) on nine hits and three walks over 4 1/3 innings against the Rangers on Saturday. He struck out eight and took the loss, falling to 1-3.
Dan Harris
Mon, Apr 22nd
 Justin Verlander allowed one run on two hits, no walks, and 11 strikeouts on Saturday against Seattle.
Kamran Hoda
Sun, Apr 14th
Gerrit Cole allowed two runs on four hits over six innings in Sunday's win over the Mariners. He struck out 11 and earned the win, moving to 1-2 on the season.
Dan Harris
Mon, Apr 15th
 Justin Verlander allowed three runs on seven hits, two walks, and six strikeouts on Monday against the Yankees through six innings pitched.
Kamran Hoda
Tue, Apr 9th
Gerrit Cole pitched seven strong innings and only allowed three earned runs. Cole also fanned six, walked three, gave up one home run and four hits.
Garett Thomas
Wed, Apr 10th
 Justin Verlander allowed four runs on six hits, three walks, and four strikeouts through four innings pitched.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Apr 3rd
Gerrit Cole allowed three runs on four hits, three walks, and nine strikeouts through six innings pitched on Wednesday against the Rangers.
Kamran Hoda
Thu, Apr 4th
Notes 
 Verlander may be turning 36 years old soon, but his velocity is still as impressive as ever and he 2018 was actually his best K% (34.8%, second best 28.1%) of his career while his BB% (4.4%) was his lowest. Don't avoid him because of his age. He is rocking better than ever before
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
You can look at Cole's 3.50 second half ERA and assume he got worse over the season, but all the underlying numbers suggest he was actually better. Don't shy away from him because of a false fear of his risk. Rather, expect another 250+ strikeouts with plenty of wins and excellent ratios
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Verlander has had a long and illustrious career, but he's actually been better than ever since he joined Houston late in the 2017 season. In particular, Verlander has experienced a major boost in his strikeout rate and a big drop in his walk rate since he became an Astro, to the point where he led the league with an absurd 7.84 K/BB ratio last season. If he can manage to perform that feat again, he could produce another season with a sub-3.00 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Cole was trending in a bad direction over his last couple years in Pittsburgh, but a move to Houston completely revived his career. As an Astro, Cole ditched an ineffective sinker and dramatically increased his spin rate on his fastball, and the result was a career-best 12.4 K/9 rate along with a shiny 2.88 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Cole doesn't have the extended track record of dominance that some of the other fantasy aces possess, but there is little reason to doubt that he can replicate his success in his second season in Houston.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Pitchers aren't supposed to dominate like this in their mid-30s. In his age-35 campaign, Verlander defied the aging curve by posting a 2.90 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and MLB-high 34.8 K% in 214 innings. He has recorded a 2.97 ERA over the last three seasons, clearing 200 innings and strikeouts apiece each time. Including the playoffs, he has notched a 2.41 ERA since joining the Astros, so age is the only justification to avoid him as a top-five ace. Don't be afraid to grab him near the end-of-second, early-third round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
The Astros unlocked Cole's ace upside by tabling a middling sinker for more sliders and curveballs. He also revamped his fastball, which yielded a .268 wOBA after allowing a .334 wOBA in his last year with the Pirates. As a result, his strikeout and swinging-strike rates skyrocketed to 34.5 and 14.1%, respectively. His contact rate dropped eight points to 71.5, and he earned his 2.88 ERA with a 2.70 FIP and 2.91 SIERA. Trust the breakout and treat the strikeout artist on a title contender as a borderline top-five hurler alongside teammate Justin Verlander.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros