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Who Should I Draft?

Jack Flaherty or Luis Castillo (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
Experts' Pick
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Expert
Recommendation
50%
Recommended by
25 of 50 experts
50%
Recommended by
25 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 10# 11
Best Rank# 7# 6
Worst Rank# 18# 17
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 32# 27
Best Rank# 27# 24
Worst Rank# 34# 38
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts205216
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.483.52
WHIP1.111.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 8
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 13# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 7
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 11# 10
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 12# 11
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 10# 8
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 11
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 10
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 15# 10
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 8
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 13# 8
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 7
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 11# 10
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 8# 6
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 9
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 11# 10
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 11# 8
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 11# 7
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 12# 9
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 11# 8
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 14# 12
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 11# 10
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 11# 6
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 10# 8
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 14
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 8# 15
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 8# 13
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 8# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 8# 9
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 8# 13
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 8# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 8# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 8# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 8# 11
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 12
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 9# 17
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 12
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 10# 13
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 10# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 10# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 11
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 12
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 15
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 13# 14
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 13# 14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played912
   
Games Started912
   
Innings Pitched40.170.1
   
Wins44
   
Losses36
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3362
   
Earned Runs2226
   
Home Runs Allowed65
   
Strikeouts4989
   
Walks1624
   
ERA4.913.34
   
WHIP1.211.23
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3131
   
Games Started3131
   
Innings Pitched173.0183.9
   
Wins1213
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed138154
   
Earned Runs6772
   
Home Runs Allowed2321
   
Strikeouts205216
   
Walks5463
   
ERA3.483.52
   
WHIP1.111.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
News 
 Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty got the better of Stephen Strasburg on Tuesday night, pitching five innings (96 pitches) of one-run ball while yielding only three hits and striking out six.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Apr 14th
Luis Castillo allowed four runs on seven hits -- including two home runs -- over five innings in a no-decision against the Giants on Tuesday. He struck out seven and walked none.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Apr 14th
 After struggling in his season debut, Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty pitched six scoreless innings against the Marlins on Wednesday, yielding only one hit while issuing four walks to go along with six strikeouts while picking up his first win of the season.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Apr 7th
Luis Castillo (1-1) earned the win Wednesday against the Pirates. He threw seven scoreless innings while allowing four hits and one walk. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Apr 7th
 Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty had a rocky season debut on Thursday, lasting only 4.1 innings while surrendering six hits, six earned runs, and two walks to go along with four strikeouts.
Lucas Spence
Fri, Apr 2nd
Luis Castillo (0-1) allowed 10 runs (8 earned) on eight hits and two walks over 3.1 innings in a loss to the Cardinals on Thursday. He did not record a strikeout.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Apr 2nd
 MLB Network's Jon Heyman reports that Cardinals manager Mike Shildt has confirmed Jack Flaherty will be the team's Opening Day starter against Cincinnati.
Lucas Spence
Thu, Feb 25th
Reds RHP Luis Castillo threw live batting practice on Monday for the first time this spring.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Mar 8th
 Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty won his arbitration case against the team and will earn $3.9 million in 2021.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Feb 13th
Luis Castillo agreed to a one-year, $4.2 million deal with the Reds to avoid arbitration.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jan 15th
Notes 
 Flaherty ended up with a 4.91 ERA, but that hardly represents his actual performance, given that he allowed nine runs in a three-inning start in September. If you take out that outing, Flaherty had just a 3.13 ERA, and he didn't allow more than three earned runs in any of his eight other starts. Given that Flaherty's season was shorter than most due to the Cardinals' COVID-19 issues, it's fair to essentially throw out at that one abysmal outing, considering his other numbers were relatively consistent from 2019. Indeed, his swinging strike rate improved, as did his K/9 rate and ground ball percentage. With his devastating slider, Flaherty should still be considered one of the top pitchers in the real and fantasy game, and is capable of fronting a fantasy staff.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Castillo turned in another excellent season last year, cutting his walk rate and striking out batters at a higher rate than he ever had in his career. His WHIP increased to a career-worst 1.23, but that was largely due to bad luck, as batters hit .232 against him despite an expected batting average of just .212. Nevertheless, Castillo kept runs off the board, largely because he was able to avoid home runs (just five in 70 innings) and limit free passes. Castillo is capable of fronting a fantasy pitching staff, though he's more of a low-end ace, and there are plenty of trade rumors following him around. But, given his reliable production and increased strikeout rate the past two seasons, he can be drafted with confidence.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The word that keeps coming up for Flaherty's fantasy analysis is rhythm. In the second half of 2019, which is when Flaherty put together one of the most impressive second halves in baseball history, he had rhythm. Meanwhile, the Cardinals' 2020 season lacked anything resembling a routine. Flaherty and his teammates dealt with a COVID-19 outbreak as well as a plethora of doubleheaders late in the year to make up for lost time. And yet, if it wasn't for one disastrous start, Flaherty still would've been a borderline ace last summer. When you take out his worst start of the year, Flaherty's ERA drops from 4.91 to 3.13. I'm betting that 2021 goes more smoothly for St. Louis.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros