Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Carlos Correa (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Carlos Correa
SS - HOU
Carlos Correa
Expert
Recommendation
95%
Recommended by
53 of 56 experts
5%
Recommended by
3 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 33
Best Rank# 6# 14
Worst Rank# 33# 76
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 44
Best Rank# 16# 35
Worst Rank# 23# 48
   
Projections 
   
Runs8784
Home Runs3024
RBI9692
Stolen Bases175
Batting Average.276.273
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 15# 39
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 24
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 30
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 32
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 10# 39
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 14# 19
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 32
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 56
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 35
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 36
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 76
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 34
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 29
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 32
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 18# 31
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 30
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 27
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 59
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 9# 14
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 21# 36
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 27
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 13# 58
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 29# 33
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 61
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 34
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 17# 39
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 35
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 43
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 7# 23
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 33# 63
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 19# 28
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 33# 39
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 33
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 18# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 33
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 15# 37
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 22# 37
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 34
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 15# 35
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 39
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 22# 37
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 41
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 49
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 11# 34
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 33
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 22# 29
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 19# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 47
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 19# 28
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 21
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 24# 22
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 21
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Carlos Correa
SS - HOU
Carlos Correa
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats606402
   
Runs10160
   
Hits17696
   
Singles9360
   
Doubles4020
   
Triples91
   
Home Runs3415
   
RBI11165
   
Stolen Bases213
   
Caught Stealing90
   
Walks2953
   
Strikeouts167111
   
Batting Average.290.239
   
On Base Pct.326.323
   
Slugging Pct.555.406
   
On-base Plus Slugging.881.728
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Carlos Correa
SS - HOU
Carlos Correa
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats582532
   
Runs8784
   
Hits161145
   
Singles9389
   
Doubles3330
   
Triples52
   
Home Runs3024
   
RBI9692
   
Stolen Bases175
   
Caught Stealing61
   
Walks3367
   
Strikeouts159126
   
Batting Average.276.273
   
On Base Pct.315.354
   
Slugging Pct.507.472
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.826
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Carlos Correa
SS - HOU
Carlos Correa
News 
 Javier Baez went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in the Cubs'10-1 win over the Rockies' on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 13th
Carlos Correa is reportedly out 3-4 weeks with a cracked rib.
Dan Harris
Wed, May 29th
 Javier Baez went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 3-1 win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
Carlos Correa is absent from Tuesday's lineup versus the Cubs due to rib soreness.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 28th
 Javier Baez went 3-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 6-3 win over the Rockies on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Jun 4th
Carlos Correa went 3-for-4 with a walk, three singles, one RBI, and one run scored on Saturday against Boston.
Kamran Hoda
Sun, May 26th
 Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, a double, and three RBI in the Cubs' 8-1 win over the Angels on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 3rd
Carlos Correa went 2-for-4 with a double, single, one RBI, and one run scored on Wednesday against the White Sox.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, May 22nd
 Javier Baez (heel) has returned to the Cubs' lineup on Sunday versus the Cardinals.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Carlos Correa went 1-for-4 with a home run, two RBI, and one run scored on Sunday against Boston.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, May 20th
Notes 
 Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Correa has missed a significant chunk of time in each of the past two seasons, and while he struggled in 2018, don't forget that he is still just 24 years old and one year removed from being the MVP front-runner prior to his injury. There is major upside here and he may prove to be a league winner
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Correa was an elite prospect who took the league by storm as a rookie in 2015, but his last two seasons have been undone by injuries. In 2017, he was producing like an MVP candidate before tearing a ligament in his thumb in July. Last year, his season never got off the ground due to back issues and breathing problems. Correa has pronounced himself fully healthy this spring, making him a seemingly strong bounce-back candidate, but with his stolen base totals drying up over the last two seasons, he will need to find his way to 30+ HRs or a .300 average in order to fully live up to the hype.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Injuries have limited Correa to 109 and 110 games over the last two seasons, respectively. He stole five bases combined and saw his wOBA plummet from .394 to .313, which was even higher than his .306 xwOBA. Because of his age (24) and instant success upon reaching the majors, there's little discount after the down year. He's too risky in the top-three rounds, but it's hard to ignore the MVP upside if he slips.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros