Who Should I Draft?

J.D. Martinez or Christian Yelich (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Christian Yelich
LF,CF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Expert
Recommendation
85%
Recommended by
50 of 59 experts
15%
Recommended by
9 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 7
Best Rank# 2# 3
Worst Rank# 21# 23
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 5# 7
Best Rank# 4# 6
Worst Rank# 5# 9
   
Projections 
   
Runs98103
Home Runs4028
RBI11694
Stolen Bases417
Batting Average.305.303
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-DTD
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 4# 7
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 9
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 4# 5
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 2# 3
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 4# 7
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 9
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 3# 5
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 3# 4
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 11
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 13# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 5# 6
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 4# 6
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 17# 18
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 3# 11
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 5# 9
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 7# 14
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 8
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 18# 23
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 4# 6
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 7
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 5# 7
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 9
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 3# 5
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 7
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 3# 6
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 4# 6
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 12
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 6# 12
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 6
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 13
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 8# 10
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 3# 6
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 5# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 5# 6
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 4# 5
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 4# 7
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 6
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 3# 5
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 6# 8
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 4# 6
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 6# 13
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 4# 7
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 8
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 5# 7
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 4# 10
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 6# 7
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 6# 12
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 3# 6
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 6# 15
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 5# 4
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 5# 3
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 4
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 6# 5
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 9# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 5
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 12# 3
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 21# 4
   
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Christian Yelich
LF,CF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats569574
   
Runs111118
   
Hits188187
   
Singles106110
   
Doubles3734
   
Triples27
   
Home Runs4336
   
RBI130110
   
Stolen Bases622
   
Caught Stealing14
   
Walks6968
   
Strikeouts146135
   
Batting Average.330.326
   
On Base Pct.402.403
   
Slugging Pct.629.598
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.0311.000
   
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Christian Yelich
LF,CF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats544575
   
Runs98103
   
Hits166174
   
Singles91107
   
Doubles3335
   
Triples24
   
Home Runs4028
   
RBI11694
   
Stolen Bases417
   
Caught Stealing14
   
Walks6472
   
Strikeouts146133
   
Batting Average.305.303
   
On Base Pct.378.380
   
Slugging Pct.593.523
   
On-base Plus Slugging.971.904
   
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Christian Yelich
LF,CF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
News 
 J.D. Martinez went 0-for-5 with four strikeouts in his return to the lineup Saturday as the Red Sox lost to the Rays by a 5-4 score in a game that went 13 innings.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 22nd
Christian Yelich will miss the remainder of the season after fracturing his right kneecap in Tuesday's game against the Marlins.
Dan Harris
Tue, Sep 10th
 J.D. Martinez (groin) will serve as the designated hitter and bat cleanup Saturday against the Rays.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
Brewers outfielder Christian Yelich left Tuesday night’s game at against the Marlins after fouling a ball off his right knee during his first at-bat. He stayed down on the ground for several minutes before eventually being able to walk off under his own power.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 10th
 J.D. Martinez (groin) is not in the lineup for Friday's game against the Rays, Julian McWilliams of The Boston Globe reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 20th
Christian Yelich went 3-for-4 with a three-run home run in Friday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 7th
 J.D. Martinez (groin) remains out of the Red Sox starting lineup Thursday versus the Giants according to Pete Abraham of The Boston Globe.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 19th
Christian Yelich went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Monday's loss to the Astros.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Sep 3rd
 J.D. Martinez (groin) is on the bench as expected Wednesday against the Giants, Pete Abraham of The Boston Globe reports.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
Christian Yelich went 1-for-4 with a walk and a three-run home run in Sunday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Martinez is a rare first-round hitter who rarely runs, but he'll make up for it in every other spot. While the 31-year-old probably won't win another batting title at .330, he's a .307 hitter since 2014's breakout who has exceeded .300 in three straight years. He boasts an MLB-high .655 slugging percentage in the past two seasons with 88 long balls. Last season, he placed within the 97th percentile or better in exit velocity, hard-hit%, xAVG, xSLG, and xWOBA. Hitting in the middle of Boston's lineup also makes him a strong bet to drive in and score over 100 runs. Limited fielding reps helped him stay healthy, but he played enough OF (25 games) to maintain fantasy eligibility, making him a strong four-category star.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
There is no denying that Yelich was a first round value in 2018 and perhaps even the #1 fantasy asset thanks to a .326 average with 36 homers, 22 steals and 110+ runs and RBIs. These numbers blew away his career marks, however, so projection models all have him regressing to a high-end second round value this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 It's funny how one healthy season can help you forget that a player missed 40+ games in three of the past four seasons. While Martinez has a legitimate shot at the Triple Crown, he is also a bit riskier than many of the other first round picks so proceed soberly.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
After several quietly productive seasons in Miami, Yelich was the biggest breakout star in MLB during his first season in Milwaukee, finishing tied with J.D. Martinez as the most valuable player overall in standard 5x5 roto/categories leagues. Yelich showed skills progression with a top-10 hard contact rate, was more aggressive on the base paths, and benefited from a major ballpark and lineup upgrade. His numbers were also driven by an unsustainable 35.0 percent HR/FB rate and a .373 BABIP that was a tad high even for a guy who generally excels in that metric. It's therefore prudent to expect Yelich to give back some homers and batting average, and he probably won't swipe quite as many bags either. But even if he goes .300-28-18 instead of .326-36-22, he can still be a top-five outfielder, especially when you consider the plus run production numbers he's sure to accrue in Milwaukee.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 There is no better bet in baseball to hit .300 with 40+ home runs than Martinez. He's now accomplished that feat two years in a row, hit at least 38 homers in three of the last four seasons, and hit over .300 in four of the last five. Still in the prime of his career and in a great hitting environment in Boston, a repeat performance looks likely.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Anyone sick of hearing about launch angle will relish Yelich's MVP campaign. Sure, the career .297/.375/.463 hitter has proven capable of hitting for a high average with above-average power despite his lofty ground-ball rates. But 35% of his fly balls cleared the fences for his 36 home runs. No other qualified hitter posted a HR/FB% above 30. He's more likely to hit 25-30 homers, which is still great if he can swipe around 20 more bags for the Brewers. There's enough five-category goodness to keep him in the first round, but also enough regression concern to push him toward the latter half of it.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros