Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Freddie Freeman (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Expert
Recommendation
67%
Recommended by
38 of 57 experts
33%
Recommended by
19 of 57 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 18
Best Rank# 7# 6
Worst Rank# 25# 33
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 23# 18
Best Rank# 16# 16
Worst Rank# 25# 23
   
Projections 
   
Runs9387
Home Runs2730
RBI9596
Stolen Bases817
Batting Average.302.276
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 15
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 15# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 11# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 14# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 20
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 19
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 16# 19
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 17# 18
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 18# 20
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 9# 24
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 14# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 17# 29
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 18
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 14# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 20# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 19# 23
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 33
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 16# 19
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 16# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 21
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 17# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 21
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 18# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 9# 15
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 7# 22
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 20
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 17# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 17# 22
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 16# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 17# 19
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 24# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 9# 18
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 17# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 17# 6
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 6
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 9# 7
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 22# 9
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 23# 9
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 13# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 11
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 25# 11
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 24# 11
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 13
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 13
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 19# 14
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 17# 14
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 16# 15
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 23# 15
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 16# 15
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 15
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 16
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 17
   
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats618606
   
Runs94101
   
Hits191176
   
Singles12093
   
Doubles4440
   
Triples49
   
Home Runs2334
   
RBI98111
   
Stolen Bases1021
   
Caught Stealing39
   
Walks7629
   
Strikeouts132167
   
Batting Average.309.290
   
On Base Pct.388.326
   
Slugging Pct.505.555
   
On-base Plus Slugging.892.881
   
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats568582
   
Runs9387
   
Hits171161
   
Singles10193
   
Doubles3933
   
Triples35
   
Home Runs2730
   
RBI9596
   
Stolen Bases817
   
Caught Stealing36
   
Walks7733
   
Strikeouts126159
   
Batting Average.302.276
   
On Base Pct.385.315
   
Slugging Pct.525.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.910.822
   
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
News 
 Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman went 1-for-3 with a three-run home run in Monday's win over the Brewers. The homer was his 25th of the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Jul 16th
Javier Baez went 3-for-4 with a three-run home run, a double, and three runs scored Saturday against the Padres.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jul 20th
 Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman went 1-for-4 with a three-run home run in Sunday's win over the Padres. The homer was his 24th of the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jul 15th
Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and an additional run scored in Friday's win over the Padres.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jul 19th
 Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman went 2-for-5 with a solo home run and a double in Thursday's win over the Phillies. The homer was his 23rd of the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jul 5th
Javier Baez went 2-for-5 with a double and an RBI in Saturday's win against the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jul 13th
 Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman went 2-for-4 with a double, a walk, a run scored, and a stolen base in Sunday's loss to the Mets. The steal was his third of the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jul 1st
Javier Baez went 2-for-5 with two doubles, two runs scored, and two RBI in a 6-3 win over the White Sox Saturday.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Jul 7th
 Freddie Freeman went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run in Thursday's loss to the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 28th
Javier Baez went 3-for-5 with a solo home run in Wednesday's loss to the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Jul 4th
Notes 
 First basemen isn't as deep as it once was so commodities like Freeman are well worth investing in toward the middle of the third round. He is a lock for 90 runs, 90 RBIs and a .300 batting average each year and that type of player doesn't grow on trees
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Freeman bounced back from an injury-shortened 2017 season to finish as the number one fantasy first baseman in 2018, despite a precipitous drop in his power output. Freeman may struggle to return to the 30-HR plateau if he continues to hit as few fly balls as he did last year, but he's now produced a .300 batting average in three straight seasons, is good for 5-10 steals, and should continue to see healthy run and RBI totals as the Braves' lineup comes into its own. Consider him a decent bet to again finish as the number one 1B in fantasy.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Replacing Joey Votto as the line-drive king, Freeman has batted above .300 with a slugging percentage over .500 in each of the last three seasons. He played all 162 games and even poached a career-high 10 bases in 2018. He'd be fantasy's undisputed top first baseman if not for a late power outage limiting him to 23 homers. Now he's simply competing with Paul Goldschmidt for top billing as second-round mainstays. Now that he has slowly repealed the injury-prone label, Freeman is a relatively safe pick with MVP upside.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros