Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Carlos Correa (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Carlos Correa
SS - HOU
Carlos Correa
Expert
Recommendation
95%
Recommended by
56 of 59 experts
5%
Recommended by
3 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 33
Best Rank# 6# 14
Worst Rank# 33# 76
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 44
Best Rank# 16# 35
Worst Rank# 23# 48
   
Projections 
   
Runs8784
Home Runs3024
RBI9692
Stolen Bases175
Batting Average.276.273
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertDTD-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 15# 39
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 24
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 30
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 32
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 10# 39
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 14# 19
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 32
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 56
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 35
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 36
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 76
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 34
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 29
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 32
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 18# 31
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 30
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 27
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 59
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 9# 14
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 21# 36
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 27
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 13# 58
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 29# 33
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 61
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 34
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 17# 39
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 35
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 43
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 7# 23
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 33# 63
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 33# 39
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 33
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 18# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 33
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 15# 37
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 22# 37
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 34
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 15# 35
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 39
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 22# 37
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 41
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 49
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 11# 34
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 33
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 24
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 22# 29
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 18# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 19# 33
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 18# 28
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 13# 44
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 47
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 19# 28
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 21
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 24# 22
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 21
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Carlos Correa
SS - HOU
Carlos Correa
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats606402
   
Runs10160
   
Hits17696
   
Singles9360
   
Doubles4020
   
Triples91
   
Home Runs3415
   
RBI11165
   
Stolen Bases213
   
Caught Stealing90
   
Walks2953
   
Strikeouts167111
   
Batting Average.290.239
   
On Base Pct.326.323
   
Slugging Pct.555.406
   
On-base Plus Slugging.881.728
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Carlos Correa
SS - HOU
Carlos Correa
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats582532
   
Runs8784
   
Hits161145
   
Singles9389
   
Doubles3330
   
Triples52
   
Home Runs3024
   
RBI9692
   
Stolen Bases175
   
Caught Stealing61
   
Walks3367
   
Strikeouts159126
   
Batting Average.276.273
   
On Base Pct.315.354
   
Slugging Pct.507.472
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.826
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Carlos Correa
SS - HOU
Carlos Correa
News 
 Cubs manager Joe Maddon says Javier Baez (thumb) remains available off the bench as a pinch-runner.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 20th
Carlos Correa's exit in the sixth inning on Saturday against the Angels was part of the plan to limit his playing time to close the regular season.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 22nd
 An MRI revealed a hairline fracture on Javier Baez’s thumb Saturday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
Carlos Correa went 2-for-4 with two home runs and three RBI in Friday's 6-4 win over the Angels.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 21st
 Javier Baez is not in the lineup for Saturday’s game against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
Carlos Correa went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in Tuesday's 4-1 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 18th
 Javier Baez (thumb) is not in Friday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 6th
Carlos Correa (back) will start at shortstop and bat seventh Tuesday against the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Tue, Sep 17th
 Javier Baez was scratched from Thursday’s lineup against the Brewers due to soreness in his left thumb.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 5th
Carlos Correa (back) went 1-for-2 with two walks in Triple-A Round Rock's season-ending loss to Sacramento on Friday.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 15th
Notes 
 Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Correa has missed a significant chunk of time in each of the past two seasons, and while he struggled in 2018, don't forget that he is still just 24 years old and one year removed from being the MVP front-runner prior to his injury. There is major upside here and he may prove to be a league winner
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Correa was an elite prospect who took the league by storm as a rookie in 2015, but his last two seasons have been undone by injuries. In 2017, he was producing like an MVP candidate before tearing a ligament in his thumb in July. Last year, his season never got off the ground due to back issues and breathing problems. Correa has pronounced himself fully healthy this spring, making him a seemingly strong bounce-back candidate, but with his stolen base totals drying up over the last two seasons, he will need to find his way to 30+ HRs or a .300 average in order to fully live up to the hype.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Injuries have limited Correa to 109 and 110 games over the last two seasons, respectively. He stole five bases combined and saw his wOBA plummet from .394 to .313, which was even higher than his .306 xwOBA. Because of his age (24) and instant success upon reaching the majors, there's little discount after the down year. He's too risky in the top-three rounds, but it's hard to ignore the MVP upside if he slips.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros