Who Should I Draft?

Jacob deGrom or Blake Snell (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
56 of 56 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 8
Best Rank# 1# 3
Worst Rank# 7# 16
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 10# 28
Best Rank# 9# 27
Worst Rank# 13# 30
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts246216
Wins1514
Saves00
ERA2.733.15
WHIP1.051.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 1# 12
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 7
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 10
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 2# 11
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 2# 7
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 3# 7
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 2# 7
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 2# 9
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 3# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 2# 5
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 8
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 4# 11
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 10
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 3# 7
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 6# 14
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 3# 9
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 3# 6
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 2# 3
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 6
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 3# 8
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 3# 7
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 3# 9
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 3# 9
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 2# 8
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 3# 9
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 3# 9
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 3# 10
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 7
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 2# 8
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 2# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 2# 9
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 3# 12
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 3# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 5# 16
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 3# 9
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 2# 8
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 2# 8
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 3# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 2# 11
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 2# 7
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 2# 6
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 7
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 2# 7
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 2# 5
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 3# 9
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 8
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 3# 8
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 4# 6
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 7# 10
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 3# 11
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 2# 8
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 3# 9
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 2# 8
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 3# 5
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 2# 8
   
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3231
   
Games Started3231
   
Innings Pitched217.1181.1
   
Wins1021
   
Losses95
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed152112
   
Earned Runs4138
   
Home Runs Allowed1016
   
Strikeouts269221
   
Walks4664
   
ERA1.701.89
   
WHIP0.910.97
   
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3132
   
Games Started3132
   
Innings Pitched207.4182.9
   
Wins1514
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed167145
   
Earned Runs6364
   
Home Runs Allowed1919
   
Strikeouts246216
   
Walks5272
   
ERA2.733.15
   
WHIP1.051.18
   
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Blake Snell
SP - TB
Blake Snell
News 
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom allowed two earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out eight over seven innings in a no-decision against the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday. The game was suspended in the ninth inning at 4-4 and is scheduled to be completed on Friday.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 14th
Blake Snell allowed four runs (three earned) on five hits with three strikeouts and four walks across 3 1/3 innings during a no-decision against the Angels on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom allowed two earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out 10 over six innings in a loss to the Colorado Rockies on Friday. The loss drops him to 3-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 8th
Blake Snell pitched six innings of one-run ball giving up five hits and walking one while striking out seven batters in Sunday's win over the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
 Mets starting pitcher Jacob deGrom allowed one earned run on five hits and one walk while striking out seven over 6 2/3 innings before leaving the game with what is being called a hip cramp in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Saturday.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 2nd
Blake Snell (3-5) took the loss Tuesday versus the Tigers by allowing six runs on seven hits across 4 1/3 innings. He struck out eight and walked two.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 5th
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom allowed two earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out just two over five innings in a no-decision against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday.
Mike Maher
Tue, May 28th
Blake Snell allowed two runs on six hits and two walks across six innings during Wednesday's extra-inning win over the Blue Jays. He struck out five but did not factor in the decision.
John Aubin
Thu, May 30th
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom allowed one run on two hits and three walks over six innings while striking out eight in a no-decision against the Washington Nationals.
Mike Maher
Thu, May 23rd
Blake Snell gave up one run on four hits and three walks while striking out seven over 6 2/3 innings Friday in a no-decision against the Indians.
John Aubin
Sat, May 25th
Notes 
 deGrom was magical in 2018 and while there is a chance that continues into this season, we have to remember that the two prior seasons, he carried a 3.32 ERA with just 382 Ks and 22 wins. While that makes for a useful pitcher, the risk of him returning to that leaves him below Sale and Scherzer's tier
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Snell may have posted the single greatest second half of any pitcher in the last 50 years with a 1.17 ERA, .155 BAA and 12.7 K/9. There is a chance he finishes as the #1 fantasy pitcher this season, but both Scherzer and Sale are safer bets because of their sustained reliability
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 DeGrom was already a high-end starter, but he took his performance to another level in 2019, boosting his strikeout rate to over 11 Ks per nine, cutting his walk rate to less than two BBs per nine, and posting a ridiculous 1.70 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. He only won 10 games, but still produced just as much fantasy value as Max Scherzer. DeGrom's strikeout rate, while excellent, isn't on the same level as Scherzer or Chris Sale, and his ERA and WHIP can't help but creep up a bit this year. Don't pay for last season's stats, but deGrom should still be one of the first four pitchers taken in fantasy drafts.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Snell experienced a massive breakout in 2018, establishing himself as a bonafide fantasy ace. It's fairly obvious that his 1.89 ERA is due for some regression, but the question is how much. He cut his walk rate, but it is still a bit higher than most of the top-tier starters, and his .241 BABIP allowed and 88 percent left-on-base percentage are highly unlikely to happen again. Pitching in the AL East also remain a tough assignment, although at least his home park is pitcher-friendly. Snell may see his ERA and WHIP rise to over 3.00 and 1.15, respectively, but he can still be a legit number one starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Because of his suffering, deGrom might have killed the win for good. He became the first qualified starter since 2015 to post an ERA (1.70) or FIP (1.99) below 2.00 and the first since Clayton Kershaw in 2014 to do both. He recorded 28 quality starts in 32 turns, but only won 10 games because wins and the Mets are bad. He'd be destined for better fortune even if backed up by a Double-A lineup, but the Mets have added Robinson Cano, Jed Lowrie, and Wilson Ramos to a now quality lineup. He closed the season with 24 straight quality starts, offering at least six strikeouts each time. His ERA will rise above 2.00, maybe even 2.50, but deGrom is a legitimate top-three ace who should pair 250 strikeouts with elite ratios, and probably more wins.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Snell is going to regress. That's not necessarily a cause for panic, as his ERA could rise a full run and remain a resounding 2.89. His control (9.1 BB%) is lacking for a top-tier ace, but Tampa Bay's southpaw also permitted the lowest contact rate (66.6%) of all qualified starters while sporting the fourth-best swinging-strike rate (15.1%). He could approach 240-250 strikeouts with an innings uptick, so don't flea as long as his price factors in some regression.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros