Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Anthony Rizzo (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Expert
Recommendation
86%
Recommended by
51 of 59 experts
14%
Recommended by
8 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 24
Best Rank# 6# 17
Worst Rank# 33# 36
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 34
Best Rank# 16# 29
Worst Rank# 23# 37
   
Projections 
   
Runs8788
Home Runs3029
RBI96100
Stolen Bases177
Batting Average.276.281
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 15# 21
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 22
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 25
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 23
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 10# 29
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 14# 24
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 21
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 24
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 22
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 24
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 22
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 30
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 18# 19
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 21
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 24# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 24
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 22
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 9# 34
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 21# 23
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 22
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 13# 20
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 25
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 20
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 17# 22
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 24
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 7# 22
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 23
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 18# 26
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 23
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 15# 24
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 22# 26
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 15# 20
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 25
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 22# 26
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 26
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 23
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 22
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 11# 26
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 24
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 25
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 22# 23
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 18# 22
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 19# 25
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 18# 36
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 13# 27
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 28
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 19# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 24
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 18
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 20
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 21
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 29# 23
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 22
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 33# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 33# 29
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats606566
   
Runs10174
   
Hits176160
   
Singles93105
   
Doubles4029
   
Triples91
   
Home Runs3425
   
RBI111101
   
Stolen Bases216
   
Caught Stealing94
   
Walks2970
   
Strikeouts16780
   
Batting Average.290.283
   
On Base Pct.326.376
   
Slugging Pct.555.470
   
On-base Plus Slugging.881.846
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats582557
   
Runs8788
   
Hits161157
   
Singles9393
   
Doubles3332
   
Triples52
   
Home Runs3029
   
RBI96100
   
Stolen Bases177
   
Caught Stealing64
   
Walks3375
   
Strikeouts15987
   
Batting Average.276.281
   
On Base Pct.315.367
   
Slugging Pct.507.501
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.867
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
News 
 Cubs manager Joe Maddon says Javier Baez (thumb) remains available off the bench as a pinch-runner.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 20th
Anthony Rizzo (ankle) is absent from the Cubs' lineup on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 27th
 An MRI revealed a hairline fracture on Javier Baez’s thumb Saturday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
Anthony Rizzo went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in Thursday's loss to the Cardinals.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 20th
 Javier Baez is not in the lineup for Saturday’s game against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
Anthony Rizzo exited Sunday's game against the Pirates in the third inning with an apparent right ankle injury.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 15th
 Javier Baez (thumb) is not in Friday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 6th
Anthony Rizzo went 3-for-5 with a grand slam and two runs in Friday's win over the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 14th
 Javier Baez was scratched from Thursday’s lineup against the Brewers due to soreness in his left thumb.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 5th
Anthony Rizzo went 1-for-3 with a walk, a double and three RBI in Thursday's win over the Brewers.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 6th
Notes 
 Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Rizzo took a major step backwards in the first half last year, but his final line of 25 homers, 101 RBIs and a .283 batting average ended up being about as good as his average season. We were drafting him in the 3rd round last year so don't hesitate to scoop him up for a discount this season
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Rizzo's streak of four consecutive 30-HR seasons came to an end in 2018, but he's still working on a streak of four straight 100-RBI seasons, and his batted ball profile suggests he's still the same player he's always been. He's an asset in all five standard rotisserie categories, and has finished as a top-five fantasy first baseman in four of the last five seasons (he was eighth in 2016). With that level of high-end production and consistency, Rizzo belongs in the same breath as Freddie Freeman and Paul Goldschmidt as the top options at an increasingly-scarce position.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
For the first time since 2014, Rizzo fell short of 30 homers (25) and a .500 slugging percentage (.470). An atrocious April in which he batted .149 with one extra-base hit is entirely to blame. He hit his fewest fly balls (37.3%) since 2012, but the accompanying career bests in contact (85.1%), strikeout (12.0%) and line-drive (24.7%) rate did not show fully in his .283 average. Either he sustains these profile changes and inches closer to batting .300, or he regains enough of his power stroke to leap back to 30 long balls. Or both. Either way, Rizzo, who batted .303/.393/.512 after an atrocious April, is a sturdy foundational piece worth grabbing in the third or fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros