Who Should I Draft?

J.T. Realmuto or Matt Carpenter (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
J.T. Realmuto
C,1B - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
32 of 56 experts
43%
Recommended by
24 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 49
Best Rank# 12# 23
Worst Rank# 100# 107
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 46
Best Rank# 58# 38
Worst Rank# 72# 63
   
Projections 
   
Runs9772
Home Runs2822
RBI7676
Stolen Bases35
Batting Average.256.277
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 52
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 49
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 52
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 47# 55
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 39# 72
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 60
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 79
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 51
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 61
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 52
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 53
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 41
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 61
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 61
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 56
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 72
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 47# 52
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48# 81
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 41
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 61
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 50# 58
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 56# 59
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 49# 50
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 52
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 83
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 85
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 64# 75
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 55# 64
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 56
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 56
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 46
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 23
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 25
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 27
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 27
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 29
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 66# 35
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 36
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 40
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 42
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 42
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 43
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 44
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 45
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 78# 47
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 64# 48
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 49
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 51
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 52
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 54
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 66
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 107
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
J.T. Realmuto
C,1B - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats564477
   
Runs11174
   
Hits145132
   
Singles6778
   
Doubles4230
   
Triples03
   
Home Runs3621
   
RBI8174
   
Stolen Bases43
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks10238
   
Strikeouts158104
   
Batting Average.257.277
   
On Base Pct.374.340
   
Slugging Pct.523.484
   
On-base Plus Slugging.897.825
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
J.T. Realmuto
C,1B - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529497
   
Runs9772
   
Hits135138
   
Singles7183
   
Doubles3529
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2822
   
RBI7676
   
Stolen Bases35
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks9537
   
Strikeouts140106
   
Batting Average.256.277
   
On Base Pct.369.327
   
Slugging Pct.486.479
   
On-base Plus Slugging.855.807
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
J.T. Realmuto
C,1B - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
News 
 Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and three runs scored in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
J.T. Realmuto (groin) is starting at catcher and batting fifth in game one of Wednesday's double-header against the Nationals.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Jun 19th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
J.T. Realmuto (groin) is once again absent from Philadelphia's lineup on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 18th
 Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto left Saturday's game against the Atlanta Braves one inning after being hit by a foul tip off the bat of Freddie Freeman in the groin. He was replaced at catcher by Andrew Knapp.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
 Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 1-for-5 with two runs scored and a stolen base in Friday's loss to the Braves. The steal was his third of the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-1 with a pinch-hit, solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-3 win over the Phillies on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 30th
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 1-for-2 with a home run and two walks in Saturday's win over the Reds. The homer was his 10th of the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 9th
Notes 
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Realmuto's .277 batting average with 21 homers and 74 RBIs doesn't seem all that impressive, but the fact of the matter is that he blew the rest of the catcher scene away with those numbers. Realmuto is as safe as it comes at the position and should produce far above the lousy replacement level once again. This is especially true now that he has been traded to a great hitter's ballpark in Philly. Don't hesitate to reach for him so you don't get stuck with an awful catcher
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew¬†away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Already last year's top catcher with room to spare, Realmuto's value rises substantially after getting traded to the Phillies. Depending on his spot in the batting order, an upgraded lineup should yield a major rise in runs and/or RBI. He also goes from the worst park for right-handed power to the second-best behind Coors Field, so he could potentially expand upon 2018's career-high 21 homers. A fade before the move, drafters should now take a closer look at Realmuto to avoid the catching cesspool.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Realmuto doesn't possess the pure upside of Gary Sanchez, but he may still be the better pick in fantasy drafts. In moving from Miami to Philadelphia, he gets a massive upgrade in both his home ballpark and supporting cast, setting him up to establish new career highs in the counting stats (HR, RBIs, runs). Realmuto is also a good bet to lead all catchers in plate appearances, thanks to both his durability and the possibility that he sees the occasional start at first base when he isn't behind the plate.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros