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Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or J.D. Martinez (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Expert
Recommendation
72%
Recommended by
36 of 50 experts
28%
Recommended by
14 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 40# 45
Best Rank# 18# 27
Worst Rank# 69# 86
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 75# 91
Best Rank# 56# 76
Worst Rank# 88# 101
   
Projections 
   
Runs8584
Home Runs2831
RBI9196
Stolen Bases123
Batting Average.259.274
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 46
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 36# 52
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 38# 44
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 39# 43
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 22# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 61
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 45# 47
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 37
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 42
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 40# 47
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 31# 42
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 56
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 39# 43
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 41# 72
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 45
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 27# 39
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 40# 52
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 43# 47
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 51
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 31
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 54# 56
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 37# 40
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 42# 50
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 42# 44
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 40# 86
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 42# 51
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 46# 49
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 41# 46
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 41# 48
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 44# 67
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 49# 55
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 38# 42
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 40# 44
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 37# 40
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 43# 66
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 40# 31
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 41# 36
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 37
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 42# 38
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 46# 43
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 46# 33
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 47# 44
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 49# 33
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 44
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 49# 31
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 56# 55
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 58# 41
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 65# 49
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 69# 52
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats222211
   
Runs2722
   
Hits4545
   
Singles2722
   
Doubles916
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs87
   
RBI2427
   
Stolen Bases31
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks722
   
Strikeouts7559
   
Batting Average.203.213
   
On Base Pct.238.291
   
Slugging Pct.360.389
   
On-base Plus Slugging.599.680
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats593550
   
Runs8584
   
Hits153149
   
Singles8884
   
Doubles3232
   
Triples42
   
Home Runs2831
   
RBI9196
   
Stolen Bases123
   
Caught Stealing51
   
Walks3164
   
Strikeouts179147
   
Batting Average.259.274
   
On Base Pct.296.350
   
Slugging Pct.470.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.765.855
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
News 
 Javier Baez connected on a two-run homer versus the Pirates Thursday. It changed the score from Pittsburgh 2-1 to the Cubs 3-2. The Cubs would win 4-2. Baez also stole his third base of the season.
Jamie Mellor
Fri, Apr 9th
J.D. Martinez was placed on the COVID-19 injured list Saturday.
Ari Koslow
Sat, Apr 10th
 Javier Baez went 1-for-3 versus Milwaukee Monday. His lone hit was also his first homer of the season which was a solo blast. Baez got hit right above his knee but stayed in the game.
Jamie Mellor
Tue, Apr 6th
J.D. Martinez is not in the Red Sox lineup for the team's game against the Orioles on Saturday. Martinez is reportedly dealing with an illness.
Dan Harris
Sat, Apr 10th
 Javier Baez went 0-for-4 versus the Pirates Sunday. He did drive in the eventual winning run when the Pirates committed an error. Baez seems to be involved in more than his share of weird plays so after awhile, you might be tempted to refer to it as the Baez Effect. My father and I do.
Jamie Mellor
Mon, Apr 5th
J.D. Martinez hit a two-run, walk-off double in Tuesday's extra inning victory over the Rays.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 7th
 Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a run scored and one driven in. He also stole two bases on the same trip around the bases.
Jamie Mellor
Sun, Apr 4th
J.D. Martinez went 2-for-4 with a homer and two RBI in Sunday's loss to the Orioles.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Apr 5th
 Cubs shortstop Javier Baez (right forearm) is expected to participate in workout and BP on Saturday despite getting hit yesterday.
AJ Schullo
Sat, Mar 6th
J.D. Martinez went 1-for-4 with a double as the Red Sox fell to the Orioles 3-0 on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Apr 2nd
Notes 
 Everything went wrong for Baez in 2020. His already high strikeout rate increased to 31.9%. His already low walk rated fell to an abysmal 3.0%. He swung less, made contact less, and did not hit the ball as hard as he used to. In the end, Baez earned every bit of his .203 batting average and poor counting stats. But how much weight do you put into a 59-game stretch for a veteran like Baez, particularly when he complained that his inability to watch video between at-bats affected his overall performance. The answer is a little, but not all that much. Baez had a stellar three-year run as a reliable power-speed combination, and he'll be just 28 years old this season. The Cubs lineup won't be overly strong, but Baez should certainly put up numbers closer to his 2017-2019 totals than those he put up in 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Martinez had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he slashed just .213/.291/.389 and hit seven home runs. Martinez simply didn't hit the ball nearly as hard as he used to, and hit a ton of fly balls, the combination of which helped to drain his batting average significantly. There's a ton to dislike about last year, but given that Martinez has talked about how much he relies on watching video in-game, and his inability to do so last year because of COVID-19 protocols, it seems likely that you can write off last year to a slump that didn't have time to end. He'll be eligible at utility only, but there's a massive opportunity for profit if you are willing to largely look past 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  2020 was a disaster for JDM. A cerebral hitter who relies heavily on in-game video analysis, Martinez admitted that it was tough to stay engaged last season. Aside from getting in-game video back, reasons for optimism include a barrel-rate that was similar to his 2019 mark as well as some solid plate discipline numbers. It would be more concerning if Martinez's discipline fell off as much as his batted-ball stats did. If you chalk it all up to "2020" then you can get JD at a big-time value this year.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros