Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Jean Segura (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Jean Segura
SS - PHI
Jean Segura
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
55 of 56 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 38
Best Rank# 6# 28
Worst Rank# 33# 71
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 64
Best Rank# 16# 61
Worst Rank# 23# 72
   
Projections 
   
Runs8789
Home Runs3013
RBI9664
Stolen Bases1721
Batting Average.276.293
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 15# 40
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 42
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 45
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 46
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 10# 32
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 14# 49
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 39
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 33
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 42
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 37
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 43
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 71
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 31
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 18# 48
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 48
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 24# 50
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 58
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 37
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 9# 42
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 21# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 34
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 13# 43
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 29# 39
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 53
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 49
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 17# 49
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 39
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 34
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 7# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 38
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 19# 41
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 33# 64
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 39
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 18# 44
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 42
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 15# 38
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 22# 38
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 50
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 15# 31
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 55
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 22# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 51
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 44
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 11# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 38
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 22# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 19# 35
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 69
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 40
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 19# 53
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 31
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 33# 28
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Jean Segura
SS - PHI
Jean Segura
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats606586
   
Runs10191
   
Hits176178
   
Singles93136
   
Doubles4029
   
Triples93
   
Home Runs3410
   
RBI11163
   
Stolen Bases2120
   
Caught Stealing911
   
Walks2932
   
Strikeouts16769
   
Batting Average.290.304
   
On Base Pct.326.341
   
Slugging Pct.555.415
   
On-base Plus Slugging.881.755
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Jean Segura
SS - PHI
Jean Segura
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats582593
   
Runs8789
   
Hits161174
   
Singles93127
   
Doubles3330
   
Triples54
   
Home Runs3013
   
RBI9664
   
Stolen Bases1721
   
Caught Stealing69
   
Walks3335
   
Strikeouts15982
   
Batting Average.276.293
   
On Base Pct.315.333
   
Slugging Pct.507.424
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.757
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Jean Segura
SS - PHI
Jean Segura
News 
 Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a three-run homer in the Cubs' 5-3 win over the Mets on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 23rd
Phillies shortstop Jean Segura went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Thursday's loss to the Nationals. The homers was his seventh of the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 21st
 Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, a triple, two RBI, and two runs scored in the Cubs' 7-4 win over the Mets on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Fri, Jun 21st
Phillies shortstop Jean Segura, who has hit second or third in the lineup all season, was moved up to the lineup spot for three games over the weekend. He went just 1-for-11 with three walks and a run scored.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 17th
 Javier Baez went 1-for-3 with a single, a steal, and a run scored in the Cubs' 7-3 win over the White Sox on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 20th
Phillies shortstop Jean Segura went 1-for-5 with a solo home run, two runs scored, and a stolen base in Monday's loss to the Diamondbacks. The homer was his sixth of the season while the steal was his fourth.
Mike Maher
Tue, Jun 11th
 Javier Baez went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in the Cubs'10-1 win over the Rockies' on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 13th
Jean Segura went 1-for-2 with a double and an RBI on Sunday against the Reds.
Dan Harris
Mon, Jun 10th
 Javier Baez went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 3-1 win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
Phillies shortstop Jean Segura went 1-for-2 with a double, an RBI, and a walk in Sunday's loss to the Reds.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
Notes 
 Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
It might not feel sexy drafting Segura, but you can expect a .300+ batting average and 20+ steals for the fourth consecutive season from him. If he finally plays a full season, we may be looking at a 20/30 year with a .310 batting average which would make Segura a top 25 fantasy asset
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Segura's production has fluctuated wildly from year to year since his breakout 2013 season. He's hit as low as .246 and as high as .319, stolen as few as 20 bases and as many as 44, and hit as few as five home runs and as many as 20. But of late he has seemed to settle in as a .300-10-20 type of player and should theoretically benefit from an improved lineup and home ballpark now that he's in Philadelphia. He's a logical choice if you miss out on the top-10 shortstops.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
After hitting .300 with 11 homers and 22 steals in 2017, Segura was undervalued in 2018 drafts. He followed up the useful decline from 2016's breakout by batting .304 with 10 homers and 20 steals last season. He's undervalued again. Of the 28 players who stole at least 20 bases in 2018, only 10 hit over .280. Moving to Citizens Bank Park could help him smack a few more long balls and potentially score another 90-plus runs if batting high in a replenished lineup. Simply repeating recent performance would make him worth a look anywhere outside the top-50 picks in 5x5 roto formats.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros