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Who Should I Draft?

Hyun Jin Ryu or Edwin Diaz (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Hyun Jin Ryu
SP - TOR
Hyun Jin Ryu
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
34 of 50 experts
32%
Recommended by
16 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 21# 26
Best Rank# 13# 18
Worst Rank# 121# 58
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 62# 81
Best Rank# 56# 71
Worst Rank# 69# 90
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts158102
Wins124
Saves030
ERA3.643.04
WHIP1.181.12
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 32
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 31
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 19# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 15# 25
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 13# 29
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 23# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 18# 30
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 21# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 18# 28
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 24# 30
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 28# 36
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 19# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 28# 31
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 21# 23
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 24
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 18# 24
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 24# 27
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 14# 58
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 24# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 20# 33
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 30
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 27
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 21# 30
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 21# 27
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 22# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 19# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 28
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 19# 37
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 25# 30
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 25# 28
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 16# 28
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 22# 26
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 29# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 21
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 23# 21
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 25# 22
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 26# 23
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 26# 20
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 28# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 29# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 33# 27
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 34# 31
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 34# 22
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 37# 24
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 37# 24
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 37# 25
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 41# 18
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 43# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 121# 34
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Hyun Jin Ryu
SP - TOR
Hyun Jin Ryu
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1226
   
Games Started120
   
Innings Pitched67.126.2
   
Wins52
   
Losses21
   
Saves06
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed6118
   
Earned Runs215
   
Home Runs Allowed62
   
Strikeouts7250
   
Walks1714
   
ERA2.821.75
   
WHIP1.161.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Hyun Jin Ryu
SP - TOR
Hyun Jin Ryu
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2964
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched167.562.9
   
Wins124
   
Losses83
   
Saves030
   
Blown Saves011
   
Holds03
   
Hits Allowed16147
   
Earned Runs6821
   
Home Runs Allowed238
   
Strikeouts158102
   
Walks3823
   
ERA3.643.04
   
WHIP1.181.12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Hyun Jin Ryu
SP - TOR
Hyun Jin Ryu
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
News 
 Hyun Jin Ryu allowed four earned runs on eight hits and no walks while striking out two batters across five innings to take the loss Tuesday against the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Wed, Apr 21st
Edwin Diaz pitched a scoreless ninth inning, allowing one hit.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Apr 19th
 Hyun Jin Ryu (1-1) earned the win Tuesday after holding the Yankees to one run on four hits and a walk while striking out seven across 6 2/3 innings.
John Aubin
Wed, Apr 14th
Edwin Diaz pitched a scoreless seventh inning, striking out the side in game one on Saturday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sun, Apr 18th
 Hyun Jin Ryu (0-1) allowed two runs on seven hits and struck out seven over seven innings in a loss to the Rangers on Wednesday by a 2-1 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 8th
Edwin Diaz entered the ninth inning trailing 1-0 and allowed two earned runs on three hits and one walk, with zero strikeouts before being relieved by Jeurys Familia with two outs.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sun, Apr 11th
 Hyun Jin Ryu allowed two runs on four hits and one walk while striking out five over 5 1/3 innings in Thursday's win over the Yankees. He didn't factor into the decision.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 1st
Edwin Diaz pitched a scoreless top of the ninth inning, striking out one and walking one.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Apr 9th
 Hyun Jin Ryu is slated to make his 2021 Spring debut on Friday.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Mar 3rd
Mets manager Luis Rojas says Edwin Diaz "may be the guy that gets the most chances" in the closer role this year.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Feb 24th
Notes 
 Fantasy managers expected some regression from Ryu after his career season in 2019 and with him moving to the Blue Jays, but it really didn't come. He continued to be among the best in the game at limiting opposing batters' quality of contact, and upped his strikeout rate to 26.2%, second best of his career. Ryu's 2.69 ERA was a bit higher than the 2.32 mark he put up in in 2019, but his FIP, xFIP, SIERA, and xERA were all the same or better than the previous year. In short, other than the potential for injury, which hasn't been a factor in the last two seasons, there's no reason to doubt Ryu at this point.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Diaz's overall numbers bounced back in a monstrous way last season. He dropped his ERA from a bloated 5.59 in 2019 to a 1.75, and upped his strikeout rate to a career-best 45.5%. He was among the league leaders in nearly every expected statistic (batting average, slugging percentage wOBA, and ERA), and he cut his HR/9 rate from 2.33 to just 0.70. Diaz's walk rate actually regressed, however, as he issued free passes to nearly five batters per nine innings. That's not often a recipe for success from a closer, but Diaz can survive at that rate if he continues to keep the strikeouts up and limit the long balls. In the end, Diaz does carry some risk given his history, but he should be drafted as one of the upper echelon closers in the game, if not a touch behind the truly elite options.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Ryu fits well on certain roto builds. His elite ERA and WHIP numbers give fantasy managers a very strong base at those rate stats. It's much easier to find high-upside strikeout arms later in drafts, which pair well with Ryu's floor. Over the past three seasons only Jacob deGrom (2.10) has a lower ERA than Ryu (2.30).
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros