Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

James Karinchak or Kenta Maeda (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
50 of 51 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 49
Best Rank# 5# 28
Worst Rank# 36# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 102
Best Rank# 45# 94
Worst Rank# 61# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17799
Wins123
Saves022
ERA3.833.23
WHIP1.131.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60MiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 58
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 68
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 55
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 51
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 40
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 60
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 44
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 47
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 56
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 43
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 45
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 49
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 55
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 18# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 49
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 61
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 40
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 58
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 40
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 36
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 20# 100
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 40
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 82
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 43
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 16# 43
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 117
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 53
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 47
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 92
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 62
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 19# 37
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 56
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 43
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 54
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 45
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 33
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 35
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 13# 28
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 43
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 40
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 31
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 15# 61
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 48
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 19# 34
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 16# 47
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 16# 37
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 15# 60
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 23# 98
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 5# 65
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 32
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1127
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched67.127.0
   
Wins61
   
Losses12
   
Saves01
   
Blown Saves03
   
Holds08
   
Hits Allowed4014
   
Earned Runs208
   
Home Runs Allowed91
   
Strikeouts8053
   
Walks1016
   
ERA2.702.67
   
WHIP0.751.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3061
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched160.761.3
   
Wins123
   
Losses83
   
Saves022
   
Blown Saves09
   
Holds06
   
Hits Allowed13640
   
Earned Runs6822
   
Home Runs Allowed237
   
Strikeouts17799
   
Walks4632
   
ERA3.833.23
   
WHIP1.131.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
News 
 Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
The Cleveland Indians have optioned reliever James Karinchak to Triple-A Columbus. His roster spot will go to first baseman Bobby Bradley, who was activated from the IL.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 28th
 Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak threw 1 1/3 scoreless innings in a 7-2 win over the Rangers on Wednesday. He struck out two and allowed just one hit.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Aug 26th
 Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak allowed a run in his lone inning of work in a 4-3 loss to Oakland on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Aug 11th
 Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak allowed three runs in 1/3 of an inning in a 12-11 win over the White Sox on Saturday. He walked one and gave up two hits, including a two-run homer.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Aug 1st
 The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak threw a scoreless eighth inning in a 3-2 win over the Rays on Sunday. He worked around one walk in the frame.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Jul 25th
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Karinchak is expected to be Cleveland's closer after Brad Hand moved on to the Nationals, though it's not a sure thing yet. Yes, he walks too many batters (5.33 per nine innings), but you can get away with it when you strike out nearly half the batters you face and hitters bat .151 against you overall. Karinchak has two absolutely devastating pitches: a mid-90's fastball (.184 batting average against, .151 xBA) and a power curveball (.140 batting average against, .114 xBA). Cleveland may not have a ton of success this year and hence save opportunities may be limited, but Karinchak can be a dominant fantasy reliever if he gets the job. Monitor reports out of the spring to see when and if Terry Francona formerly anoints him as the closer. If he does, he should vault to being a top-6 or 7 reliever.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
"Special K" used the third-highest rate of elevated four seamers to produce a dominant season out of the bullpen. 53 strikeouts in 27 innings led to the second-highest strikeout rate in baseball (behind only Devin Williams). Karinchak was blocked for saves by Brad Hand during the 2020 season, but his departure this offseason opens the door for Karinchak to handle ninth inning duties. Assuming Cleveland doesn't sign a "traditional" veteran closer, then I'd aggressively draft Karinchak as a top-three reliever for fantasy baseball purposes.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros