Who Should I Draft?

J.D. Martinez or Bryce Harper (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Expert
Recommendation
90%
Recommended by
53 of 59 experts
10%
Recommended by
6 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 9
Best Rank# 2# 2
Worst Rank# 21# 25
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 5# 16
Best Rank# 4# 11
Worst Rank# 5# 20
   
Projections 
   
Runs9899
Home Runs4035
RBI116101
Stolen Bases411
Batting Average.305.269
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertDTD-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 4# 8
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 6
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 13
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 4# 10
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 2# 12
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 4# 8
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 3# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 3# 21
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 5# 11
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 4# 9
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 3# 7
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 5# 10
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 7# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 4# 9
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 6# 10
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 10
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 5# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 10
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 3# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 3# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 4# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 11
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 6# 14
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 21
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 8# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 3# 15
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 5# 12
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 5# 12
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 4# 21
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 4# 9
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 12
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 3# 16
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 9# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 13
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 4# 14
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 6# 8
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 4# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 14
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 5# 13
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 4# 6
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 6# 12
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 5# 11
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 5# 8
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 6# 13
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 3# 15
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 6# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 12
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 5
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 12# 10
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 13# 10
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 17# 2
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 18# 8
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 21# 13
   
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats569550
   
Runs111103
   
Hits188137
   
Singles10669
   
Doubles3734
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs4334
   
RBI130100
   
Stolen Bases613
   
Caught Stealing13
   
Walks69130
   
Strikeouts146169
   
Batting Average.330.249
   
On Base Pct.402.393
   
Slugging Pct.629.496
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.031.889
   
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats544516
   
Runs9899
   
Hits166139
   
Singles9173
   
Doubles3329
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs4035
   
RBI116101
   
Stolen Bases411
   
Caught Stealing14
   
Walks64111
   
Strikeouts146145
   
Batting Average.305.269
   
On Base Pct.378.398
   
Slugging Pct.593.533
   
On-base Plus Slugging.971.931
   
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
News 
 J.D. Martinez exited Tuesday's game with left groin tightness and is day-to-day, Jason Mastrodonato of the Boston Herald reports.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
Bryce Harper was ejected from Sunday’s game against the Red Sox.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 15th
 J.D. Martinez went 1-for-3 with a double and two walks while scoring a run and driving in a run as the Red Sox defeated the Blue Jays on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 13th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-2 with two walks, a run scored, and a stolen base in Wednesday's loss to the Braves. The steal was his 12th of the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 12th
 J.D. Martinez went 1-for-4 with a solo home run during Saturday's 5-1 loss to the Yankees.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 8th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Tuesday's win over the Braves. The homer was his 31st of the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 11th
 J.D. Martinez went 1-for-2 with two walks and hit a home run in Sunday's 6-4 win over the Angels.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 2nd
Bryce Harper (hand) remains on the bench Sunday against the Mets.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 8th
 J.D. Martinez went 2-for-3 with two RBI, a walk and a run scored in the Red Sox’ loss to the Angels on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 1st
Bryce Harper (hand) is not in Saturday’s lineup against the Mets.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
Notes 
 Martinez is a rare first-round hitter who rarely runs, but he'll make up for it in every other spot. While the 31-year-old probably won't win another batting title at .330, he's a .307 hitter since 2014's breakout who has exceeded .300 in three straight years. He boasts an MLB-high .655 slugging percentage in the past two seasons with 88 long balls. Last season, he placed within the 97th percentile or better in exit velocity, hard-hit%, xAVG, xSLG, and xWOBA. Hitting in the middle of Boston's lineup also makes him a strong bet to drive in and score over 100 runs. Limited fielding reps helped him stay healthy, but he played enough OF (25 games) to maintain fantasy eligibility, making him a strong four-category star.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Harper may have posted just a .249 batting average in 2018, but the rest of his fantasy production was tremendous, plus his underlying metrics indicate the average returning closer to the .270 mark in 2019. His fantasy value improved when he signed with Philly because their ballpark is great for lefties, but he is still just a 2nd round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 It's funny how one healthy season can help you forget that a player missed 40+ games in three of the past four seasons. While Martinez has a legitimate shot at the Triple Crown, he is also a bit riskier than many of the other first round picks so proceed soberly.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
After scaring fantasy owners with rumors that he could sign with the Giants, Harper ultimately stuck with the original plan and ended up in a great hitting environment in Philadelphia. The move is unquestionably a good one for his fantasy value, but there is still a lot of uncertainty about what kind of numbers to expect from Harper. Over the last four seasons, he has two years where he's hit over .315 and two where he's hit under .250. He's also hit as many as 42 HRs and as few as 24, and stolen as many as 21 bases and as few as four. Harper always contributes enough production to be a prized fantasy asset, but he only has one season on his resume where he's earned first round value. He could be a bit overrated now that he's signed with the Phillies.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 There is no better bet in baseball to hit .300 with 40+ home runs than Martinez. He's now accomplished that feat two years in a row, hit at least 38 homers in three of the last four seasons, and hit over .300 in four of the last five. Still in the prime of his career and in a great hitting environment in Boston, a repeat performance looks likely.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
A wide dissonance remains from what drafters want from Harper and what he typically delivers. With batting averages of .330, .243, .319, and .249 over the last four years, there's a steep range of outcomes for a perennial top pick averaging 32 homers and 11 steals in that stretch. His latest drop came with a career-low 70.8% contact rate, so count on a compromise to around .270 rather than a full rebound. Now that he has signed with the Phillies, he should belt closer to 35-40 long balls with the help of Citizens Bank Park. The ideal landing spot pushes him up to early second-round territory, and it wouldn't be surprising to see some drafters grab him late in the first.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros