Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Daniel Murphy (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
58 of 59 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 43
Best Rank# 6# 21
Worst Rank# 33# 92
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 67
Best Rank# 16# 59
Worst Rank# 23# 100
   
Projections 
   
Runs8781
Home Runs3022
RBI9683
Stolen Bases174
Batting Average.276.311
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertDTD-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 15# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 34
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 42
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 37
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 10# 21
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 14# 56
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 47
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 58
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 92
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 52
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 50
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 45
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 59
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 68
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 18# 34
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 45
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 24# 48
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 33
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 38
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 9# 58
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 21# 44
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 42
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 13# 39
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 29# 48
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 42
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 17# 38
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 45
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 44
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 7# 35
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 47
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 33# 86
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 42
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 18# 55
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 46
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 15# 44
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 22# 40
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 44
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 15# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 22# 49
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 62
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 46
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 11# 55
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 50
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 55
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 22# 47
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 18# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 19# 41
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 18# 56
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 13# 56
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 37
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 19# 38
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 37
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 33# 24
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats606328
   
Runs10140
   
Hits17698
   
Singles9371
   
Doubles4015
   
Triples90
   
Home Runs3412
   
RBI11142
   
Stolen Bases213
   
Caught Stealing90
   
Walks2920
   
Strikeouts16740
   
Batting Average.290.299
   
On Base Pct.326.336
   
Slugging Pct.555.454
   
On-base Plus Slugging.881.791
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats582529
   
Runs8781
   
Hits161165
   
Singles93105
   
Doubles3335
   
Triples53
   
Home Runs3022
   
RBI9683
   
Stolen Bases174
   
Caught Stealing61
   
Walks3341
   
Strikeouts15969
   
Batting Average.276.311
   
On Base Pct.315.360
   
Slugging Pct.507.517
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.876
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
News 
 Cubs manager Joe Maddon says Javier Baez (thumb) remains available off the bench as a pinch-runner.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 20th
Daniel Murphy went 4-for-5 with a double, four RBI, and a run scored in the Rockies' 11-10 win over the Padres on Saturday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 15th
 An MRI revealed a hairline fracture on Javier Baez’s thumb Saturday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
Daniel Murphy went 2-for-4 with a double, a walk, and a run scored in the Rockies' 10-8 win over the Padres on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 14th
 Javier Baez is not in the lineup for Saturday’s game against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
Daniel Murphy went 1-for-4 with a single in the Rockies' 2-1 win over the Cardinals on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 11th
 Javier Baez (thumb) is not in Friday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 6th
Daniel Murphy went 1-for-4 with a solo homer in Tuesday's 5-3 loss to the Dodgers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 4th
 Javier Baez was scratched from Thursday’s lineup against the Brewers due to soreness in his left thumb.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 5th
Daniel Murphy went 1-for-3 with a solo homer in the Rockies' loss to the Pirates on Saturday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Murphy's overall stat line wasn't all that impressive last year, but once he was healthy in the second half, he returned to hittin .315 with a 25 HR pace. Move that to Coors Field and we may be looking at the NL Batting Champion with plenty of homers, RBI and runs. Be mindful that he rarely plays a full season, but when he is on the field we are looking at a top 30 fantasy asset
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Murphy took a long time to return from microfracture knee surgery in 2018, but it was worth the wait for his fantasy owners, as he produced a .299/40/12/42/3 line over 328 at-bats from June on. He's always been a good hitter, but has blossomed into a truly potent fantasy asset over the last three seasons, demonstrating the ability to knock 25 home runs with a batting average well north of .300. And that was before he played his home games at Coors Field, where he owns a .330 lifetime batting average. Murphy may be discounted in drafts on account of his increasing age, but it would not be shocking if he finished as a top-20 overall hitter in his first season in Colorado.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Murphy's draft stock hasn't soared nearly enough for a career .299/.344/.458 hitter moving to Coors Field. One of baseball's top sluggers in 2016 and 2017, his 2018 returns were contaminated by a brutal return from offseason knee injury. From July 1 onward, removing 15 games from his 91-game season, he batted .317/.355/.493 with 12 homers. Steamer's projected .307 average and 22 homers seem more than reasonable with the Rockies, and he's capable of bringing home another batting title.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros