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Who Should I Draft?

James Karinchak or Frankie Montas (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Frankie Montas
SP - OAK
Frankie Montas
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
31 of 51 experts
39%
Recommended by
20 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 49# 51
Best Rank# 28# 36
Worst Rank# 117# 88
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 102# 168
Best Rank# 94# 141
Worst Rank# 129# 187
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts99143
Wins39
Saves220
ERA3.234.07
WHIP1.191.28
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertMiLB-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 55# 58
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 51# 88
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 40# 60
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 44# 52
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 43# 66
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 45# 58
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 49# 73
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 37# 53
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 49# 52
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 32# 60
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 54
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 40# 59
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 36# 54
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 40# 62
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 43# 49
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 38# 49
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 37# 59
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 43# 54
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 54# 55
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 45# 66
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 33# 49
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 56
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 28# 58
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 43# 52
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 40# 79
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 31# 43
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 61# 65
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 48# 77
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 34# 87
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 47# 52
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 37# 76
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 42
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 47# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 47# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 53# 41
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 55# 46
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 56# 49
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 56# 47
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 49
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 58# 51
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 60# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 60# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 61# 42
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 62# 51
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 65# 46
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 68# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 82# 49
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 92# 37
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 98# 36
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 100# 47
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 117# 39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Frankie Montas
SP - OAK
Frankie Montas
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2711
   
Games Started011
   
Innings Pitched27.053.2
   
Wins13
   
Losses25
   
Saves10
   
Blown Saves30
   
Holds80
   
Hits Allowed1457
   
Earned Runs833
   
Home Runs Allowed110
   
Strikeouts5360
   
Walks1623
   
ERA2.675.60
   
WHIP1.111.51
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Frankie Montas
SP - OAK
Frankie Montas
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6127
   
Games Started026
   
Innings Pitched61.3142.0
   
Wins39
   
Losses38
   
Saves220
   
Blown Saves90
   
Holds60
   
Hits Allowed40137
   
Earned Runs2264
   
Home Runs Allowed721
   
Strikeouts99143
   
Walks3244
   
ERA3.234.07
   
WHIP1.191.28
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Frankie Montas
SP - OAK
Frankie Montas
News 
 The Cleveland Indians have optioned reliever James Karinchak to Triple-A Columbus. His roster spot will go to first baseman Bobby Bradley, who was activated from the IL.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 28th
Frankie Montas earned the win on Friday against Houston, allowing two runs (one earned) on two hits over seven innings with eight strikeouts and three walks.
Ari Koslow
Sat, Sep 25th
 Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak threw 1 1/3 scoreless innings in a 7-2 win over the Rangers on Wednesday. He struck out two and allowed just one hit.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Aug 26th
Frankie Montas took the no-decision on Sunday against the Angels, allowing one hit over seven shutout innings with seven strikeouts and four walks.
Ari Koslow
Mon, Sep 20th
 Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak allowed a run in his lone inning of work in a 4-3 loss to Oakland on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Aug 11th
Frankie Montas took the no-decision on Tuesday against the Royals, allowing four runs on eight hits over 3.1 innings with four strikeouts and two walks.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 15th
 Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak allowed three runs in 1/3 of an inning in a 12-11 win over the White Sox on Saturday. He walked one and gave up two hits, including a two-run homer.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Aug 1st
Frankie Montas earned the win on Wednesday against the White Sox, allowing one run on six hits over seven innings with seven strikeouts and two walks.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Sep 9th
 Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak threw a scoreless eighth inning in a 3-2 win over the Rays on Sunday. He worked around one walk in the frame.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Jul 25th
Frankie Montas earned the win against Detroit on Thursday, allowing three runs on five hits over 6.2 innings with seven strikeouts and three walks.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Sep 3rd
Notes 
 Karinchak is expected to be Cleveland's closer after Brad Hand moved on to the Nationals, though it's not a sure thing yet. Yes, he walks too many batters (5.33 per nine innings), but you can get away with it when you strike out nearly half the batters you face and hitters bat .151 against you overall. Karinchak has two absolutely devastating pitches: a mid-90's fastball (.184 batting average against, .151 xBA) and a power curveball (.140 batting average against, .114 xBA). Cleveland may not have a ton of success this year and hence save opportunities may be limited, but Karinchak can be a dominant fantasy reliever if he gets the job. Monitor reports out of the spring to see when and if Terry Francona formerly anoints him as the closer. If he does, he should vault to being a top-6 or 7 reliever.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Montas had a terrible 2020 season, but it was more than likely due to a back injury he suffered early on which probably bothered him throughout the year. He started off with four excellent starts (four runs and 22 strikeouts in 23 innings) before he was scratched with back tightness and returned with lower velocity. Yes, he had the PED suspension in 2019, but Montas's splitter was, and should continue to be when a healthy, a dominant pitch, and a healthy season should mean a return to being a starter you can "set and forget." If he can ever get away from throwing his sinker so much, and incorporate more of his splitter and/or four-seam fastball, he could be a monster. Montas was diagnosed with COVID-19 right at the start of spring training, but he has returned healthy and looked good in the spring, so he's an ideal sleeper.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 "Special K" used the third-highest rate of elevated four seamers to produce a dominant season out of the bullpen. 53 strikeouts in 27 innings led to the second-highest strikeout rate in baseball (behind only Devin Williams). Karinchak was blocked for saves by Brad Hand during the 2020 season, but his departure this offseason opens the door for Karinchak to handle ninth inning duties. Assuming Cleveland doesn't sign a "traditional" veteran closer, then I'd aggressively draft Karinchak as a top-three reliever for fantasy baseball purposes.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros