Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Xander Bogaerts (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Expert
Recommendation
93%
Recommended by
52 of 56 experts
7%
Recommended by
4 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 31
Best Rank# 6# 17
Worst Rank# 33# 64
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 45
Best Rank# 16# 40
Worst Rank# 23# 54
   
Projections 
   
Runs8788
Home Runs3021
RBI9691
Stolen Bases1710
Batting Average.276.288
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 15# 24
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 31
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 47
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 10# 44
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 14# 38
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 29
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 37
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 28
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 32
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 28
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 23
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 29
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 34
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 64
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 18# 29
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 34
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 24# 39
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 30
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 9# 59
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 21# 25
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 29
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 13# 40
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 32
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 17# 37
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 31
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 7# 37
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 34
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 33# 45
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 19# 32
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 30
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 18# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 35
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 15# 33
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 22# 31
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 33
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 15# 33
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 17
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 22# 35
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 36
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 33
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 21
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 11# 33
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 31
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 22# 37
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 19# 30
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 30
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 19# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 33
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 28
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 29# 22
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 27
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 33# 31
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats606513
   
Runs10172
   
Hits176148
   
Singles9377
   
Doubles4045
   
Triples93
   
Home Runs3423
   
RBI111103
   
Stolen Bases218
   
Caught Stealing92
   
Walks2955
   
Strikeouts167102
   
Batting Average.290.289
   
On Base Pct.326.360
   
Slugging Pct.555.522
   
On-base Plus Slugging.881.883
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats582570
   
Runs8788
   
Hits161164
   
Singles93101
   
Doubles3338
   
Triples53
   
Home Runs3021
   
RBI9691
   
Stolen Bases1710
   
Caught Stealing63
   
Walks3357
   
Strikeouts159111
   
Batting Average.276.288
   
On Base Pct.315.352
   
Slugging Pct.507.477
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.829
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
News 
 Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a three-run homer in the Cubs' 5-3 win over the Mets on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 23rd
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-5 and drove in a run on Saturday as the Red Sox lost to the Blue Jays by an 8-7 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, a triple, two RBI, and two runs scored in the Cubs' 7-4 win over the Mets on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Fri, Jun 21st
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-4 with a double and an RBI in Monday's 2-0 win over the Twins.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 18th
 Javier Baez went 1-for-3 with a single, a steal, and a run scored in the Cubs' 7-3 win over the White Sox on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 20th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with two runs scored and delivered a go-ahead home run in a 7-6 victory over the Rangers on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 14th
 Javier Baez went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in the Cubs'10-1 win over the Rockies' on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 13th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a walk and solo home run Tuesday as the Red Sox lost the Rangers.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 12th
 Javier Baez went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 3-1 win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-4 with an RBI double Friday as the Red Sox lost to the Rays by a 5-1 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 8th
Notes 
 Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Xander has been around for so long that it is easy to forget he is still just 26 years old. Although there have been periods of disappointment in the past, Bogaerts still has averaged 15 homers, 91 runs, 84 RBIs and a .295 BA over the last four seasons. Add in that 2018 was his best yet and we may be looking at another big step forward this season
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bogaerts doesn't have the pure upside of some of the other top shortstops, but he is a steady across-the-board performer who has finished as a top-50 overall player in standard roto leagues in three of the last four seasons. With a strong approach at the plate and a terrific team situation, he is a good bet to again finish ahead of some of the other players drafted before him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Other elite shortstop peers have passed Bogaerts by, but he rebounded from a 2017 mired by a wrist injury to hit a quiet .288/.360/.522 with 23 homers and 103 RBI. He set career-highs in walks, hard-hit rate, barrels, and launch angle in his age-25 season, so drafters should believe in his power surge. This is the player everyone has wanted for years, but the five-category contributor-swinging in the heart of a loaded lineup-will slip to the fourth or fifth round due to a lack of elite power and speed.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros