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Who Should I Draft?

Jack Flaherty or Luis Castillo (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Expert
Recommendation
95%
Recommended by
41 of 43 experts
5%
Recommended by
2 of 43 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 6# 10
Best Rank# 3# 7
Worst Rank# 12# 39
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 24# 39
Best Rank# 20# 33
Worst Rank# 25# 58
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7975
Wins55
Saves00
ERA3.543.90
WHIP1.131.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 11
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 11
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 6# 7
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 7# 10
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 39
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 3# 11
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 7# 9
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 11
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 13
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 8# 13
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 3# 9
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 9
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 7# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 10
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 3# 18
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 8# 12
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 7# 12
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 7# 10
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 8# 11
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 6# 11
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 11
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 12# 20
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 15
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 6# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 7# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 10# 21
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 13
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 12
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 13
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 9# 14
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 4# 13
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 8# 18
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 8# 18
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 9# 14
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 8# 13
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 4# 12
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 7# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 7
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 8
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3332
   
Games Started3332
   
Innings Pitched196.1191.2
   
Wins1115
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed135139
   
Earned Runs6073
   
Home Runs Allowed2522
   
Strikeouts231226
   
Walks5579
   
ERA2.753.45
   
WHIP0.971.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched68.867.6
   
Wins55
   
Losses34
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5659
   
Earned Runs2729
   
Home Runs Allowed99
   
Strikeouts7975
   
Walks2225
   
ERA3.543.90
   
WHIP1.131.23
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
News 
 Cardinals manager Mike Shildt announced Jack Flaherty as the team's Opening Day starter.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Feb 22nd
 
Notes 
 When Jacob deGrom posted his historic 2018 numbers en route to his Cy Young, we knew that there would be regression coming in 2019. Carrying over a 1.70 ERA, 1.94 average against, and a 0.91 WHIP wasn't sustainable, and we knew that. For his encore in 2019, he posted a 2.43 ERA, .205 average against, and a 0.97 WHIP. So when people mention that Flaherty's second half is the driving force around his price tag, they aren't wrong. His second half was historic - especially compared to his first half of 2019, where he struggled mightly. But even with regression to his second-half numbers - 0.91 ERA, .142 average against, and 0.71 WHIP - Flaherty has the pedigree, sample size, and stuff to be the ace for your team. Don't overthink it."
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Luis Castillo in 2020 is similar to Jose Berrios in 2019. He's ranked as if he took that next step into ace territory. The thought was off for Berrios, but it's spot-on for Castillo. While it's better to look at a full season's worth of stats compared to splitting it up to get a full view of the performance, it's the stretches of dominance that Castillo showed in his first 20 starts that has people so excited about him in 2020. With elite strikeout numbers and an improved GB rate, Castillo could give you a second top-10 pitcher on your staff if you take him here.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 If ever there were a tale of two halves, it was Flaherty's 2019 season. A 4.64 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP in the first half, followed by a preposterous 0.91 ERA and 0.71 WHIP in the second half. His strikeout rate jumped, his walk rate dropped, and he saw a gain of almost a mile per hour on his fastball. The real Flaherty likely lies somewhere in between his first and second halves, but that should be a top-10 pitcher in 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Regression just never really hit for Castillo last year, despite a walk rate of 10.1%, fourth-worst in the league among qualified pitchers. There's no doubting Castillo's stuff, particularly his devastating changeup, and the Reds should be more competitive than they have been in years. But he simply has to cut down on the free passes if he wants to build on his breakout 2019. There's every reason to think he will as he continue to grow as a pitcher, and should make a reliable second fantasy starter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros