Who Should I Draft?

Jacob deGrom or Gerrit Cole (2019)

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Experts' Pick
 
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
58 of 59 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 5
Best Rank# 1# 4
Worst Rank# 7# 10
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 10# 27
Best Rank# 9# 24
Worst Rank# 13# 28
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts246237
Wins1515
Saves00
ERA2.733.31
WHIP1.051.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
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Brandon Funston
The Athletic		# 1# 6
   
Andy Behrens
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Yahoo! Sports		# 2# 6
   
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Brad Richter
DailyOverlay		# 2# 9
   
Michael Beller
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Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix		# 2# 5
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today		# 2# 5
   
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Grey Albright
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Ariel Cohen
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Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List		# 3# 9
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix		# 2# 5
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners		# 7# 5
   
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3232
   
Games Started3232
   
Innings Pitched217.1200.2
   
Wins1015
   
Losses95
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed152143
   
Earned Runs4164
   
Home Runs Allowed1019
   
Strikeouts269276
   
Walks4664
   
ERA1.702.88
   
WHIP0.911.03
   
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3132
   
Games Started3132
   
Innings Pitched207.4196.9
   
Wins1515
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed167164
   
Earned Runs6372
   
Home Runs Allowed1923
   
Strikeouts246237
   
Walks5259
   
ERA2.733.31
   
WHIP1.051.13
   
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
News 
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom tossed seven shutout innings in Wednesday's win over the Miami Marlins, allowing two hits and one walk while striking out seven. The win brings him to 11-8 on the year.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 26th		Gerrit Cole (20-5) gave up one run on four hits and two walks while striking out 10 through five innings in Sunday's 8-5 win over the Angels. He picked up his 20th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 29th
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom tossed seven shutout innings in Friday's win over the Reds, allowing four hits and no walks while striking out nine.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 21st		Gerrit Cole (19-5) allowed two hits and zero walks while striking out 14 through seven scoreless innings in Tuesday's 3-0 win over the Mariners. He picked up his 19th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 25th
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom allowed one earned runs on three hits and one walk while striking out 11 over seven innings in Monday's win over the Diamondbacks. The win brings him to 9-8 on the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 10th		Gerrit Cole (18-5) allowed two runs on six hits while striking out 10 though eight innings in the Astros 3-2 win over the Rangers. He picked up his 18th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 19th
 Jake DeGrom allowed four runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out six through seven innings in Tuesday’s 11-10 loss to the Nationals. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 4th		Gerrit Cole (17-5) allowed four hits and two walks while striking out 11 through eight scoreless innings in Friday's 4-1 win over the Royals. He earned his 17th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 14th
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom allowed four earned runs on five hits and no walks while striking out seven over seven innings in Thursday's loss to the Cubs. The loss drops him to 8-8 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Aug 29th		Gerrit Cole (16-5) allowed one run on one hit with no walks while striking out 15 in Sunday's 21-1 win over the Mariners. He picked up his 16th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 9th
Notes 
 deGrom was magical in 2018 and while there is a chance that continues into this season, we have to remember that the two prior seasons, he carried a 3.32 ERA with just 382 Ks and 22 wins. While that makes for a useful pitcher, the risk of him returning to that leaves him below Sale and Scherzer's tier
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros		You can look at Cole's 3.50 second half ERA and assume he got worse over the season, but all the underlying numbers suggest he was actually better. Don't shy away from him because of a false fear of his risk. Rather, expect another 250+ strikeouts with plenty of wins and excellent ratios
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 DeGrom was already a high-end starter, but he took his performance to another level in 2019, boosting his strikeout rate to over 11 Ks per nine, cutting his walk rate to less than two BBs per nine, and posting a ridiculous 1.70 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. He only won 10 games, but still produced just as much fantasy value as Max Scherzer. DeGrom's strikeout rate, while excellent, isn't on the same level as Scherzer or Chris Sale, and his ERA and WHIP can't help but creep up a bit this year. Don't pay for last season's stats, but deGrom should still be one of the first four pitchers taken in fantasy drafts.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros		Cole was trending in a bad direction over his last couple years in Pittsburgh, but a move to Houston completely revived his career. As an Astro, Cole ditched an ineffective sinker and dramatically increased his spin rate on his fastball, and the result was a career-best 12.4 K/9 rate along with a shiny 2.88 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Cole doesn't have the extended track record of dominance that some of the other fantasy aces possess, but there is little reason to doubt that he can replicate his success in his second season in Houston.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Because of his suffering, deGrom might have killed the win for good. He became the first qualified starter since 2015 to post an ERA (1.70) or FIP (1.99) below 2.00 and the first since Clayton Kershaw in 2014 to do both. He recorded 28 quality starts in 32 turns, but only won 10 games because wins and the Mets are bad. He'd be destined for better fortune even if backed up by a Double-A lineup, but the Mets have added Robinson Cano, Jed Lowrie, and Wilson Ramos to a now quality lineup. He closed the season with 24 straight quality starts, offering at least six strikeouts each time. His ERA will rise above 2.00, maybe even 2.50, but deGrom is a legitimate top-three ace who should pair 250 strikeouts with elite ratios, and probably more wins.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros		The Astros unlocked Cole's ace upside by tabling a middling sinker for more sliders and curveballs. He also revamped his fastball, which yielded a .268 wOBA after allowing a .334 wOBA in his last year with the Pirates. As a result, his strikeout and swinging-strike rates skyrocketed to 34.5 and 14.1%, respectively. His contact rate dropped eight points to 71.5, and he earned his 2.88 ERA with a 2.70 FIP and 2.91 SIERA. Trust the breakout and treat the strikeout artist on a title contender as a borderline top-five hurler alongside teammate Justin Verlander.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros