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Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Nelson Cruz (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
28 of 50 experts
44%
Recommended by
22 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 40# 43
Best Rank# 18# 25
Worst Rank# 69# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 75# 85
Best Rank# 56# 64
Worst Rank# 88# 92
   
Projections 
   
Runs8576
Home Runs2834
RBI9189
Stolen Bases121
Batting Average.259.269
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 68
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 36# 61
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 38# 52
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 39# 51
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 22# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 70
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 45# 57
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 79
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 40
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 49# 76
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 31# 49
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 52
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 43
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 41# 56
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 27# 44
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 40# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 43# 45
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 43
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 33
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 37# 45
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 42# 60
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 40# 48
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 42# 44
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 41# 42
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 38# 47
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 40# 43
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 37# 65
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 43# 47
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 39# 37
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 35
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 40# 39
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 40# 36
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 41# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 41# 31
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 42# 41
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 42# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 39
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 44# 36
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 46# 39
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 46# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 46# 42
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 47# 36
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 49# 35
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 49# 30
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 36
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 54# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 56# 40
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 58# 52
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 65# 31
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 69# 43
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats222185
   
Runs2733
   
Hits4556
   
Singles2734
   
Doubles96
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs816
   
RBI2433
   
Stolen Bases30
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks725
   
Strikeouts7558
   
Batting Average.203.303
   
On Base Pct.238.397
   
Slugging Pct.360.595
   
On-base Plus Slugging.599.992
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats593495
   
Runs8576
   
Hits153132
   
Singles8875
   
Doubles3222
   
Triples41
   
Home Runs2834
   
RBI9189
   
Stolen Bases121
   
Caught Stealing50
   
Walks3157
   
Strikeouts179143
   
Batting Average.259.269
   
On Base Pct.296.344
   
Slugging Pct.470.524
   
On-base Plus Slugging.765.868
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
News 
 Javier Baez connected on a two-run homer versus the Pirates Thursday. It changed the score from Pittsburgh 2-1 to the Cubs 3-2. The Cubs would win 4-2. Baez also stole his third base of the season.
Jamie Mellor
Fri, Apr 9th
Minnesota DH Nelson Cruz went 2-for-3 with a two-run homer and a walk in a 4-3 loss to the Mariners on Saturday.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Apr 10th
 Javier Baez went 1-for-3 versus Milwaukee Monday. His lone hit was also his first homer of the season which was a solo blast. Baez got hit right above his knee but stayed in the game.
Jamie Mellor
Tue, Apr 6th
Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 3-for-5 with a solo homer in a 4-3 loss to the Tigers on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Apr 6th
 Javier Baez went 0-for-4 versus the Pirates Sunday. He did drive in the eventual winning run when the Pirates committed an error. Baez seems to be involved in more than his share of weird plays so after awhile, you might be tempted to refer to it as the Baez Effect. My father and I do.
Jamie Mellor
Mon, Apr 5th
Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz had a big game in a 15-6 win over the Tigers on Monday. Cruz went 3-for-6 with a double, two homers, and five RBI in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Apr 5th
 Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a run scored and one driven in. He also stole two bases on the same trip around the bases.
Jamie Mellor
Sun, Apr 4th
Nelson Cruz is serving as the Twins' DH and hitting third on Monday against the Tigers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Apr 5th
 Cubs shortstop Javier Baez (right forearm) is expected to participate in workout and BP on Saturday despite getting hit yesterday.
AJ Schullo
Sat, Mar 6th
Twins DH Nelson Cruz is absent from Thursday's Opening Day lineup.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 1st
Notes 
 Everything went wrong for Baez in 2020. His already high strikeout rate increased to 31.9%. His already low walk rated fell to an abysmal 3.0%. He swung less, made contact less, and did not hit the ball as hard as he used to. In the end, Baez earned every bit of his .203 batting average and poor counting stats. But how much weight do you put into a 59-game stretch for a veteran like Baez, particularly when he complained that his inability to watch video between at-bats affected his overall performance. The answer is a little, but not all that much. Baez had a stellar three-year run as a reliable power-speed combination, and he'll be just 28 years old this season. The Cubs lineup won't be overly strong, but Baez should certainly put up numbers closer to his 2017-2019 totals than those he put up in 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
If you ascribe to the "I'd rather jump off a year too early than too late" philosophy, then you probably haven't been drafting Cruz for the last several years. But if not, then you've not only drafted one of the most underrated fantasy bats in recent memory, but you're probably going to do so again this year. Cruz is back on a one-year deal with the Twins, and he's coming off another utterly dominant season. Fine, his strikeout rate rose again a bit, he didn't hit the ball quite as hard, and he's eligible at utility only. But other than the fact that he will be 41 years old this season, there's nothing in his profile that should cause you to expect significant decline. Prepare to be having the same debate next year, after Crus puts up another 35-homer season this year.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros