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Who Should I Draft?

James Karinchak or Jose Berrios (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
18 of 24 experts
25%
Recommended by
6 of 24 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 35
Best Rank# 22# 15
Worst Rank# 46# 62
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 82# 104
Best Rank# 73# 92
Worst Rank# 93# 119
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts184101
Wins123
Saves025
ERA3.983.16
WHIP1.241.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 33
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 40# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 29# 48
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 28
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 34# 39
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 28# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 38# 62
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 28
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 34# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 38# 42
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 36
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 28# 39
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 30# 43
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 23# 33
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 46# 50
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 29# 41
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 15
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 28# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 35# 29
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 36# 30
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 43# 31
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 35# 32
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1227
   
Games Started120
   
Innings Pitched63.027.0
   
Wins51
   
Losses42
   
Saves01
   
Blown Saves03
   
Holds08
   
Hits Allowed5714
   
Earned Runs288
   
Home Runs Allowed81
   
Strikeouts6853
   
Walks2616
   
ERA4.002.67
   
WHIP1.321.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3161
   
Games Started310
   
Innings Pitched182.661.8
   
Wins123
   
Losses103
   
Saves025
   
Blown Saves09
   
Holds05
   
Hits Allowed16940
   
Earned Runs8122
   
Home Runs Allowed256
   
Strikeouts184101
   
Walks5835
   
ERA3.983.16
   
WHIP1.241.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
News 
There are no recent news for these players
Notes 
 Berrios may not ever become the dominant pitcher many projected him to be, but he offers a strong floor for fantasy managers. Ignoring his 2016 cup of coffee, Berrios has pitched to a 3.89 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a strikeout per inning in his career. And although his walk rate went up a tad and he gave up a bit harder contact in 2020's shortened season, his numbers didn't vary from his usual output significantly. Bank on around a 4.00 ERA, a WHIP somewhere around 1.25, and plenty of strikeouts. In today's fantasy game, that's more than adequate for a strong fantasy staff.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Karinchak is expected to be Cleveland's closer after Brad Hand moved on to the Nationals, though it's not a sure thing yet. Yes, he walks too many batters (5.33 per nine innings), but you can get away with it when you strike out nearly half the batters you face and hitters bat .151 against you overall. Karinchak has two absolutely devastating pitches: a mid-90's fastball (.184 batting average against, .151 xBA) and a power curveball (.140 batting average against, .114 xBA). Cleveland may not have a ton of success this year and hence save opportunities may be limited, but Karinchak can be a dominant fantasy reliever if he gets the job. Monitor reports out of the spring to see when and if Terry Francona formerly anoints him as the closer. If he does, he should vault to being a top-6 or 7 reliever.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 9.5 - 3.80 - 1.25
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
16.5 - 2.60 - 1.10
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
  "Special K" used the third-highest rate of elevated four seamers to produce a dominant season out of the bullpen. 53 strikeouts in 27 innings led to the second-highest strikeout rate in baseball (behind only Devin Williams). Karinchak was blocked for saves by Brad Hand during the 2020 season, but his departure this offseason opens the door for Karinchak to handle ninth inning duties. Assuming Cleveland doesn't sign a "traditional" veteran closer, then I'd aggressively draft Karinchak as a top-three reliever for fantasy baseball purposes.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros