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Who Should I Draft?

James Paxton or Edwin Diaz (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
James Paxton
SP - FA
James Paxton
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
7 of 7 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 7 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 29# 92
Best Rank# 15# 83
Worst Rank# 39# 178
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 92# 237
Best Rank# 77# 212
Worst Rank# 111# 286
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts101149
Wins39
Saves270
ERA3.074.09
WHIP1.141.25
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-FA
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 15# 178
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 97
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 33# 97
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 96
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 39# 83
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 39# 94
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 23# 96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
James Paxton
SP - FA
James Paxton
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played265
   
Games Started05
   
Innings Pitched26.220.2
   
Wins21
   
Losses11
   
Saves60
   
Blown Saves40
   
Holds10
   
Hits Allowed1823
   
Earned Runs515
   
Home Runs Allowed24
   
Strikeouts5026
   
Walks147
   
ERA1.756.64
   
WHIP1.251.48
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
James Paxton
SP - FA
James Paxton
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6526
   
Games Started026
   
Innings Pitched64.0132.8
   
Wins39
   
Losses27
   
Saves270
   
Blown Saves110
   
Holds40
   
Hits Allowed48122
   
Earned Runs2260
   
Home Runs Allowed824
   
Strikeouts101149
   
Walks2544
   
ERA3.074.09
   
WHIP1.141.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
James Paxton
SP - FA
James Paxton
News 
 Edwin Diaz avoids arbitration with the New York Mets, agreeing to a deal worth $7 million.
Ryan Evans - Baseballogy
Fri, Jan 15th
 
Notes 
 Diaz's overall numbers bounced back in a monstrous way last season. He dropped his ERA from a bloated 5.59 in 2019 to a 1.75, and upped his strikeout rate to a career-best 45.5%. He was among the league leaders in nearly every expected statistic (batting average, slugging percentage wOBA, and ERA), and he cut his HR/9 rate from 2.33 to just 0.70. Diaz's walk rate actually regressed, however, as he issued free passes to nearly five batters per nine innings. That's not often a recipe for success from a closer, but Diaz can survive at that rate if he continues to keep the strikeouts up and limit the long balls. In the end, Diaz does carry some risk given his history, but he should be drafted as one of the upper echelon closers in the game, if not a touch behind the truly elite options.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros