Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Adalberto Mondesi (2019)

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Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Adalberto Mondesi
2B,SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
58 of 59 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 34
Best Rank# 6# 16
Worst Rank# 33# 131
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 43
Best Rank# 16# 36
Worst Rank# 23# 111
   
Projections 
   
Runs8776
Home Runs3021
RBI9665
Stolen Bases1744
Batting Average.276.253
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertDTD-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic		# 15# 31
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports		# 13# 59
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports		# 15# 34
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy		# 16# 45
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay		# 10# 30
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic		# 14# 67
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix		# 16# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today		# 18# 39
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp		# 16# 38
   
Grey Albright
Razzball		# 6# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball		# 20# 31
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat		# 11# 100
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire		# 19# 33
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic		# 19# 58
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome		# 9# 131
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic		# 18# 23
   
Scott White
CBS Sports		# 20# 26
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports		# 24# 34
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports		# 11# 44
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice		# 17# 31
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic		# 9# 85
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet		# 21# 35
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain		# 22# 38
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros		# 19# 47
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball		# 13# 22
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall		# 29# 44
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic		# 15# 37
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack		# 18# 40
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic		# 17# 48
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore		# 16# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams		# 32# 40
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports		# 7# 42
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball		# 23# 40
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs		# 33# 38
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List		# 21# 47
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller		# 18# 37
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller		# 21# 32
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros		# 15# 22
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs		# 22# 32
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack		# 21# 31
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball		# 15# 24
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball		# 6# 16
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros		# 22# 32
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller		# 22# 45
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros		# 14# 32
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats		# 20# 40
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball		# 11# 40
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners		# 18# 39
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack		# 23# 57
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine		# 22# 33
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football		# 18# 27
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax		# 19# 44
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy		# 18# 26
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy		# 13# 50
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams		# 29# 53
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs		# 18# 31
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List		# 19# 35
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix		# 15# 35
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio		# 33# 26
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Adalberto Mondesi
2B,SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats606275
   
Runs10147
   
Hits17676
   
Singles9346
   
Doubles4013
   
Triples93
   
Home Runs3414
   
RBI11137
   
Stolen Bases2132
   
Caught Stealing97
   
Walks2911
   
Strikeouts16777
   
Batting Average.290.276
   
On Base Pct.326.306
   
Slugging Pct.555.498
   
On-base Plus Slugging.881.804
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Adalberto Mondesi
2B,SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats582536
   
Runs8776
   
Hits161136
   
Singles9383
   
Doubles3326
   
Triples57
   
Home Runs3021
   
RBI9665
   
Stolen Bases1744
   
Caught Stealing610
   
Walks3327
   
Strikeouts159148
   
Batting Average.276.253
   
On Base Pct.315.289
   
Slugging Pct.507.444
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.733
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Adalberto Mondesi
2B,SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
News 
 An MRI revealed a hairline fracture on Javier Baez’s thumb Saturday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th		Kansas City Royals shortstop Adalberto Mondesi went 3-for-5 with a double and two RBI in a 6-5 win over the Athletics on Monday.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Sep 17th
 Javier Baez is not in the lineup for Saturday’s game against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th		Kansas City Royals shortstop Adalberto Mondesi went 3-for-5 with a homer, three runs, two RBI, and two steals in an 8-6 win over the White Sox on Wednesday.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 12th
 Javier Baez (thumb) is not in Friday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 6th		Kansas City Royals shortstop Adalberto Mondesi went 1-for-4 with a solo homer in a 7-3 loss to the White Sox on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 11th
 Javier Baez was scratched from Thursday’s lineup against the Brewers due to soreness in his left thumb.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 5th		Kansas City Royals shortstop Adalberto Mondesi went 0-for-5 with a steal in a 7-2 win over the Marlins on Saturday.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 7th
 Javier Baez (thumb/neck), who is out of lineup for Monday's game against the Mariners, could also be on the bench for Tuesday's series finale.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 2nd		Kansas City Royals shortstop Adalberto Mondesi went 1-for-5 with an RBI and a steal in a 6-4 loss to the Tigers on Thursday.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 5th
Notes 
 Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros		Few people could have foreseen the impact Mondesi would make down the stretch last season, finishing as a top-five overall hitter in standard roto/categories leagues from August 1 on. His plate discipline left a lot to be desired, but his 14 HRs and 32 SBs in 75 games led a lot of fantasy managers to the championship circle. If you believe most of the projection systems, he's due for a 20-40 kind of season in 2019, production that would again place him right alongside the very best roto options in the game. His limited track record makes him a risk-reward pick, but his skills are very real and his current sixth-round draft cost is very reasonable.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros		Fantasy managers can't scroll though Twitter or go grocery shopping without encountering a heated debate about Mondesi. Infatuated by his 11 homers, 27 steals, and .353 wOBA in 54 unbelievable second-half games, some supporters are happy to jump as early as the fourth round to draft a potential first-round contributor. Yet some experts, not buying the small sample and dubious of his poor plate approach, have the 23-year-old middle infielder outside of the top 100 altogether. There's 25-50 upside, but there's a legitimate possibility someone with a career .273 OBP gets benched (or even demoted) by June. It's one thing to hope for a 15-35 campaign with a passable batting average, which would certainly play in roto formats, but don't extrapolate three unsustainably awesome months into a full season of mouth-watering stats.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros		If you pro-rate Mondesi's 75 games to a full season, it comes out to 30 homers, 68 steals and 100 RBIs. I don't need to tell you that a season like that would put him above Mike Trout from a fantasy perspective. Granted, he is due for some regression, but don't hesitate to reach several rounds to get him on your roster.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros