Who Should I Draft?
James Karinchak or Dinelson Lamet (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Dinelson Lamet SP - SD  | James Karinchak RP - CLE  | |
Expert |
76% Recommended by 38 of 50 experts |
24% Recommended by 12 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 40 | # 49 |
| Best Rank | # 19 | # 28 |
| Worst Rank | # 262 | # 117 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 106 | # 102 |
| Best Rank | # 71 | # 94 |
| Worst Rank | # 113 | # 129 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 169 | 99 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Saves | 0 | 22 |
| ERA | 3.42 | 3.23 |
| WHIP | 1.11 | 1.19 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | IL10 | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 42 | # 58 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 47 | # 68 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 53 | # 55 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 38 | # 51 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 20 | # 40 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 37 | # 44 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 22 | # 47 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 27 | # 43 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 31 | # 45 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 31 | # 49 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 44 | # 55 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 33 | # 37 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 25 | # 49 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 30 | # 61 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 35 | # 40 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 23 | # 36 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 55 | # 100 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 54 | # 82 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 39 | # 43 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 55 | # 117 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 52 | # 53 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 43 | # 47 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 29 | # 92 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 56 | # 62 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 19 | # 56 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 37 | # 43 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 36 | # 54 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 22 | # 45 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 32 | # 33 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 33 | # 35 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 24 | # 28 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 34 | # 43 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 39 | # 61 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 38 | # 48 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 39 | # 47 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 37 | # 60 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 66 | # 98 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 37 | # 65 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 33 | # 31 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 50 | # 32 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 47 | # 34 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 262 | # 37 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 43 | # 38 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 56 | # 40 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 54 | # 40 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 43 | # 40 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 62 | # 43 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 57 | # 56 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 64 | # 58 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 62 | # 60 |
| Dinelson Lamet SP - SD | James Karinchak RP - CLE | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 12 | 27 |
| Games Started | 12 | 0 |
| Innings Pitched | 69.0 | 27.0 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Saves | 0 | 1 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 3 |
| Holds | 0 | 8 |
| Hits Allowed | 39 | 14 |
| Earned Runs | 16 | 8 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 5 | 1 |
| Strikeouts | 93 | 53 |
| Walks | 20 | 16 |
| ERA | 2.09 | 2.67 |
| WHIP | 0.86 | 1.11 |
| Dinelson Lamet SP - SD | James Karinchak RP - CLE | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 24 | 61 |
| Games Started | 24 | 0 |
| Innings Pitched | 130.4 | 61.3 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Saves | 0 | 22 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 9 |
| Holds | 0 | 6 |
| Hits Allowed | 101 | 40 |
| Earned Runs | 49 | 22 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 17 | 7 |
| Strikeouts | 169 | 99 |
| Walks | 44 | 32 |
| ERA | 3.42 | 3.23 |
| WHIP | 1.11 | 1.19 |
| Dinelson Lamet SP - SD | James Karinchak RP - CLE | |
| News | ||
| Dinelson Lamet threw 3.2 innings in Peoria, Arizona Friday at the Padres alternate site. Ari Koslow Sat, Apr 10th | Cleveland reliever James Karinchak struck out the lone batter he faced in a 3-0 loss to the Royals on Monday. Matthew Terelle Mon, Apr 5th | |
| The Padres placed RHP Dinelson Lamet (elbow) on the 10-day injured list. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Thu, Apr 1st | ||
| Dinelson Lamet (elbow) pitched one inning in his Cactus League debut on Wednesday. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Thu, Mar 25th | ||
| Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet (elbow) might not be ready in time for the Opening Day rotation. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Fri, Mar 19th | ||
| Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet threw a multi-inning sim game on Thursday. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Thu, Mar 18th | ||
| Notes | ||
| Lamet had a dominant curveball in 2019 which he threw 31.7% of the time. Batters hit just .105 against it that year with a .193 wOBA. But Lamet ditched it entirely in 2020, and instead replaced it by greatly upping his slider usage, from 12.2% in 2019 to 53.4% in 2020. And somehow, his slider was even better than his curveball ever was. Batters hit 0.80 against it with a .120 slugging percentage and a .141 wOBA. It was, simply put, the best pitch in baseball last year. Unfortunately, Lamet's arm couldn't hold up to the stress, and he missed the end of the regular season and the playoffs because of an elbow injury. He underwent PRP therapy on his elbow in October and is progressing well, but the Padres' focus on adding starting pitching this offseason suggests that they are not expecting to have Lamet for the full season. Monitor his health this spring, but understand that even if he begins the year healthy, there are plenty of injury concerns. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Karinchak is expected to be Cleveland's closer after Brad Hand moved on to the Nationals, though it's not a sure thing yet. Yes, he walks too many batters (5.33 per nine innings), but you can get away with it when you strike out nearly half the batters you face and hitters bat .151 against you overall. Karinchak has two absolutely devastating pitches: a mid-90's fastball (.184 batting average against, .151 xBA) and a power curveball (.140 batting average against, .114 xBA). Cleveland may not have a ton of success this year and hence save opportunities may be limited, but Karinchak can be a dominant fantasy reliever if he gets the job. Monitor reports out of the spring to see when and if Terry Francona formerly anoints him as the closer. If he does, he should vault to being a top-6 or 7 reliever. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| "Special K" used the third-highest rate of elevated four seamers to produce a dominant season out of the bullpen. 53 strikeouts in 27 innings led to the second-highest strikeout rate in baseball (behind only Devin Williams). Karinchak was blocked for saves by Brad Hand during the 2020 season, but his departure this offseason opens the door for Karinchak to handle ninth inning duties. Assuming Cleveland doesn't sign a "traditional" veteran closer, then I'd aggressively draft Karinchak as a top-three reliever for fantasy baseball purposes. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | ||
