Who Should I Draft?

Jameson Taillon or Clayton Kershaw (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
33 of 56 experts
41%
Recommended by
23 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 23
Best Rank# 11# 8
Worst Rank# 40# 51
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 66# 54
Best Rank# 54# 49
Worst Rank# 72# 72
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts173157
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.652.94
WHIP1.231.05
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 20# 28
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 19# 22
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 13# 27
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 19# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 20# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 21# 24
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 18# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 49
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 18# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 24
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 24
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 16# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 17# 33
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 12# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 13# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 24# 28
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 13# 25
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 26# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 20# 49
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 21# 26
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 26# 29
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 26# 27
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 21# 24
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 22
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 18# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 26
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 17# 12
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 20# 12
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 20# 15
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 21# 8
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 11
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 23# 14
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 24# 8
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 24# 17
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 25# 13
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 26# 21
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 27# 16
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 28# 12
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 28# 18
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 25
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 29# 15
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 29# 8
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 29# 12
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 30# 28
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 31# 14
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 31# 22
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 37# 26
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 38# 26
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 40# 28
   
  Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3226
   
Games Started3226
   
Innings Pitched191.2161.2
   
Wins149
   
Losses105
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed179139
   
Earned Runs6849
   
Home Runs Allowed2017
   
Strikeouts179155
   
Walks4629
   
ERA3.202.73
   
WHIP1.181.04
   
  Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3225
   
Games Started3225
   
Innings Pitched186.7154.9
   
Wins1212
   
Losses106
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed181133
   
Earned Runs7651
   
Home Runs Allowed2117
   
Strikeouts173157
   
Walks4831
   
ERA3.652.94
   
WHIP1.231.05
   
  Jameson Taillon
SP - PIT
Jameson Taillon
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
News 
 In order to make room on the 40-man roster for Jake Elmore, the Pirates have moved Jameson Taillon to the 60-day injured list.
Andrew Seifter
Mon, May 13th
Clayton Kershaw improved to 7-1 on Tuesday versus the Giants, firing seven scoreless innings while striking out six and walking two.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 19th
 The Pirates placed Jameson Taillon on the 10-day IL with a right elbow flexor strain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 4th
Clayton Kershaw earned the win on Thursday versus the Cubs, striking out eight while allowing three runs over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Jameson Taillon allowed four runs (three earned) on five hits over 6.1 innings in the Pirates' 7-5 win over the Rangers on Wednesday. He walked two and struck out five while improving to 2-3.
Elliott Baas
Wed, May 1st
Clayton Kershaw fell to 5-1 on Friday in San Francisco, spinning seven innings of two-run ball while striking out four.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
 Jameson Taillon allowed five runs on six hits over five innings in the Pirates' 5-0 loss to the Diamondbacks on Thursday. He walked none and struck out five while falling to 1-3.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Apr 25th
Clayton Kershaw received a no-decision on Saturday versus Philadelphia, firing seven innings of one-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Jameson Taillon improved to 1-2 after allowed one run on four hits over five innings in the Pirates' 4-1 rain-shortened win over the Giants on Saturday. He walked one and struck out three.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Apr 21st
Clayton Kershaw improved to 5-0 on Monday versus the Mets, throwing six innings of three-run ball and giving up 10 hits.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 28th
Notes 
 If you look at Taillon's second half, it may seem as though he broke out into an ace, but the underlying metrics tell a different story. Rather, he was propped up by a great deal of BABIP and HR/FB ratio luck. Most likely, he will continue to pitch like a good #3 this season for Pittsburgh.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Finally healthy after dealing with injuries and a cancer diagnosis, Taillon established himself in 2018 as a pitcher who can provide solid ratios, albeit it with a middling strikeout rate. He benefits from a very pitcher-friendly environment in Pittsburgh, boosting his fantasy floor, but he simply doesn't belong among the top-25 fantasy starters until he begins to pile up the Ks.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Taillon quietly developed into an ace late in 2018, posting a 2.63 ERA over his last 21 starts. That's not an entirely arbitrary endpoint, as he unleashed a slider-one of three pitches to net a double-digit swinging-strike rate-in June. The pitch could help him unlock a few more punchouts, but the 27-year-old has the look of a polished SP2 who can at least post a mid-threes ERA with a steady WHIP and 8.5 K/9.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros