Who Should I Draft?

J.A. Happ or Rich Hill (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
32 of 56 experts
43%
Recommended by
24 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 51# 52
Best Rank# 16# 27
Worst Rank# 110# 111
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 174# 131
Best Rank# 154# 118
Worst Rank# 187# 139
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts150168
Wins1013
Saves00
ERA3.513.85
WHIP1.151.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 54# 74
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 46# 57
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 46# 52
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 59# 67
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 45# 58
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 47# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 58# 72
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 64
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 32# 43
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 47# 94
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 43# 52
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 16# 110
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 52# 57
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 45# 56
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 52# 65
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45# 48
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 50# 53
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 34# 52
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 56# 67
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 49# 59
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 42# 56
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 56# 69
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 64# 67
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 37# 82
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 61# 69
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 44# 58
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 52# 54
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 50# 62
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 60# 64
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 90# 111
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 41# 44
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 46# 54
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 59# 27
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 55# 37
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 41# 40
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 47# 41
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 50# 42
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 50# 43
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 48# 43
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 56# 44
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 67# 45
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 45
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 110# 45
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 73# 46
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 48# 46
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 69# 47
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 65# 47
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 52# 48
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 54# 50
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 53# 51
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 79# 52
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 94# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 80# 56
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 71# 58
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 79# 60
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 86# 64
   
  Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2531
   
Games Started2431
   
Innings Pitched133.1178.1
   
Wins1117
   
Losses56
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed108150
   
Earned Runs5472
   
Home Runs Allowed2027
   
Strikeouts150193
   
Walks4151
   
ERA3.663.65
   
WHIP1.121.13
   
  Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2429
   
Games Started2429
   
Innings Pitched136.1167.6
   
Wins1013
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed112153
   
Earned Runs5372
   
Home Runs Allowed1824
   
Strikeouts150168
   
Walks4552
   
ERA3.513.85
   
WHIP1.151.23
   
  Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
News 
 Rich Hill improved to 4-1 on Friday versus the Cubs, spinning seven innings of three-run ball while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
J.A. Happ did not factor into the decision in Thursday's loss to the White Sox, allowing four runs on four hits and four walks while striking out two through five innings.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 14th
 Rich Hill improved to 3-1 on Saturday in San Francisco, striking out six while allowing two runs in five innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
J.A. Happ gave up just one run on four hits and struck out four batters in seven innings and earned a win over the Blue Jays on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 7th
 Rich Hill improved to 2-1 on Sunday versus the Phillies, striking out nine while tossing seven shutout innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
J.A. Happ (5-3) allowed one run on three hits with five strikeouts and two walks across five innings to earn a victory against the Red Sox on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 1st
 Rich Hill received a no-decision on Tuesday’s loss to the Mets, striking out six while allowing two earned runs over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 29th
Thursday's game between the Yankees and Red Sox was postponed due to rain; it will be made up Aug. 3.
James Bisson
Thu, May 30th
 Rich Hill received a no-decision on Wednesday in Tampa Bay, striking out seven while throwing six innings of one-run ball.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 23rd
J.A. Happ (4-3) picked up the win in Saturday's 7-3 victory over the Royals, giving up three runs on four hits over six innings while striking out 10.
John Aubin
Sat, May 25th
Notes 
 It's a bit surprising how much the ECR favors Hill over Kenta Maeda, Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Ross Stripling. All are superb options when healthy, but none should be trusted to work any more than 135 innings. So why such a heavy preference for Hill? The unlikely reclamation project turns 39 before starting the season, and he wasn't as elite (3.66 ERA, 3.97 FIP, 3.57 SIERA) in 2018's 132.2 innings. Drafters must exude patience, as he has struggled out of the gate in each of the last two seasons. In what should come as a surprise to nobody, he's already dealing with a short-term MCL injury that will delay his scheduled Opening Day start. He's a strong SP2 or 3 in the starts he makes, but it wouldn't be shocking to see him run out of steam. Just don't drop him much for this injury; such issues were already expected and factored into his draft cost.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
The undervalued Happ massively out-performed his 2018 draft pick despite posting his highest ERA (3.65) since 2014. He now owns a 3.49 ERA and 8.45 K/9 over those past four seasons, and yet many drafters have scoffed at him going around the pick-150 range. Seems like a reasonable price for someone who accompanied his career-high 193 strikeouts with a career-high 10.3% swinging-strike rate and career-low 78.3% contact rate. He looked comfortable in pinstripes (2.69 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) and could once again reap the rewards of run support to a crooked wins tally. Don't run away just because the southpaw is 36.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Hill has developed into a high-end fantasy starter in his mid-30s, posting no worse than a 3.66 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 10.18 K/9 over each of the last three seasons. Of course, he's never thrown more than 136 innings in any of those seasons, and we can't expect him to do it this year, either. But he's proven he can be a very valuable fantasy commodity in limited innings, particularly in leagues with a low innings cap.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros