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Who Should I Draft?

Jack Flaherty or Luis Castillo (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
26 of 51 experts
49%
Recommended by
25 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 10# 11
Best Rank# 7# 6
Worst Rank# 18# 17
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 32# 27
Best Rank# 27# 24
Worst Rank# 34# 38
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts205216
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.483.52
WHIP1.111.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 13# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 8# 11
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 12
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 15
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 8# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 10# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 10# 12
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 8# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 11
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 8# 14
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 10# 13
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 8# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 11
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 10# 11
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 8# 9
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 9# 17
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 13
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 13# 14
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 8# 13
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 8# 13
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 8# 15
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 8# 6
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 10# 8
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 7
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 10# 8
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 11# 10
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 11# 7
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 11# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 11# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 9
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 10
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 7
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 11# 8
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 11# 6
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 11# 8
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 11# 10
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 8
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 12# 11
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 12# 9
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 13# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 8
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 13# 12
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 14# 12
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 15# 10
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 8
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played912
   
Games Started912
   
Innings Pitched40.170.1
   
Wins44
   
Losses36
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3362
   
Earned Runs2226
   
Home Runs Allowed65
   
Strikeouts4989
   
Walks1624
   
ERA4.913.34
   
WHIP1.211.23
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3131
   
Games Started3131
   
Innings Pitched173.0183.9
   
Wins1213
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed138154
   
Earned Runs6772
   
Home Runs Allowed2321
   
Strikeouts205216
   
Walks5463
   
ERA3.483.52
   
WHIP1.111.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
News 
 Cardinals' ace Jack Flaherty (shoulder) is set to begin throwing sometime over the next couple of days, according to Cardinals' manager Mike Schildt.
Jack Mannis
Sun, Sep 5th
Luis Castillo (8-15) earned the win Friday against the Dodgers, tossing six shutout innings while allowing five hits and two walks. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 17th
 The Cardinals placed RHP Jack Flaherty on the 10-day IL with a right shoulder strain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 25th
Luis Castillo did not factor into the decision in Saturday's loss to the Cardinals, allowing four runs on eight hits across seven innings. He walked one and struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
 Cardinals' ace Jack Flaherty was removed from Tuesday evening's game with right shoulder tightness.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
Luis Castillo (7-15) was saddled with his league-leading 15th loss Sunday against the Tigers, allowing three runs (one earned) on four hits in six innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
 Making just his second start since returning from the injured list, Jack Flaherty was sharp in a no-decision against Milwaukee on Wednesday. The Cardinals ace allowed just four hits, two runs, and a walk while striking out eight batters in six innings.
Lucas Spence
Thu, Aug 19th
Luis Castillo (7-14) took the loss Monday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on five hits across six innings. He walked two and struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Aug 30th
 After missing nearly 2 1/2 months of action, Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty returned to the mound and did not miss a beat on Friday, pitching six shutout innings while allowing just a pair of hits and striking out five in a win over the Royals.
Lucas Spence
Fri, Aug 13th
Luis Castillo (7-13) was saddled with the loss Wednesday against Milwaukee, allowing two runs on four hits and two walks in 6.1 innings. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Aug 26th
Notes 
 Flaherty ended up with a 4.91 ERA, but that hardly represents his actual performance, given that he allowed nine runs in a three-inning start in September. If you take out that outing, Flaherty had just a 3.13 ERA, and he didn't allow more than three earned runs in any of his eight other starts. Given that Flaherty's season was shorter than most due to the Cardinals' COVID-19 issues, it's fair to essentially throw out at that one abysmal outing, considering his other numbers were relatively consistent from 2019. Indeed, his swinging strike rate improved, as did his K/9 rate and ground ball percentage. With his devastating slider, Flaherty should still be considered one of the top pitchers in the real and fantasy game, and is capable of fronting a fantasy staff.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Castillo turned in another excellent season last year, cutting his walk rate and striking out batters at a higher rate than he ever had in his career. His WHIP increased to a career-worst 1.23, but that was largely due to bad luck, as batters hit .232 against him despite an expected batting average of just .212. Nevertheless, Castillo kept runs off the board, largely because he was able to avoid home runs (just five in 70 innings) and limit free passes. Castillo is capable of fronting a fantasy pitching staff, though he's more of a low-end ace, and there are plenty of trade rumors following him around. But, given his reliable production and increased strikeout rate the past two seasons, he can be drafted with confidence.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The word that keeps coming up for Flaherty's fantasy analysis is rhythm. In the second half of 2019, which is when Flaherty put together one of the most impressive second halves in baseball history, he had rhythm. Meanwhile, the Cardinals' 2020 season lacked anything resembling a routine. Flaherty and his teammates dealt with a COVID-19 outbreak as well as a plethora of doubleheaders late in the year to make up for lost time. And yet, if it wasn't for one disastrous start, Flaherty still would've been a borderline ace last summer. When you take out his worst start of the year, Flaherty's ERA drops from 4.91 to 3.13. I'm betting that 2021 goes more smoothly for St. Louis.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros