Who Should I Draft?
Hyun Jin Ryu or Corbin Burnes (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Corbin Burnes SP,RP - MIL  | Hyun Jin Ryu SP - TOR  | |
Expert |
70% Recommended by 35 of 50 experts |
30% Recommended by 15 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 20 | # 21 |
| Best Rank | # 14 | # 13 |
| Worst Rank | # 46 | # 121 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 56 | # 62 |
| Best Rank | # 51 | # 56 |
| Worst Rank | # 60 | # 69 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 174 | 158 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 3.63 | 3.64 |
| WHIP | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 16 | # 26 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 17 | # 26 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 24 | # 29 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 19 | # 23 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 16 | # 43 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 24 | # 121 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 22 | # 37 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 26 | # 34 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 23 | # 28 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 19 | # 22 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 20 | # 23 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 25 | # 28 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 14 | # 21 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 21 | # 33 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 20 | # 24 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 16 | # 24 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 18 | # 20 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 18 | # 20 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 18 | # 21 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 14 | # 22 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 18 | # 19 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 25 | # 41 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 18 | # 24 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 18 | # 19 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 22 | # 25 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 20 | # 28 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 17 | # 25 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 14 | # 16 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 20 | # 37 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 20 | # 37 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 20 | # 22 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 15 | # 25 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 24 | # 34 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 19 | # 29 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 16 | # 26 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 24 | # 13 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 19 | # 14 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 42 | # 15 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 22 | # 17 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 19 | # 18 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 20 | # 18 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 46 | # 18 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 32 | # 19 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 21 | # 19 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 24 | # 19 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 23 | # 21 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 27 | # 21 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 38 | # 21 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 26 | # 24 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 38 | # 26 |
| Corbin Burnes SP,RP - MIL | Hyun Jin Ryu SP - TOR | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 12 | 12 |
| Games Started | 9 | 12 |
| Innings Pitched | 60.3 | 67.1 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 37 | 61 |
| Earned Runs | 14 | 21 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 2 | 6 |
| Strikeouts | 88 | 72 |
| Walks | 24 | 17 |
| ERA | 2.11 | 2.82 |
| WHIP | 1.02 | 1.16 |
| Corbin Burnes SP,RP - MIL | Hyun Jin Ryu SP - TOR | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 29 | 29 |
| Games Started | 27 | 29 |
| Innings Pitched | 142.1 | 167.5 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 120 | 161 |
| Earned Runs | 57 | 68 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 18 | 23 |
| Strikeouts | 174 | 158 |
| Walks | 51 | 38 |
| ERA | 3.63 | 3.64 |
| WHIP | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Corbin Burnes SP,RP - MIL | Hyun Jin Ryu SP - TOR | |
| News | ||
| Corbin Burnes (1-1) was phenomenal against the Cubs on Wednesday, tossing six shutout innings while allowing two hits and no walks. He struck out 10. Connor Rooney Wed, Apr 14th | Hyun Jin Ryu (1-1) earned the win Tuesday after holding the Yankees to one run on four hits and a walk while striking out seven across 6 2/3 innings. John Aubin Wed, Apr 14th | |
| Corbin Burnes threw six shutout innings, allowing only one hit while striking out nine in Thursday's loss to the Cardinals. Connor Rooney Fri, Apr 9th | Hyun Jin Ryu (0-1) allowed two runs on seven hits and struck out seven over seven innings in a loss to the Rangers on Wednesday by a 2-1 score. John Aubin Thu, Apr 8th | |
| Corbin Burnes (0-1) gave up one run while striking out 11 across 6.1 innings against the Twins on Saturday. He was tagged with the loss. Connor Rooney Sun, Apr 4th | Hyun Jin Ryu allowed two runs on four hits and one walk while striking out five over 5 1/3 innings in Thursday's win over the Yankees. He didn't factor into the decision. John Aubin Thu, Apr 1st | |
| Brewers catcher Omar Narvaez says Corbin Burnes' changeup looks way better than last year. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Sun, Feb 21st | Hyun Jin Ryu is slated to make his 2021 Spring debut on Friday. Connor Rooney Wed, Mar 3rd | |
| Notes | ||
| Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Fantasy managers expected some regression from Ryu after his career season in 2019 and with him moving to the Blue Jays, but it really didn't come. He continued to be among the best in the game at limiting opposing batters' quality of contact, and upped his strikeout rate to 26.2%, second best of his career. Ryu's 2.69 ERA was a bit higher than the 2.32 mark he put up in in 2019, but his FIP, xFIP, SIERA, and xERA were all the same or better than the previous year. In short, other than the potential for injury, which hasn't been a factor in the last two seasons, there's no reason to doubt Ryu at this point. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | Ryu fits well on certain roto builds. His elite ERA and WHIP numbers give fantasy managers a very strong base at those rate stats. It's much easier to find high-upside strikeout arms later in drafts, which pair well with Ryu's floor. Over the past three seasons only Jacob deGrom (2.10) has a lower ERA than Ryu (2.30). Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | |
