Who Should I Draft?

Jacob deGrom or Gerrit Cole (2019)

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Experts' Pick
 
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
55 of 56 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 5
Best Rank# 1# 4
Worst Rank# 7# 10
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 10# 27
Best Rank# 9# 24
Worst Rank# 13# 28
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts246237
Wins1515
Saves00
ERA2.733.31
WHIP1.051.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic		# 1# 6
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports		# 2# 5
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports		# 2# 6
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy		# 2# 4
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2		# 2# 9
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated		# 3# 8
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix		# 2# 5
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today		# 2# 5
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp		# 3# 9
   
Grey Albright
Razzball		# 2# 6
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball		# 2# 4
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat		# 4# 10
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire		# 2# 5
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic		# 3# 5
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome		# 6# 8
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic		# 3# 5
   
Scott White
CBS Sports		# 3# 9
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports		# 2# 7
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports		# 2# 5
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice		# 3# 6
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic		# 3# 5
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet		# 3# 5
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain		# 3# 5
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros		# 2# 5
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball		# 3# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall		# 3# 4
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic		# 3# 6
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack		# 3# 5
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic		# 2# 5
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore		# 2# 5
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams		# 2# 4
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports		# 3# 8
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball		# 3# 7
   
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Sporfolio		# 5# 9
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports		# 3# 6
   
Paul Sporer
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Pitcher List		# 2# 6
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller		# 3# 7
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller		# 2# 6
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros		# 2# 6
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs		# 2# 5
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack		# 2# 5
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball		# 2# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball		# 2# 7
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros		# 3# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller		# 3# 7
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros		# 4# 6
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats		# 3# 7
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball		# 4# 7
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine		# 3# 6
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax		# 2# 5
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams		# 3# 6
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs		# 2# 6
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List		# 3# 9
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix		# 2# 5
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners		# 7# 5
   
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3232
   
Games Started3232
   
Innings Pitched217.1200.2
   
Wins1015
   
Losses95
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed152143
   
Earned Runs4164
   
Home Runs Allowed1019
   
Strikeouts269276
   
Walks4664
   
ERA1.702.88
   
WHIP0.911.03
   
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3132
   
Games Started3132
   
Innings Pitched207.4196.9
   
Wins1515
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed167164
   
Earned Runs6372
   
Home Runs Allowed1923
   
Strikeouts246237
   
Walks5259
   
ERA2.733.31
   
WHIP1.051.13
   
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Gerrit Cole
SP - HOU
Gerrit Cole
News 
 Jacob deGrom (4-6) allowed two runs on eight hits and no walks while striking out nine over six innings in a no-decision against the Cubs on Sunday.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Jun 24th		Gerrit Cole allowed one run on seven hits, two walks, and three strikeouts through six innings on Tuesday against the Pirates.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Jun 26th
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom allowed two earned runs on five hits and no walks while striking out 10 over 8 1/3 innings in a win over the Atlanta Braves on Tuesday. The win brings him to 4-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 19th		Gerrit Cole allowed one run on six hits and three walks over six innings against the Reds on Wednesday. He struck out eight and did not factor into the decision.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 20th
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom allowed two earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out eight over seven innings in a no-decision against the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday. The game was suspended in the ninth inning at 4-4 and is scheduled to be completed on Friday.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 14th		Gerrit Cole surrendered two runs on three hits, two walks, and 10 strikeouts through six innings on Friday against Toronto.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Jun 15th
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom allowed two earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out 10 over six innings in a loss to the Colorado Rockies on Friday. The loss drops him to 3-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 8th		Gerrit Cole allowed three runs (one earned) on four hits over seven innings against the Orioles Friday. He struck out 14.
Dan Harris
Mon, Jun 10th
 Mets starting pitcher Jacob deGrom allowed one earned run on five hits and one walk while striking out seven over 6 2/3 innings before leaving the game with what is being called a hip cramp in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Saturday.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 2nd		Gerrit Cole allowed two runs on four hits, two walks, and four strikeouts through six innings on Sunday against Oakland.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Jun 3rd
Notes 
 deGrom was magical in 2018 and while there is a chance that continues into this season, we have to remember that the two prior seasons, he carried a 3.32 ERA with just 382 Ks and 22 wins. While that makes for a useful pitcher, the risk of him returning to that leaves him below Sale and Scherzer's tier
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros		You can look at Cole's 3.50 second half ERA and assume he got worse over the season, but all the underlying numbers suggest he was actually better. Don't shy away from him because of a false fear of his risk. Rather, expect another 250+ strikeouts with plenty of wins and excellent ratios
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 DeGrom was already a high-end starter, but he took his performance to another level in 2019, boosting his strikeout rate to over 11 Ks per nine, cutting his walk rate to less than two BBs per nine, and posting a ridiculous 1.70 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. He only won 10 games, but still produced just as much fantasy value as Max Scherzer. DeGrom's strikeout rate, while excellent, isn't on the same level as Scherzer or Chris Sale, and his ERA and WHIP can't help but creep up a bit this year. Don't pay for last season's stats, but deGrom should still be one of the first four pitchers taken in fantasy drafts.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros		Cole was trending in a bad direction over his last couple years in Pittsburgh, but a move to Houston completely revived his career. As an Astro, Cole ditched an ineffective sinker and dramatically increased his spin rate on his fastball, and the result was a career-best 12.4 K/9 rate along with a shiny 2.88 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Cole doesn't have the extended track record of dominance that some of the other fantasy aces possess, but there is little reason to doubt that he can replicate his success in his second season in Houston.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Because of his suffering, deGrom might have killed the win for good. He became the first qualified starter since 2015 to post an ERA (1.70) or FIP (1.99) below 2.00 and the first since Clayton Kershaw in 2014 to do both. He recorded 28 quality starts in 32 turns, but only won 10 games because wins and the Mets are bad. He'd be destined for better fortune even if backed up by a Double-A lineup, but the Mets have added Robinson Cano, Jed Lowrie, and Wilson Ramos to a now quality lineup. He closed the season with 24 straight quality starts, offering at least six strikeouts each time. His ERA will rise above 2.00, maybe even 2.50, but deGrom is a legitimate top-three ace who should pair 250 strikeouts with elite ratios, and probably more wins.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros		The Astros unlocked Cole's ace upside by tabling a middling sinker for more sliders and curveballs. He also revamped his fastball, which yielded a .268 wOBA after allowing a .334 wOBA in his last year with the Pirates. As a result, his strikeout and swinging-strike rates skyrocketed to 34.5 and 14.1%, respectively. His contact rate dropped eight points to 71.5, and he earned his 2.88 ERA with a 2.70 FIP and 2.91 SIERA. Trust the breakout and treat the strikeout artist on a title contender as a borderline top-five hurler alongside teammate Justin Verlander.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros