Who Should I Draft?

Gerrit Cole or Trevor Bauer (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
Expert
Recommendation
88%
Recommended by
52 of 59 experts
12%
Recommended by
7 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 5# 10
Best Rank# 4# 1
Worst Rank# 10# 17
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 27# 31
Best Rank# 24# 30
Worst Rank# 28# 46
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts237218
Wins1514
Saves00
ERA3.313.33
WHIP1.131.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 6# 15
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 15
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 9
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 4# 8
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 8# 10
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 5# 11
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 11
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 9
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 7
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 10# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 5# 8
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 5# 9
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 17
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 5# 10
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 7# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 11
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 5# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 10
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 5# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 6# 11
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 4# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 6# 9
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 9
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 5# 7
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 5# 7
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 4# 7
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 17
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 6# 10
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 7# 10
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 6# 11
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 5# 7
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 8
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 7# 8
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 6# 8
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 7# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 6# 11
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 7# 8
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 5# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 12
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 6# 9
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 8# 11
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 5# 11
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 5# 9
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 4# 11
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 6# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 10
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 9# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 5
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 5
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 5
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 8# 1
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 9# 8
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 9# 8
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 10# 9
   
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3228
   
Games Started3227
   
Innings Pitched200.2175.1
   
Wins1512
   
Losses56
   
Saves01
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed143134
   
Earned Runs6443
   
Home Runs Allowed199
   
Strikeouts276221
   
Walks6457
   
ERA2.882.21
   
WHIP1.031.09
   
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3231
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched196.9187.0
   
Wins1514
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed164160
   
Earned Runs7269
   
Home Runs Allowed2319
   
Strikeouts237218
   
Walks5962
   
ERA3.313.33
   
WHIP1.131.19
   
  Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
News 
 Gerrit Cole (20-5) gave up one run on four hits and two walks while striking out 10 through five innings in Sunday's 8-5 win over the Angels. He picked up his 20th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 29th
Trevor Bauer (2-5) took the loss Sunday against the Mets, allowing five runs on six hits and no walks across seven innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 22nd
 Gerrit Cole (19-5) allowed two hits and zero walks while striking out 14 through seven scoreless innings in Tuesday's 3-0 win over the Mariners. He picked up his 19th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 25th
Trevor Bauer (2-4) earned the win Sunday against the Diamondbacks, allowing one run on four hits and one walk over eight innings. He struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 16th
 Gerrit Cole (18-5) allowed two runs on six hits while striking out 10 though eight innings in the Astros 3-2 win over the Rangers. He picked up his 18th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 19th
Trevor Bauer did not factor into the decision Tuesday against the Mariners, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks over 6.1 innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 11th
 Gerrit Cole (17-5) allowed four hits and two walks while striking out 11 through eight scoreless innings in Friday's 4-1 win over the Royals. He earned his 17th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 14th
Trevor Bauer did not factor into the decision in Wednesday's win over the Phillies, allowing four runs on six hits and two walks over five innings. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
 Gerrit Cole (16-5) allowed one run on one hit with no walks while striking out 15 in Sunday's 21-1 win over the Mariners. He picked up his 16th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 9th
Trevor Bauer (10-12) took the loss in game one of Saturday's double header against the Cardinals, allowing six runs on seven hits and three walks over four innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Aug 31st
Notes 
 You can look at Cole's 3.50 second half ERA and assume he got worse over the season, but all the underlying numbers suggest he was actually better. Don't shy away from him because of a false fear of his risk. Rather, expect another 250+ strikeouts with plenty of wins and excellent ratios
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Prior to an injury in the second half, Bauer was among the top pitchers in baseball. He still struck out 221 batters in 175 innings, but with health, those numbers could easily climb to 270 in 215 innings
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Cole was trending in a bad direction over his last couple years in Pittsburgh, but a move to Houston completely revived his career. As an Astro, Cole ditched an ineffective sinker and dramatically increased his spin rate on his fastball, and the result was a career-best 12.4 K/9 rate along with a shiny 2.88 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Cole doesn't have the extended track record of dominance that some of the other fantasy aces possess, but there is little reason to doubt that he can replicate his success in his second season in Houston.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bauer took a big step forward as a pitcher in 2017, and then last year he finally put it all together and performed like an ace. The big increase in his strikeout rate over the last two seasons is the biggest ingredient in his success, but he was also somewhat fortunate in terms of his home run rate last year after being unlucky in that regard the previous season. His walk rate is still a bit high, and he is a little risky just based on the fact that he had never produced a sub-4.00 ERA or sub-1.30 WHIP before last year, but the skills are certainly there for another strong season.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 The Astros unlocked Cole's ace upside by tabling a middling sinker for more sliders and curveballs. He also revamped his fastball, which yielded a .268 wOBA after allowing a .334 wOBA in his last year with the Pirates. As a result, his strikeout and swinging-strike rates skyrocketed to 34.5 and 14.1%, respectively. His contact rate dropped eight points to 71.5, and he earned his 2.88 ERA with a 2.70 FIP and 2.91 SIERA. Trust the breakout and treat the strikeout artist on a title contender as a borderline top-five hurler alongside teammate Justin Verlander.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
A viable Cy Young Award contender before suffering a stress fracture in his right fibula, Bauer boasted a 2.21 ERA and 221 strikeouts over 175.1 spectacular frames. Only Jacob deGrom bested him in FIP (2.44), and he leaned more on a slider that yielded a -8 wRC+. If the injury depresses his value, pounce on a top-10 stud.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros