Who Should I Draft?

Gerrit Cole or Trevor Bauer (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Trevor Bauer
SP - CLE
Trevor Bauer
Expert
Recommendation
88%
Recommended by
49 of 56 experts
13%
Recommended by
7 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 5# 10
Best Rank# 4# 1
Worst Rank# 10# 17
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 27# 31
Best Rank# 24# 30
Worst Rank# 28# 46
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts237218
Wins1514
Saves00
ERA3.313.33
WHIP1.131.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 6# 15
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 15
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 9
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 4# 8
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 8# 10
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 5# 11
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 11
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 9
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 7
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 10# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 5# 8
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 5# 9
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 17
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 5# 10
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 7# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 11
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 5# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 10
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 5# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 6# 11
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 4# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 6# 9
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 9
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 5# 7
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 5# 7
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 4# 7
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 17
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 6# 10
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 6# 10
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 7# 10
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 6# 11
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 5# 7
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 8
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 7# 8
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 6# 8
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 7# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 6# 11
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 7# 8
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 5# 8
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 6# 9
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 5# 11
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 6# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 10
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 9# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 5
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 5
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 5
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 8# 1
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 9# 8
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 9# 8
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 10# 9
   
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Trevor Bauer
SP - CLE
Trevor Bauer
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3228
   
Games Started3227
   
Innings Pitched200.2175.1
   
Wins1512
   
Losses56
   
Saves01
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed143134
   
Earned Runs6443
   
Home Runs Allowed199
   
Strikeouts276221
   
Walks6457
   
ERA2.882.21
   
WHIP1.031.09
   
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Trevor Bauer
SP - CLE
Trevor Bauer
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3231
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched196.9187.0
   
Wins1514
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed164160
   
Earned Runs7269
   
Home Runs Allowed2319
   
Strikeouts237218
   
Walks5962
   
ERA3.313.33
   
WHIP1.131.19
   
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Trevor Bauer
SP - CLE
Trevor Bauer
News 
 Gerrit Cole allowed one run on six hits and three walks over six innings against the Reds on Wednesday. He struck out eight and did not factor into the decision.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 20th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer struggled in a 7-6 win over the Tigers on Friday. He gave up five runs on 10 hits over four innings of work.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 22nd
 Gerrit Cole surrendered two runs on three hits, two walks, and 10 strikeouts through six innings on Friday against Toronto.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Jun 15th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer pitched a complete game shutout in an 8-0 win over the Tigers on Sunday. Bauer struck out eight and allowed just four baserunners in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Jun 17th
 Gerrit Cole allowed three runs (one earned) on four hits over seven innings against the Orioles Friday. He struck out 14.
Dan Harris
Mon, Jun 10th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer was excellent in a 2-1 win over the Reds on Tuesday. Bauer held Cincinnati to one run over 7 2/3 innings while striking out six and walking five.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Jun 12th
 Gerrit Cole allowed two runs on four hits, two walks, and four strikeouts through six innings on Sunday against Oakland.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Jun 3rd
Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer gave up three homers in a 5-4 loss to the Twins on Thursday. Bauer went eight innings, giving up five runs and striking out seven.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
 Gerrit Cole allowed two runs on three hits, one walk, and 12 strikeouts through six innings on Monday against the Cubs.
Kamran Hoda
Tue, May 28th
Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer was let down by his defense in a 6-1 loss to the White Sox on Friday. Bauer allowed six runs, but only two earned runs, in seven innings. He struck out eight in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 1st
Notes 
 You can look at Cole's 3.50 second half ERA and assume he got worse over the season, but all the underlying numbers suggest he was actually better. Don't shy away from him because of a false fear of his risk. Rather, expect another 250+ strikeouts with plenty of wins and excellent ratios
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Prior to an injury in the second half, Bauer was among the top pitchers in baseball. He still struck out 221 batters in 175 innings, but with health, those numbers could easily climb to 270 in 215 innings
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Cole was trending in a bad direction over his last couple years in Pittsburgh, but a move to Houston completely revived his career. As an Astro, Cole ditched an ineffective sinker and dramatically increased his spin rate on his fastball, and the result was a career-best 12.4 K/9 rate along with a shiny 2.88 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Cole doesn't have the extended track record of dominance that some of the other fantasy aces possess, but there is little reason to doubt that he can replicate his success in his second season in Houston.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bauer took a big step forward as a pitcher in 2017, and then last year he finally put it all together and performed like an ace. The big increase in his strikeout rate over the last two seasons is the biggest ingredient in his success, but he was also somewhat fortunate in terms of his home run rate last year after being unlucky in that regard the previous season. His walk rate is still a bit high, and he is a little risky just based on the fact that he had never produced a sub-4.00 ERA or sub-1.30 WHIP before last year, but the skills are certainly there for another strong season.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 The Astros unlocked Cole's ace upside by tabling a middling sinker for more sliders and curveballs. He also revamped his fastball, which yielded a .268 wOBA after allowing a .334 wOBA in his last year with the Pirates. As a result, his strikeout and swinging-strike rates skyrocketed to 34.5 and 14.1%, respectively. His contact rate dropped eight points to 71.5, and he earned his 2.88 ERA with a 2.70 FIP and 2.91 SIERA. Trust the breakout and treat the strikeout artist on a title contender as a borderline top-five hurler alongside teammate Justin Verlander.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
A viable Cy Young Award contender before suffering a stress fracture in his right fibula, Bauer boasted a 2.21 ERA and 221 strikeouts over 175.1 spectacular frames. Only Jacob deGrom bested him in FIP (2.44), and he leaned more on a slider that yielded a -8 wRC+. If the injury depresses his value, pounce on a top-10 stud.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros