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Who Should I Draft?

Gerrit Cole or Max Scherzer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
51 of 51 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 2# 9
Best Rank# 1# 4
Worst Rank# 5# 14
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 7# 23
Best Rank# 5# 21
Worst Rank# 8# 25
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts262232
Wins1613
Saves00
ERA3.183.36
WHIP1.031.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-DTD
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 7
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 2# 10
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 2# 4
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 2# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 8
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 2# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 2# 6
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 2# 6
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 2# 8
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 2# 8
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 2# 7
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 3# 7
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 3# 4
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 2# 6
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 8
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 2# 10
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 2# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 2# 9
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 2# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 2# 9
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 3# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 2# 9
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 2# 10
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 2# 9
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 3# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 2# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 3# 4
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 2# 13
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 2# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 7
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 2# 9
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 2# 12
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 2# 11
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 3# 7
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 2# 8
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 3# 10
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 3# 8
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 3# 11
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 2# 7
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 2# 9
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 2# 12
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 2# 9
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 1# 14
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 2# 11
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 2# 12
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 2# 7
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched73.167.1
   
Wins75
   
Losses34
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5370
   
Earned Runs2328
   
Home Runs Allowed1410
   
Strikeouts9492
   
Walks1723
   
ERA2.843.74
   
WHIP0.961.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3230
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched197.9179.4
   
Wins1613
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed153152
   
Earned Runs7067
   
Home Runs Allowed3025
   
Strikeouts262232
   
Walks5247
   
ERA3.183.36
   
WHIP1.031.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
News 
 Gerrit Cole allowed two earned runs on five hits while striking out nine across six innings, earning the win over the Twins on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 10th
The Nationals placed Max Scherzer on the 10-day IL with groin inflammation. The move is retroactive to Saturday.
Dan Harris
Tue, Jun 15th
 Gerrit Cole allowed five runs on five hits and two walks while striking out seven in five innings to take the loss against the Rays on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 4th
Nationals RHP Max Scherzer (groin) told reporters on Monday that he won't be able to make his next scheduled start on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 14th
 Gerrit Cole allowed one earned run on six hits and one walk while striking out five across six innings in the loss to the Tigers on Friday. He did not factor into the decision.
John Aubin
Sat, May 29th
Max Scherzer noted that he tweaked his groin, which caused him to leave Friday's start. Scherzer underwent an MRI and doesn't have a groin strain. He's currently listed as day-to-day.
Corbin Young
Sat, Jun 12th
 Gerrit Cole earned the win Saturday against the White Sox after giving up four hits with seven strikeouts and three walks over seven shutout innings.
John Aubin
Sun, May 23rd
Nationals starter Max Scherzer left Friday's game against the San Francisco Giants in the first inning after throwing just 12 pitches due to an apparent injury.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Jun 11th
 Gerrit Cole took the loss Monday, giving up five runs on seven hits and two walks over five-plus innings as the Yankees were downed 5-2 by the Rangers. He struck out seven.
John Aubin
Tue, May 18th
Thursday’s game between the Nationals and the Giants has been postponed due to inclement weather.
Brad Camara
Thu, Jun 10th
Notes 
 Cole was pretty much as advertised in his first season with the Yankees. His ERA rose a tad, as did his home run rate as expected, and his strikeout rate fell a bit, though it remained at an absurdly high level. And, for the most part, all of his expected metrics fell off a tad from his 2019 season. But Cole's numbers from that season were so dominating that he could withstand plenty of regression and still be one of the best pitchers in fantasy. As such, he'll head into 2021 close to the way he came into the 2020 season: a dominant, high-strikeout, low-walk starter who will throw plenty of innings and who is more likely to finish as the top overall fantasy pitcher than he is to finish outside the top-10. It's a matter of personal preference between Cole and Jacob deGrom as the first pitcher off the board, but neither should fall outside the top-10 overall picks on draft day.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros