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Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Lance Lynn (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Javier Baez
2B,SS - NYM
Javier Baez
Expert
Recommendation
52%
Recommended by
29 of 56 experts
48%
Recommended by
27 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 57# 56
Best Rank# 34# 27
Worst Rank# 130# 105
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 52# 75
Best Rank# 43# 56
Worst Rank# 65# 88
   
Projections 
   
Runs85
Home Runs2728
RBI91
Stolen Bases12
Batting Avg.259
Strikeouts198179
Wins12
Saves0
ERA3.95
WHIP1.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 69# 70
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 45# 83
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 54# 96
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 44# 79
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 51# 58
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 62# 84
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 39# 57
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 58# 60
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 62
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 53# 60
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 57# 105
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 47# 62
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 47# 67
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 73
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 34# 102
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 48# 65
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 52# 67
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 50# 59
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 54# 79
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 52# 54
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 54# 60
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 60
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 55# 66
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 58# 59
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 49# 63
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 47# 65
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 50# 72
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 54# 57
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 49# 72
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 63# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 64# 32
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 84# 38
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 55# 39
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 59# 46
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 69# 47
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 76# 47
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 62# 48
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 130# 50
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 113# 50
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 65# 51
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 59# 52
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 81# 53
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 74# 53
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 54# 53
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 59# 54
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 68# 54
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 81# 55
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 57# 56
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 65# 56
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 60# 57
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 72# 59
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 90# 59
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 88# 60
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 88# 60
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 68# 66
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 72# 67
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Javier Baez
2B,SS - NYM
Javier Baez
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs27
   
Home Runs138
   
RBI24
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.203
   
Strikeouts8975
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.32
   
WHIP1.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Javier Baez
2B,SS - NYM
Javier Baez
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs85
   
Home Runs2728
   
RBI91
   
Stolen Bases12
   
Batting Avg.259
   
Strikeouts198179
   
Wins12
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.95
   
WHIP1.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Javier Baez
2B,SS - NYM
Javier Baez
News 
 Lance Lynn pitched five strong innings on Friday, allowing one earned run on four hits and one walk while striking out four batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Oct 2nd
Javier Baez went 1-for-3 with one walk and two strikeouts. The Mets won 3-2 and are 73-77 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Sep 20th
 Lance Lynn allowed just two hits in his five innings of work, striking out nine and not allowing a single earned run.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
Javier Baez went 2-for-2 with three walks, two RBIs, one run, and one home run. The Mets lost 7-6 in extras and are 72-74 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Sep 15th
 The White Sox reinstated RHP Lance Lynn (knee) from the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with two runs, one RBI, one home run, and two stolen bases, but the Mets lost 3-2.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Sep 10th
 White Sox pitcher Lance Lynn is expected to start on Sunday against Boston. It will be his first outing since landing on the 10-day injured list with right knee inflammation at the end of August.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Sep 9th
Javier Baez went 4-for-4 with three runs, three singles, one home run, and two RBIs. The Mets won 13-6 Sunday and are 69-68 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
 Lance Lynn is scheduled to throw a bullpen session on Friday.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
Javier Baez went 2-for-5 with two runs scored, one double, one home run, one RBI, and two strikeouts. The Mets won 11-9 in game one Saturday and are 68-67 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
Notes 
 Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Everything went wrong for Baez in 2020. His already high strikeout rate increased to 31.9%. His already low walk rated fell to an abysmal 3.0%. He swung less, made contact less, and did not hit the ball as hard as he used to. In the end, Baez earned every bit of his .203 batting average and poor counting stats. But how much weight do you put into a 59-game stretch for a veteran like Baez, particularly when he complained that his inability to watch video between at-bats affected his overall performance. The answer is a little, but not all that much. Baez had a stellar three-year run as a reliable power-speed combination, and he'll be just 28 years old this season. The Cubs lineup won't be overly strong, but Baez should certainly put up numbers closer to his 2017-2019 totals than those he put up in 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros