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Who Should I Draft?

James Karinchak or Jesus Luzardo (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - OAK
Jesus Luzardo
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
12 of 20 experts
40%
Recommended by
8 of 20 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 36# 37
Best Rank# 17# 20
Worst Rank# 55# 66
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 106# 101
Best Rank# 92# 86
Worst Rank# 123# 113
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts102146
Wins39
Saves240
ERA3.183.68
WHIP1.211.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 43
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 47# 66
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 32
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 30# 53
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 44
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 36# 38
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 42# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 36# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 33# 36
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 29# 38
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 17# 28
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 30# 29
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 31# 20
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 39# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 40# 34
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 41# 32
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 48# 31
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 50# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 55# 26
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - OAK
Jesus Luzardo
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2712
   
Games Started09
   
Innings Pitched27.059.2
   
Wins13
   
Losses22
   
Saves10
   
Blown Saves30
   
Holds80
   
Hits Allowed1457
   
Earned Runs825
   
Home Runs Allowed19
   
Strikeouts5359
   
Walks1617
   
ERA2.673.81
   
WHIP1.111.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - OAK
Jesus Luzardo
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6126
   
Games Started025
   
Innings Pitched62.2144.8
   
Wins39
   
Losses37
   
Saves240
   
Blown Saves90
   
Holds70
   
Hits Allowed40134
   
Earned Runs2259
   
Home Runs Allowed620
   
Strikeouts102146
   
Walks3544
   
ERA3.183.68
   
WHIP1.211.23
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - OAK
Jesus Luzardo
News 
  Jesus Luzardo's velocity impresses A's manager Bob Melvin.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Feb 23rd
Notes 
 Karinchak is expected to be Cleveland's closer after Brad Hand moved on to the Nationals, though it's not a sure thing yet. Yes, he walks too many batters (5.33 per nine innings), but you can get away with it when you strike out nearly half the batters you face and hitters bat .151 against you overall. Karinchak has two absolutely devastating pitches: a mid-90's fastball (.184 batting average against, .151 xBA) and a power curveball (.140 batting average against, .114 xBA). Cleveland may not have a ton of success this year and hence save opportunities may be limited, but Karinchak can be a dominant fantasy reliever if he gets the job. Monitor reports out of the spring to see when and if Terry Francona formerly anoints him as the closer. If he does, he should vault to being a top-6 or 7 reliever.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Luzardo's 2020 campaign wasn't terrible, but it certainly left fantasy managers wanting more. The strikeouts were there, but not quite at the level that was expected. He rarely went deep into games. And he was just more hittable than he ever was in the minors or in his brief time as a reliever in 2019. Luzardo throws four quality pitches and is working to improve his arsenal as we head into the 2021 season, so there's little reason to downgrade your opinion of him too much from where it was prior to the 2020 campaign because of one nine-start stretch. He's an incredibly high-upside pitcher who carries with him plenty of injury risk, and the combination leaves him as a solid SP3 for fantasy leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 "Special K" used the third-highest rate of elevated four seamers to produce a dominant season out of the bullpen. 53 strikeouts in 27 innings led to the second-highest strikeout rate in baseball (behind only Devin Williams). Karinchak was blocked for saves by Brad Hand during the 2020 season, but his departure this offseason opens the door for Karinchak to handle ninth inning duties. Assuming Cleveland doesn't sign a "traditional" veteran closer, then I'd aggressively draft Karinchak as a top-three reliever for fantasy baseball purposes.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros