Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Kris Bryant (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Kris Bryant
3B,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
42 of 56 experts
25%
Recommended by
14 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 22
Best Rank# 6# 6
Worst Rank# 33# 37
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 33
Best Rank# 16# 26
Worst Rank# 23# 34
   
Projections 
   
Runs8797
Home Runs3028
RBI9687
Stolen Bases176
Batting Average.276.281
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 15# 18
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 18
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 21
   
Staff Rankings
ScoutFantasySports
# 16# 26
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 10# 14
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 22
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 20
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 32
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 23
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 26
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 23
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 21
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 18# 22
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 31
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 24# 37
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 20
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 29
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 21# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 23
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 21
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 13# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 25
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 17# 26
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 23
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 7# 21
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 19# 21
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 22
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 18# 23
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 15# 26
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 22# 29
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 23
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 15# 28
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 35
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 17
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 26
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 11# 20
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 19# 21
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 33
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 19# 21
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 26
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 9# 7
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 14# 9
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 13
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 17
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 22# 20
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 22# 20
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 13
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 22
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 29# 6
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 21
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 33# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 33# 16
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Kris Bryant
3B,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats606389
   
Runs10159
   
Hits176106
   
Singles9362
   
Doubles4028
   
Triples93
   
Home Runs3413
   
RBI11152
   
Stolen Bases212
   
Caught Stealing94
   
Walks2948
   
Strikeouts167107
   
Batting Average.290.273
   
On Base Pct.326.374
   
Slugging Pct.555.460
   
On-base Plus Slugging.881.834
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Kris Bryant
3B,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats582552
   
Runs8797
   
Hits161155
   
Singles9388
   
Doubles3335
   
Triples54
   
Home Runs3028
   
RBI9687
   
Stolen Bases176
   
Caught Stealing64
   
Walks3377
   
Strikeouts159140
   
Batting Average.276.281
   
On Base Pct.315.369
   
Slugging Pct.507.510
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.879
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Kris Bryant
3B,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
News 
 Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, two RBI, and two runs scored in the Cubs' 6-0 win over the Marlins on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Apr 18th
Kris Bryant went 1-for-4 with a single and a run scored in the Cubs' 6-0 win over the Marlins on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Apr 18th
 Javier Baez went 3-for-4 with a solo home run, a double, and two runs scored in the Cubs' 4-0 win over the Marlins on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Apr 17th
Kris Bryant is out of the Cubs' lineup for their game against the Angels on Saturday. David Bote will play third base and bat eighth.
Dan Harris
Sat, Apr 13th
 Javier Baez went 3-for-5 with a double, an RBI, and two runs scored in the Cubs' 7-2 win over the Marlins on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Apr 16th
Kris Bryant went 1-for-3 with a walk and a run scored in the Cubs' 5-1 win over the Angels on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Fri, Apr 12th
 Javier Baez went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in the Cubs' 5-1 loss to the Angels on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Fri, Apr 12th
Kris Bryant went 1-for-4 with a single in Sunday's loss to the Brewers.
Blaine Blontz
Mon, Apr 8th
 Javier Baez went 1-for-5 with a solo home run, a walk, and two runs scored in the Cubs' 14-8 win over the Brewers on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Apr 7th
Kris Bryant went 0-for-5 with three strikeouts in the Cubs' 6-4 loss to the Braves on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Apr 4th
Notes 
 Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Bryant missed 60 games last year and had his least efficient season of his career by quite a bit. There is some risk in drafting Bryant in the 3rd round, but he also comes with 40 homer upside, a batting average near .300 and both 100+ runs and RBIs
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bryant appeared to be on the verge of establishing himself as a perennial first round fantasy pick following his MVP 2016 season. Then his home run total dropped from 39 to 29 in 2017, but it seemed like an outlier as his production remained otherwise excellent. But the bottom really fell out last season, as Bryant struggled through a shoulder injury while producing a paltry 13 homers over 102 games. Bryant's strikeout rate grew and his hard contact rate declined, but he simply wasn't healthy -- he was actually off to a strong start before suffering the injury in mid-May. Bryant has pronounced himself fully healthy, and the fact the injury was a bone bruise rather than ligament damage is reason to believe he can make a full recovery. It wouldn't be the least bit surprising to see him rocket back into the first round of fantasy drafts by this time next year.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Everyone kept waiting for Bryant to turn the corner last season. They're still waiting. He hit a pedestrian .272/.374/.460 and continued a concerning power slide with 13 homers. The former MVP, who is only 27, was dealing with a shoulder injury. He could easily bounce back and deliver near first-round value, but drafters won't receive much of a discount at his third-round going rate. It's a fair price given his batting average and power upside, but the lack of speed and health certainty makes him far from a lock.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros