Who Should I Draft?

Jack Flaherty or Clayton Kershaw (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
36 of 56 experts
36%
Recommended by
20 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 23
Best Rank# 11# 8
Worst Rank# 54# 51
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 60# 54
Best Rank# 55# 49
Worst Rank# 68# 72
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts189157
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.492.94
WHIP1.191.05
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 11# 18
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 13# 28
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 18# 27
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 21# 22
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 15# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 49
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 24
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 17# 33
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 15# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 49
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 19# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 24
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 21
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 22
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 24
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 14# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 19# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 12# 33
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 19# 28
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 19# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 18# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 18# 28
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 15# 25
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 17# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 14# 49
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 26
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 21# 26
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 12# 24
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 14# 22
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 25# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 26
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 17# 14
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 11
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 18# 16
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 19# 15
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 19# 13
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 21# 14
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 22# 12
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 23# 21
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 23# 22
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 12
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 26# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 28# 12
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 32# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 33# 28
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 33# 28
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 35# 8
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 38# 12
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 39# 15
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 54# 8
   
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2826
   
Games Started2826
   
Innings Pitched151.1161.2
   
Wins89
   
Losses95
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed108139
   
Earned Runs5649
   
Home Runs Allowed2017
   
Strikeouts182155
   
Walks5929
   
ERA3.342.73
   
WHIP1.111.04
   
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3025
   
Games Started3025
   
Innings Pitched168.6154.9
   
Wins1212
   
Losses96
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed140133
   
Earned Runs6551
   
Home Runs Allowed2117
   
Strikeouts189157
   
Walks6131
   
ERA3.492.94
   
WHIP1.191.05
   
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
News 
 Jack Flaherty allowed seven runs on nine hits over 4 2/3rd innings in the Cardinals' 7-3 loss to the Athletics on Tuesday. He walked one and struck out five while falling to 4-5.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 26th
Clayton Kershaw received a no-decision on Monday versus Arizona, allowing four runs on seven hits in six innings while walking one and striking out two.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 25th
 Jack Flaherty allowed three runs on four hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 6-0 loss to the Marlins on Tuesday. He walked one and struck out eight while falling to 4-4.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 19th
Clayton Kershaw improved to 7-1 on Tuesday versus the Giants, firing seven scoreless innings while striking out six and walking two.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 19th
 Jack Flaherty allowed four runs on six hits over 5 1/3rd innings Thursday. He walked two and struck out eight. The Cardinals-Mets game was suspended in the bottom of the ninth with a 4-4 score.
Elliott Baas
Fri, Jun 14th
Clayton Kershaw earned the win on Thursday versus the Cubs, striking out eight while allowing three runs over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Jack Flaherty allowed four runs on five hits over 3 2/3 innings in the Cardinals' 9-4 loss to the Cubs on Saturday. He walked three and struck out none in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 9th
Clayton Kershaw fell to 5-1 on Friday in San Francisco, spinning seven innings of two-run ball while striking out four.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
 Jack Flaherty allowed two runs on four hits over five innings in the Cardinals' 7-4 win over the Cubs on Saturday. He walked none and struck out eight in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 2nd
Clayton Kershaw received a no-decision on Saturday versus Philadelphia, firing seven innings of one-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Notes 
 Flaherty was absurdly good last season as a rookie and seemed to improve as the year went on, striking out 95 in 76 second half innings. With that said, his walk rate climbed to a dangerous 3.52 per nine innings by seasons end. He has the upside to strike out 240 batters, but there is some risk here as well
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Flaherty's first full Major League season was an excellent one, as his 3.34 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 10.85 K/9 rate demonstrate. But his 3.52 walks per nine were high, and he averaged fewer than six innings per start, limiting his win potential. He also benefited from a .257 BABIP allowed that was low, even for a pitcher with great stuff like Flaherty. If more of those batted balls fall in for base hits, Flaherty may pay a greater price for the free passes this year. His long-term outlook is bright, but there could be some bumps along the way.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Flaherty's 3.34 ERA and 182 strikeouts in 151 rookie innings will justifiably make him a popular pick. Buoyed by a lethal slider and a curveball that didn't yield a single extra-base hit, there's easy 200-strikeout upside if he pitches a full season. Yet a 3.52 BB/9 and 57.2% first-pitch rate make the 23-year-old riskier than the typical SP2. He's best paired with a steady, reliable ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros