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Who Should I Draft?

Gerrit Cole or Yu Darvish (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
50 of 51 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 2# 4
Best Rank# 1# 3
Worst Rank# 5# 11
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 7# 17
Best Rank# 5# 16
Worst Rank# 8# 19
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts262217
Wins1613
Saves00
ERA3.183.37
WHIP1.031.10
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 4
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 6
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 2# 4
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 2# 6
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 2# 4
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 5
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 5
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 2# 4
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 5
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 2# 5
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 2# 4
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 2# 9
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 2# 4
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 2# 5
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 3# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 3# 5
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 2# 4
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 5
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 2# 7
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 2# 4
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 2# 5
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 2# 4
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 2# 5
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 3# 4
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 2# 6
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 2# 9
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 2# 5
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 3# 5
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 2# 5
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 5
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 3# 6
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 2# 10
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 2# 6
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 4
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 2# 5
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 2# 4
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 2# 6
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 3# 5
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 2# 3
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 3# 8
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 3# 11
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 3# 8
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 2# 4
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 2# 5
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 2# 6
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 2# 4
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 1# 5
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 2# 6
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 2# 4
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 2# 4
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 5# 4
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched73.176.1
   
Wins78
   
Losses33
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5359
   
Earned Runs2317
   
Home Runs Allowed145
   
Strikeouts9493
   
Walks1714
   
ERA2.842.01
   
WHIP0.960.96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3230
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched197.9178.6
   
Wins1613
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed153147
   
Earned Runs7067
   
Home Runs Allowed3023
   
Strikeouts262217
   
Walks5250
   
ERA3.183.37
   
WHIP1.031.10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
News 
 Gerrit Cole surrendered three runs on five hits with three walks and six strikeouts in six innings Friday in a victory over the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 25th
Yu Darvish pitched 5.1 innings on Thursday, allowing four earned runs while striking out seven. He only surrendered three hits, but struggled with command as he gave up three walks.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Sep 24th
 Gerrit Cole allowed one earned run on four hits and three walks while striking out seven over five innings to earn the win Tuesday against the Orioles.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 15th
Yu Darvish pitched four innings on Monday, allowing eight earned runs on six hits and three walks while striking out just three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
 Yankees RHP Gerrit Cole (hamstring) could start on Tuesday against the Orioles.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
Yu Darvish pitched six innings on one run ball on Wednesday, allowing just three hits and one walk while striking out seven batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 9th
 New York Yankees ace Gerrit Cole is expected to make a start next week, according to manager Aaron Boone. The right-hander is dealing with left hamstring tightness but should be able to avoid a stint on the injured list.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Sep 9th
Yu Darvish went just 2.2 innings on Wednesday, allowing six runs (five earned) on eight hits and one walk while only striking out three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 2nd
 Yankees starting pitcher Gerrit Cole left Tuesday's start with an apparent hand injury after just 3.2 innings, allowing three earned runs on five hits and two walks. He also tacked on two strikeouts.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 7th
Yu Darvish managed to go six innings on Thursday, but allowed four earned runs in the process. He surrendered five hits and one walk while striking out six batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Aug 27th
Notes 
 Cole was pretty much as advertised in his first season with the Yankees. His ERA rose a tad, as did his home run rate as expected, and his strikeout rate fell a bit, though it remained at an absurdly high level. And, for the most part, all of his expected metrics fell off a tad from his 2019 season. But Cole's numbers from that season were so dominating that he could withstand plenty of regression and still be one of the best pitchers in fantasy. As such, he'll head into 2021 close to the way he came into the 2020 season: a dominant, high-strikeout, low-walk starter who will throw plenty of innings and who is more likely to finish as the top overall fantasy pitcher than he is to finish outside the top-10. It's a matter of personal preference between Cole and Jacob deGrom as the first pitcher off the board, but neither should fall outside the top-10 overall picks on draft day.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  In his first eight starts of 2019, Darvish allowed 33 free passes in 36 2/3 innings. Since then he has given up just 37 walks in 218 (!!) innings pitched. The key has been getting away from a slider he couldn't locate, combined with increased usage of his cutter. One of many offseason additions for the Padres this year, Darvish is a no-brainer, top-six SP entering 2021.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros