Who Should I Draft?

James Paxton or Blake Treinen (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Blake Treinen
RP - OAK
Blake Treinen
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
44 of 59 experts
25%
Recommended by
15 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 19
Best Rank# 11# 13
Worst Rank# 31# 36
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 49# 62
Best Rank# 47# 57
Worst Rank# 55# 71
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts19683
Wins134
Saves032
ERA3.462.66
WHIP1.141.12
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-MiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 19# 24
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 15# 17
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 15# 25
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 16# 24
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 22
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 19
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 23
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 15# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 20
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 12# 25
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 24# 36
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 11# 20
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 16# 18
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 13# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 24
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 33
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 14# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 14# 22
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 22
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 17
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 15# 22
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 12# 15
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 19# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 22
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 16# 19
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 19
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 19# 28
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 17# 20
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 27
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 16# 18
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 12# 31
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 13# 27
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 26
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 15# 24
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 15# 25
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 19
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 16# 28
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 29
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 18# 25
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 23
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 13
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 16# 13
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 18# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 17
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 19# 13
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 20# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 19
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 16
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 17
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 22# 20
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 27# 23
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 28# 21
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 20
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 31# 25
   
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Blake Treinen
RP - OAK
Blake Treinen
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2868
   
Games Started280
   
Innings Pitched160.180.2
   
Wins119
   
Losses62
   
Saves038
   
Blown Saves05
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed13446
   
Earned Runs677
   
Home Runs Allowed232
   
Strikeouts208100
   
Walks4221
   
ERA3.760.78
   
WHIP1.100.83
   
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Blake Treinen
RP - OAK
Blake Treinen
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2869
   
Games Started280
   
Innings Pitched166.273.7
   
Wins134
   
Losses73
   
Saves032
   
Blown Saves07
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed14459
   
Earned Runs6422
   
Home Runs Allowed215
   
Strikeouts19683
   
Walks4524
   
ERA3.462.66
   
WHIP1.141.12
   
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Blake Treinen
RP - OAK
Blake Treinen
News 
 An MRI on James Paxton's left glute revealed nerve irritation.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 28th
Blake Treinen (back) will not pitch in any postseason games.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 25th
 James Paxton was removed from Friday’s start versus the Rangers with a tight left glute.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 27th
Blake Treinen will not pitch again this season due to a stress reaction in his back.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 19th
 James Paxton struck out seven and allowed one run (none earned) on three hits and zero walks across six innings while earning a victory in a 7-2 win over the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 22nd
Blake Treinen (6-5) allowed two runs on three hits and a walk while failing to record a out. He was charged with his fifth loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 29th
 James Paxton allowed one run on three hits with two walks and three strikeouts across five innings while earning a win against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 15th
Blake Treinen allowed one hit and no walks while striking out two in a scoreless inning in Friday's 3-2 win over the Astros.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 17th
 James Paxton gave up four hits and three walks while striking out seven through 6 2/3 scoreless innings to take the win over the Red Sox on Monday.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 10th
Blake Treinen (6-3) allowed one hit through a scoreless inning in Thursday’s 5-3 win over the Brewers. He picked up his sixth win of the season.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 1st
Notes 
 Paxton has posted back-to-back seasons with an excellent strikeout rate and WHIP, but his ERA grew by nearly a run last year thanks to a spike in his home run rate. Under normal circumstances that could be chalked up to an outlier season, but Paxton is moving to a much more homer-friendly home park this season so it is possible the long ball issue could linger. Last season's 160 1/3 innings also represented a career-high for Paxton, who is not exactly known for his durability. Expect him to be quite good when he's on the mound, but don't expect more than about 150 innings and an ERA in the mid-3.00s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Treinen was simply phenomenal for Oakland last season, and he enters 2019 neck-and-neck with Edwin Diaz for the title of fantasy's number one closer.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Paxton has posted the fifth-best K% (30.4) and FIP (2.95) among all starters with at least 200 IP in the past two seasons. Yet last season's 160.1 IP comfortably set a personal high. He holds a career 3.87 ERA away from Safeco Field, so pitching in Yankee Stadium could offset the potential wins boost. Know your league before deciding whether to sacrifice quantity for quantity from a top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Drafters should know better than to expect another 0.78 ERA from Treinen, but his ascension into an elite stopper was legit. He posted 100 punchouts with the third-highest swinging-strike rate (18.2%) behind Edwin Diaz and Josh Hader, and no reliever got opponents to chase outside the zone more often. Yet paying for any reliever's career year is dicey, especially a 30-year-old who had never struck out a batter per inning before 2018.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Paxton was excellent last year with a whopping 208 Ks in just 160 innings, but this is also the first time he ever pitched above 140 innings. While the ceiling is clearly exciting with Paxton, re-injury is a significant risk, but he is moving from one of the best pitching parks in Seattle to one of the worst at Yankee Stadium.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Treinen was magical last season, floating a 0.78 ERA and 0.834 WHIP to go with 100 Ks and 38 saves. That made him the number two fantasy closer behind only Edwin Diaz, and that is precisely how he should be drafted this year. With that said, no closer taken in the first five rounds ever returns enough value so be patient.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros