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Who Should I Draft?

James Karinchak or Zach Plesac (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Expert
Recommendation
76%
Recommended by
38 of 50 experts
24%
Recommended by
12 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 49
Best Rank# 22# 28
Worst Rank# 63# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 73# 102
Best Rank# 60# 94
Worst Rank# 102# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts14999
Wins103
Saves022
ERA4.193.23
WHIP1.201.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 58
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 68
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 55
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 40# 51
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 40
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 60
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 44
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 56
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 30# 49
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 55
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 35# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 35# 61
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 40
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 24# 58
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 40
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 36
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 60# 100
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 23# 40
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 82
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 40# 43
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 32# 43
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 35# 117
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 26# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 49# 53
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 45# 47
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 36# 92
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 28# 62
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 56
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 35# 43
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 48# 54
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 33# 43
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 38# 40
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 31# 61
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 35# 48
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 47
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 43# 60
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 48# 98
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 22# 65
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 34# 28
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 41# 31
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 45# 32
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 45# 33
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 42# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 35
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 46# 37
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 49# 43
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 47# 45
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 63# 45
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 57# 47
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 56# 49
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played827
   
Games Started80
   
Innings Pitched55.127.0
   
Wins41
   
Losses22
   
Saves01
   
Blown Saves03
   
Holds08
   
Hits Allowed3814
   
Earned Runs148
   
Home Runs Allowed81
   
Strikeouts5753
   
Walks616
   
ERA2.282.67
   
WHIP0.801.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2861
   
Games Started280
   
Innings Pitched160.561.3
   
Wins103
   
Losses93
   
Saves022
   
Blown Saves09
   
Holds06
   
Hits Allowed15140
   
Earned Runs7522
   
Home Runs Allowed267
   
Strikeouts14999
   
Walks4132
   
ERA4.193.23
   
WHIP1.201.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
News 
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac struggled in an 8-0 loss to the White Sox on Wednesday. Plesac was charged with six runs and lasted just 2/3 of an inning.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Apr 15th
Cleveland reliever James Karinchak threw a scoreless 10th inning to nail down his first save of the season. Karinchak struck out one in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Apr 14th
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac turned in an excellent start in a 4-1 win over the Tigers on Friday. Plesac tossed seven scoreless innings while striking out six in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Apr 10th
Cleveland reliever James Karinchak threw a scoreless eighth inning to pick up a hold in a 5-2 win over the Tigers. He struck out three and walked one in the inning.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Apr 11th
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac took a hard-luck loss to the Detroit Tigers on Saturday. Plesac allowed two runs over six innings while striking out four, but Cleveland fell 5-2.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Apr 3rd
Cleveland reliever James Karinchak struck out the lone batter he faced in a 3-0 loss to the Royals on Monday.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Apr 5th
Notes 
 Plesac is getting a ton of love for his eight excellent starts in 2020, but there's plenty of reason to be cautious. His FIP, xFIP, xERA, and SIERA were all more than a run higher than his ERA, and both his strikeout rate and walk rate significantly outproduced what he showed he could do in the minors. Yes, Plesac altered his pitch mix, throwing fewer fastballs and instead more sliders and changeups, so if you're looking for a reason to buy the gains, you have one. But he had a ridiculous 91.7% LOB rate, and even with his ability to limit hard contact, his BABIP against should rise from the .224 mark last year. Plesac can help a fantasy staff, but manage expectations significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Karinchak is expected to be Cleveland's closer after Brad Hand moved on to the Nationals, though it's not a sure thing yet. Yes, he walks too many batters (5.33 per nine innings), but you can get away with it when you strike out nearly half the batters you face and hitters bat .151 against you overall. Karinchak has two absolutely devastating pitches: a mid-90's fastball (.184 batting average against, .151 xBA) and a power curveball (.140 batting average against, .114 xBA). Cleveland may not have a ton of success this year and hence save opportunities may be limited, but Karinchak can be a dominant fantasy reliever if he gets the job. Monitor reports out of the spring to see when and if Terry Francona formerly anoints him as the closer. If he does, he should vault to being a top-6 or 7 reliever.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Plesac is one of the most polarizing starting pitchers among fantasy analysts this offseason. A questionable off-the-field decision maker, Plesac dominated when on the mound in 2020. In an era where it's rarer and rarer to pitch deep into games, Plesac completed six full innings in all eight of his starts last year. He completed seven innings in 5-of-8 starts. So, how did he get so good all of a sudden? Plesac cut his fastball usage in order to throw an increased number of sliders and changeups. In short, the change in pitch mix worked. It was a short-but-terrific body of work. I'm a believer moving forward, and it's going to cost an early-to-middle round pick to get him.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
"Special K" used the third-highest rate of elevated four seamers to produce a dominant season out of the bullpen. 53 strikeouts in 27 innings led to the second-highest strikeout rate in baseball (behind only Devin Williams). Karinchak was blocked for saves by Brad Hand during the 2020 season, but his departure this offseason opens the door for Karinchak to handle ninth inning duties. Assuming Cleveland doesn't sign a "traditional" veteran closer, then I'd aggressively draft Karinchak as a top-three reliever for fantasy baseball purposes.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros