Who Should I Draft?

J.A. Happ or Nick Pivetta (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
34 of 59 experts
42%
Recommended by
25 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 51
Best Rank# 31# 27
Worst Rank# 247# 111
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 151# 131
Best Rank# 147# 118
Worst Rank# 168# 139
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts177168
Wins1013
Saves00
ERA4.153.85
WHIP1.291.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 53# 74
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 57
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 31# 52
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 51# 58
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 49# 72
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 51# 64
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 41# 43
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 50# 94
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 37# 60
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 103# 110
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 46# 57
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 56
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 59# 65
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 42# 50
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 55# 56
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 55# 67
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 52
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 53# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 35# 53
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 48
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 57# 69
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 54# 67
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 43# 58
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 62# 82
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 44# 69
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 42# 58
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 53# 54
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 39# 62
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 49# 64
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 49# 55
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 36# 40
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 44# 111
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 46# 64
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 62# 27
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 51# 37
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 247# 40
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 49# 41
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 122# 42
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 52# 43
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 47# 44
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 51# 44
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 45
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64# 45
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 52# 45
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 60# 46
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 54# 46
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 62# 47
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 55# 47
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 48
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 103# 49
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 52# 51
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 61# 51
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 66# 52
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 107# 52
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 56# 53
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 63# 54
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 55
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 78# 67
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3331
   
Games Started3231
   
Innings Pitched164.2178.1
   
Wins717
   
Losses146
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed163150
   
Earned Runs8772
   
Home Runs Allowed2427
   
Strikeouts188193
   
Walks5151
   
ERA4.773.65
   
WHIP1.301.13
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3029
   
Games Started3029
   
Innings Pitched162.2167.6
   
Wins1013
   
Losses108
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed154153
   
Earned Runs7572
   
Home Runs Allowed2324
   
Strikeouts177168
   
Walks5552
   
ERA4.153.85
   
WHIP1.291.23
   
  Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
News 
 Nick Pivetta was optioned to Triple-A Lehigh Valley on Saturday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 24th
J.A. Happ (biceps) received a cortisone shot Friday and is expected to start Thursday against the Angels, Kristie Ackert of the New York Daily News reports.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Phillies pitcher Nick Pivetta allowed two hits and struck out four over two scoreless innings to earn his first save in Saturday's win over the White Sox.
Mike Maher
Sun, Aug 4th
J.A. Happ is headed to New York to see a doctor about biceps tendinitis, which he's apparently been dealing with for his last few starts, Lindsey Adler of The Athletic reports.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 12th
 Pivetta will reportedly move to the bullpen once the Phillies' signing of Drew Smyly is official.
James Bisson
Fri, Jul 19th
J.A Happ pitched 6 1/3 scoreless innings, allowing only two hits and one walk while striking out seven as the Yankees defeated the Red Sox 5-1.
Brandon Plutner
Sat, Sep 7th
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed one earned run on no hits and four walks while striking out four over 2 1/3 innings in a rain-shortened no-decision against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday.
Mike Maher
Thu, Jul 18th
J.A. Happ pitched six shutout innings, while allowing only one hit and striking out five as the Yankees defeated the A’s 5-4.
Brandon Plutner
Sun, Sep 1st
 Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed three earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out two over five innings in a loss to the Nationals on Friday. The loss drops him to 4-4 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jul 12th
J.A. Happ picked up the win against the Mariners on Monday, giving up three earned runs on two hits over five innings, striking out seven and walking three as the Yankees won by a 5-4 score.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 27th
Notes 
 Pivetta's peripherals say that his ERA should have been much better than 4.77 last year, but he was victimized by a high BABIP, low strand rate, and lots and lots of home runs. This is an elite bat misser who has thrown fewer than 300 innings at the Major League level, so there is some breakout potential here. We'll learn this season whether Pivetta is ready to take a step forward or if he's the next in a line of pitchers who don't quite live up to their peripherals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The undervalued Happ massively out-performed his 2018 draft pick despite posting his highest ERA (3.65) since 2014. He now owns a 3.49 ERA and 8.45 K/9 over those past four seasons, and yet many drafters have scoffed at him going around the pick-150 range. Seems like a reasonable price for someone who accompanied his career-high 193 strikeouts with a career-high 10.3% swinging-strike rate and career-low 78.3% contact rate. He looked comfortable in pinstripes (2.69 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) and could once again reap the rewards of run support to a crooked wins tally. Don't run away just because the southpaw is 36.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Most metrics paint Pivetta as the perfect breakout pick. On the strength of a stellar 19.7 K-BB%, he posted a 3.80 FIP and 3.51 SIERA despite a bloated 4.77 ERA. He possesses an excellent curveball and slider combination that each induced swinging-strike rates above 15.0%. Before going all in on a Cy Young Award dark horse, beware an abysmal fastball that surrendered a .302/.385/.516 slash line. His ups and downs also weren't predictable, as he went from silencing the Red Sox to getting stuffed by the Mets in consecutive August outings. There's enough upside to draft him as a top-40 hurler. Just don't assume he's a sure thing to slice his ERA by at least a full run.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros