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Who Should I Draft?

Ian Anderson or Joe Musgrove (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ian Anderson
SP - ATL
Ian Anderson
Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
28 of 51 experts
45%
Recommended by
23 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 36# 38
Best Rank# 22# 16
Worst Rank# 71# 77
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 89# 130
Best Rank# 75# 115
Worst Rank# 127# 140
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts153158
Wins1011
Saves00
ERA3.833.92
WHIP1.281.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 32
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 41# 56
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 35# 42
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 39# 42
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 36# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 39# 51
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 39# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 55# 61
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 22# 40
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 23# 37
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 27# 38
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 32# 40
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 40# 57
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 30# 54
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 77
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 34# 40
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 35# 45
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 55
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 23# 55
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 38# 44
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 29# 52
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 30# 34
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 33# 66
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 36# 43
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 36# 38
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 33# 38
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 33# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 19
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 34# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 34
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 39# 33
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 39# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 40# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 41# 28
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 41# 38
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 42# 39
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 42# 33
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 42# 41
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 44# 40
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 45# 37
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 45# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 45# 40
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 46# 29
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 47# 28
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 52# 43
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 53# 29
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 54# 30
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 58# 26
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 62# 16
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 71# 33
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ian Anderson
SP - ATL
Ian Anderson
Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played68
   
Games Started68
   
Innings Pitched32.240.1
   
Wins31
   
Losses25
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed2133
   
Earned Runs717
   
Home Runs Allowed15
   
Strikeouts4155
   
Walks1416
   
ERA1.953.86
   
WHIP1.081.24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ian Anderson
SP - ATL
Ian Anderson
Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2529
   
Games Started2529
   
Innings Pitched137.2154.4
   
Wins1011
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed117145
   
Earned Runs5867
   
Home Runs Allowed1621
   
Strikeouts153158
   
Walks5839
   
ERA3.833.92
   
WHIP1.281.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ian Anderson
SP - ATL
Ian Anderson
Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
News 
 Ian Anderson pitched seven innings against the Diamondbacks Wednesday, allowing two hits, one run (earned), and one walk while striking eight batters out. The Braves offense provided good run support, and Anderson's record improved to 8-5, and he also earned a quality start. He threw 97 pitches, 59 for strikes, and carries a 3.60 ERA.
Steve Painter
Thu, Sep 23rd
Joe Musgrove went just 5.2 innings on Tuesday, allowing five earned runs on eight hits and three walks. He did salvage some of his day with six strikeouts and two hits of his own in the game.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Ian Anderson pitched 5 2/3 innings against the Giants Friday, allowing five hits, four runs (all earned), and two walks while striking out seven batters. He was not a factor in the decision. He threw 99 pitches, 60 for strikes, and carries a 3.75 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sat, Sep 18th
Joe Musgrove went six innings on Friday, allowing three earned runs on four hits and five walks. He did still manage to strike out seven batters though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Sep 11th
 Ian Anderson pitched five innings against the Marlins Friday, allowing five hits, two runs (both earned), and two walks while striking out nine batters. The Braves bullpen held the Marlins scoreless the rest of the way, and Anderson got the win, his record improving to 7-5 on the year. He threw 89 pitches, 62 for strikes, and carries a 3.61 ERA.
Steve Painter
Fri, Sep 10th
Joe Musgrove went 5.1 inning on Saturday, allowing two earned runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out four batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
 Ian Anderson pitched three innings against the Rockies Saturday, allowing five hits, four runs (all earned), and four walks. He was not a factor in the decision, a 7-6 Rockies win. He threw 62 pitches, 33 for strikes, and carries a 3.61 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 5th
Joe Musgrove only allowed three hits and two walks in his nine innings of work while also striking out nine batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Aug 28th
 Ian Anderson pitched 5 2/3 innings against the Giants Sunday, allowing four hits and two walks. The Braves won in a rout, 9-0, and Anderson's record improved to 6-5 on the year. He threw 86 pitches, 49 for strikes, and carries a 3.36 ERA.
Steve Painter
Mon, Aug 30th
Joe Musgrove pitched six innings of one-run ball, allowing three hits and two walks while striking out nine batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Aug 22nd
Notes 
 Playoffs included, Anderson's final 2020 stat line was 51 innings, 65 strikeouts, a 1.59 ERA, and a 1.10 WHIP. Backed up by a strong prospect pedigree, Anderson was extremely impressive in his first taste of the big leagues. He never got shelled in any start and gave up just one homer all season. His regular season CSW (called strike plus whiff rate) compated similarly to Blake Snell and Walker Buehler at 30.8%. The concerns with his '21 fantasy value are a 4.2 BB/9 and an innings limit. While valid, Anderson is talented enough to still warrant excitement as a top 25-30 SP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Musgrove has been a popular sleeper the last two seasons and now that he's been traded to the Padres, his ADP is surely going to rise. In 2019, Musgrove continued to improve as a pitcher, upping his strikeout rate and adding velocity. But his 2020 season looked like a step back, until he returned from the IL strong, including finishing his season with back-to-back scoreless outings while getting back some of the lost zip on his fastball. Overall, Musgrove's 2020 numbers suggest a breakout waiting to happen, as he built significantly on his gains in 2019, increasing his strikeout rate to 33.1%. His chances for wins should improve dramatically in San Diego, and he's a fine fourth starter with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 After rising through the minor leagues, Anderson had an excellent debut season with the Braves in 2020, pitching to a 1.95 ERA and 1.08 WHIP with a 29.7% strikeout rate. He was even better in four postseason starts, allowing just two runs over 18 2/3 innings while striking out 24. Anderson led all starters in barrel rate (just 1.2%), and has an excellent fastball, curveball, and changeup. His control isn't elite, but his raw stuff and prospect pedigree suggest that his 2020 season was no fluke. Draft him with confidence as a No. 2 starter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Over his final four starts of the 2020 season Musgrove posted an exceptional 34:5 K:BB ratio in just 22 innings. In 34 starts from the beginning of 2019 through August 2020 his swinging strike rate sat at 11.9%. In September 2020 that figure jumped to 16.3%. So here we are again. Musgrove is an annual breakout candidate among fantasy analysts, and last year's hot finish combined with the move to San Diego won't temper expectations at all. Musgrove is an upside starting pitcher option come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros