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Who Should I Draft?

Jack Flaherty or Jose Abreu (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Jose Abreu
1B - CWS
Jose Abreu
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
33 of 55 experts
40%
Recommended by
22 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 32
Best Rank# 22# 15
Worst Rank# 69# 54
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 32# 38
Best Rank# 27# 29
Worst Rank# 34# 39
   
Projections 
   
Runs86
Home Runs2333
RBI111
Stolen Bases2
Batting Avg.281
Strikeouts205141
Wins12
Saves0
ERA3.48
WHIP1.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 33
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 33# 34
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 26# 44
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 34
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 32# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 24# 54
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 29# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 35# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 41# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 37
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 22# 31
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 29# 46
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 34
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 22# 30
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 23# 35
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 39
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 35# 49
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 28# 37
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 23# 45
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 32# 36
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 40
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 48
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 34# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 23# 36
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 32# 38
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 28# 40
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 31# 35
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 23# 24
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 30# 35
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 41# 49
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 29# 44
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 22# 26
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 26# 19
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 24
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 30# 27
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 31# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 31# 24
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 32# 28
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 33# 29
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 33# 30
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 31
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 36# 31
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 30
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 39# 26
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 41# 26
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 35
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 30
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 47# 15
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 50# 38
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 51# 27
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 52# 23
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 55# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 58# 31
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 69# 21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Jose Abreu
1B - CWS
Jose Abreu
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs43
   
Home Runs619
   
RBI60
   
Stolen Bases0
   
Batting Avg.317
   
Strikeouts4959
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA4.91
   
WHIP1.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Jose Abreu
1B - CWS
Jose Abreu
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs86
   
Home Runs2333
   
RBI111
   
Stolen Bases2
   
Batting Avg.281
   
Strikeouts205141
   
Wins12
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.48
   
WHIP1.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Jose Abreu
1B - CWS
Jose Abreu
News 
 Jack Flaherty pitched six shutout innings against the Brewers on Thursday afternoon, yielding only four hits and two walks while striking out six. Flaherty won his seventh consecutive decision and now leads the majors in wins with a 7-0 record.
Lucas Spence
Thu, May 13th
White Sox 1B Jose Abreu is expected to miss this week's series against the Minnesota Twins.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 17th
 Jack Flaherty was sensational on Friday night, pitching seven scoreless innings against Colorado while scattering three hits and a walk and striking out six batters while picking up his league-leading sixth win of the season. Flaherty also went 1-for-2 with a solo home run at the plate.
Lucas Spence
Fri, May 7th
Jose Abreu went 2-for-4, was hit by a pitch and scored the game-winning run in Sunday's 4-3 win over the Royals.
Brad Camara
Mon, May 17th
 Jack Flaherty remained unbeaten on Saturday, picking up his fifth win by pitching six innings and giving up six hits, three earned runs, and two walks while striking out a season-high nine batters in a 12-5 win over the Pirates.
Lucas Spence
Sat, May 1st
Jose Abreu was removed from Friday's game after colliding with Royals' Hunter Dozier.
Connor Rooney
Fri, May 14th
 Jack Flaherty was in mid-season form on Sunday, pitching seven strong innings and limiting the Reds to just three hits and one run in a 5-2 victory. Flaherty recorded six strikeouts and improved his record to 4-0 on the season.
Lucas Spence
Sun, Apr 25th
Jose Abreu went 2-for-3 with a two-run home run and three runs scored during Tuesday’s 9-3 win against the Twins.
Brad Camara
Wed, May 12th
 Jack Flaherty pitched six innings in a victory over the Nationals on Monday, giving up six hits, five runs (two earned), two walks and notching five strikeouts to improve to 3-0 on the season.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Apr 19th
Jose Abreu went 2-for-4 with a double, three RBI and a run scored in Sunday's 9-3 with over the Royals.
Brad Camara
Mon, May 10th
Notes 
 Flaherty ended up with a 4.91 ERA, but that hardly represents his actual performance, given that he allowed nine runs in a three-inning start in September. If you take out that outing, Flaherty had just a 3.13 ERA, and he didn't allow more than three earned runs in any of his eight other starts. Given that Flaherty's season was shorter than most due to the Cardinals' COVID-19 issues, it's fair to essentially throw out at that one abysmal outing, considering his other numbers were relatively consistent from 2019. Indeed, his swinging strike rate improved, as did his K/9 rate and ground ball percentage. With his devastating slider, Flaherty should still be considered one of the top pitchers in the real and fantasy game, and is capable of fronting a fantasy staff.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
For most players, fantasy managers need to consider whether to discount a highly out-of-character dip in their numbers given the shortened season. For Abreu, it's the opposite - whether fantasy managers should give credence to an outstanding MVP season, during which Abreu vastly outperformed his numbers from every other season of his career. Everything was good for Abreu in 2020, everything. He hit the ball harder than ever and consistently. He got on base more. He had career-high paces in every category. Abreu will be entering his age-34 season, so there's no way you should expect a repeat performance, but it's worth noting that he has increased his average exit velocity and hard-hit percentage in each of the last five seasons. Abreu's cost doesn't match his numbers last year, of course, but you'll still have to pay a hefty price in drafts. Given his safety and and his newly-discovered upside, however, it's worth it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The word that keeps coming up for Flaherty's fantasy analysis is rhythm. In the second half of 2019, which is when Flaherty put together one of the most impressive second halves in baseball history, he had rhythm. Meanwhile, the Cardinals' 2020 season lacked anything resembling a routine. Flaherty and his teammates dealt with a COVID-19 outbreak as well as a plethora of doubleheaders late in the year to make up for lost time. And yet, if it wasn't for one disastrous start, Flaherty still would've been a borderline ace last summer. When you take out his worst start of the year, Flaherty's ERA drops from 4.91 to 3.13. I'm betting that 2021 goes more smoothly for St. Louis.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros