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Who Should I Draft?

Jeff McNeil or Giancarlo Stanton (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Giancarlo Stanton
LF,DH - NYY
Giancarlo Stanton
Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
13 of 22 experts
41%
Recommended by
9 of 22 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 60# 65
Best Rank# 37# 35
Worst Rank# 98# 95
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 113# 92
Best Rank# 111# 70
Worst Rank# 117# 106
   
Projections 
   
Runs8282
Home Runs3517
RBI9574
Stolen Bases46
Batting Average.255.295
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 86
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 64
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 95
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 62# 65
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 61# 65
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 51# 62
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 51# 68
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 62# 67
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 48# 73
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 37# 73
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 51# 72
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 64# 94
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 62# 66
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 48# 35
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 75# 39
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 55# 53
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 60# 57
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 80# 58
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 68# 63
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 68# 66
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 94# 66
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 98# 70
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Giancarlo Stanton
LF,DH - NYY
Giancarlo Stanton
Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats76183
   
Runs1219
   
Hits1957
   
Singles839
   
Doubles714
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs44
   
RBI1123
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks1520
   
Strikeouts2724
   
Batting Average.250.312
   
On Base Pct.387.383
   
Slugging Pct.500.454
   
On-base Plus Slugging.887.836
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Giancarlo Stanton
LF,DH - NYY
Giancarlo Stanton
Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats490564
   
Runs8282
   
Hits124164
   
Singles63108
   
Doubles2436
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs3517
   
RBI9574
   
Stolen Bases46
   
Caught Stealing24
   
Walks6847
   
Strikeouts16983
   
Batting Average.255.295
   
On Base Pct.343.345
   
Slugging Pct.528.459
   
On-base Plus Slugging.871.804
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Giancarlo Stanton
LF,DH - NYY
Giancarlo Stanton
Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
News 
 Yankees manager Aaron Boone says Giancarlo Stanton could receive playing time in the outfield this season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Feb 23rd
 
Notes 
 It's all about the injuries with Stanton, as after two healthy seasons, he's been limited to just 41 games over the last two. There's little to analyze with the slugger other than his health. He still hits the ball as hard as anyone and walks and strikes out a ton. There's been little decline in his batted ball data over the last two years, but even if there had been, the sample size would be too small to draw any conclusions. Stanton is likely eligible at utility only in your league, but that limitation should let him come as a discount in drafts. Have power on your bench ready to fill in if you draft Stanton, but there's no reason to run from him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Much of McNeil's 2020 season looked similar to his year in 2019. He hit over .300, rarely struck out, and got on base plenty. But the power gains that we saw in 2019 vanished, as he hit just four home runs over 52 games. His barrel rate (2.5%) and hard-hit percentage (26.5%) were some of the worst in the league, and he didn't even offer the token stolen base that he had chipped in during previous seasons. This is a scenario where McNeil's value to any particular fantasy manager will depend on the weight he or she gives to the shortened 2020 season. Given that McNeil never hit the ball particularly hard anyway, though, a good bet is to assume he at least returns to the high teens in home runs, slightly below his 2019 pace. With his strong average and multi-position eligibility, that makes McNeil an asset in the middle rounds.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Entering 2020 Stanton was being drafted around 65th overall. After another injury-riddled campaign, he's going outside the top 100 entering 2021. This creates an exciting buying opportunity, as Stanton was able to produce in a big way when healthy last year. Including the playoffs he hit 10 homers in 30 games. Meanwhile, all of his underlying numbers on Baseball Savant are right in line with his career norms. The injury risk is already being baked into his price. Stanton has a chance to drastically outperform his ADP if he stays healthy. Those are the type of league-winning draft picks I'm interested in making.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros