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Who Should I Draft?

James Karinchak or Dinelson Lamet (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Dinelson Lamet
SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Expert
Recommendation
76%
Recommended by
38 of 50 experts
24%
Recommended by
12 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 40# 49
Best Rank# 19# 28
Worst Rank# 262# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 106# 102
Best Rank# 71# 94
Worst Rank# 113# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts16999
Wins93
Saves022
ERA3.423.23
WHIP1.111.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 58
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 47# 68
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 53# 55
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 38# 51
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 20# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 37# 44
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 22# 47
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 27# 43
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 31# 45
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 31# 49
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 44# 55
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 33# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 25# 49
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 30# 61
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 40
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 23# 36
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 55# 100
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 54# 82
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 39# 43
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 55# 117
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 52# 53
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 43# 47
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 29# 92
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 62
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 56
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 37# 43
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 36# 54
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 45
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 32# 33
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 33# 35
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 24# 28
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 34# 43
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 39# 61
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 38# 48
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 39# 47
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 37# 60
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 66# 98
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 37# 65
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 33# 31
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 50# 32
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 47# 34
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 262# 37
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 38
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 56# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 54# 40
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 43# 40
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 62# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 56
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 64# 58
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 62# 60
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Dinelson Lamet
SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1227
   
Games Started120
   
Innings Pitched69.027.0
   
Wins31
   
Losses12
   
Saves01
   
Blown Saves03
   
Holds08
   
Hits Allowed3914
   
Earned Runs168
   
Home Runs Allowed51
   
Strikeouts9353
   
Walks2016
   
ERA2.092.67
   
WHIP0.861.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Dinelson Lamet
SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2461
   
Games Started240
   
Innings Pitched130.461.3
   
Wins93
   
Losses63
   
Saves022
   
Blown Saves09
   
Holds06
   
Hits Allowed10140
   
Earned Runs4922
   
Home Runs Allowed177
   
Strikeouts16999
   
Walks4432
   
ERA3.423.23
   
WHIP1.111.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Dinelson Lamet
SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
News 
 Dinelson Lamet threw 3.2 innings in Peoria, Arizona Friday at the Padres alternate site.
Ari Koslow
Sat, Apr 10th
Cleveland reliever James Karinchak struck out the lone batter he faced in a 3-0 loss to the Royals on Monday.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Apr 5th
 The Padres placed RHP Dinelson Lamet (elbow) on the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 1st
 
 Dinelson Lamet (elbow) pitched one inning in his Cactus League debut on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Mar 25th
 
 Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet (elbow) might not be ready in time for the Opening Day rotation.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Mar 19th
 
 Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet threw a multi-inning sim game on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Mar 18th
 
Notes 
 Lamet had a dominant curveball in 2019 which he threw 31.7% of the time. Batters hit just .105 against it that year with a .193 wOBA. But Lamet ditched it entirely in 2020, and instead replaced it by greatly upping his slider usage, from 12.2% in 2019 to 53.4% in 2020. And somehow, his slider was even better than his curveball ever was. Batters hit 0.80 against it with a .120 slugging percentage and a .141 wOBA. It was, simply put, the best pitch in baseball last year. Unfortunately, Lamet's arm couldn't hold up to the stress, and he missed the end of the regular season and the playoffs because of an elbow injury. He underwent PRP therapy on his elbow in October and is progressing well, but the Padres' focus on adding starting pitching this offseason suggests that they are not expecting to have Lamet for the full season. Monitor his health this spring, but understand that even if he begins the year healthy, there are plenty of injury concerns.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Karinchak is expected to be Cleveland's closer after Brad Hand moved on to the Nationals, though it's not a sure thing yet. Yes, he walks too many batters (5.33 per nine innings), but you can get away with it when you strike out nearly half the batters you face and hitters bat .151 against you overall. Karinchak has two absolutely devastating pitches: a mid-90's fastball (.184 batting average against, .151 xBA) and a power curveball (.140 batting average against, .114 xBA). Cleveland may not have a ton of success this year and hence save opportunities may be limited, but Karinchak can be a dominant fantasy reliever if he gets the job. Monitor reports out of the spring to see when and if Terry Francona formerly anoints him as the closer. If he does, he should vault to being a top-6 or 7 reliever.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  "Special K" used the third-highest rate of elevated four seamers to produce a dominant season out of the bullpen. 53 strikeouts in 27 innings led to the second-highest strikeout rate in baseball (behind only Devin Williams). Karinchak was blocked for saves by Brad Hand during the 2020 season, but his departure this offseason opens the door for Karinchak to handle ninth inning duties. Assuming Cleveland doesn't sign a "traditional" veteran closer, then I'd aggressively draft Karinchak as a top-three reliever for fantasy baseball purposes.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros