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Who Should I Draft?

Jeff McNeil or Ke'Bryan Hayes (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
Ke'Bryan Hayes
3B - PIT
Ke'Bryan Hayes
Expert
Recommendation
82%
Recommended by
42 of 51 experts
18%
Recommended by
9 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 63# 85
Best Rank# 38# 57
Worst Rank# 101# 139
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 99# 133
Best Rank# 73# 127
Worst Rank# 105# 147
   
Projections 
   
Runs8172
Home Runs1816
RBI7362
Stolen Bases68
Batting Average.296.275
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 101
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 63# 93
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 47# 89
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 45# 108
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 74# 77
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 70# 85
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 95# 139
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 60# 94
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 54# 86
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 61# 102
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 64# 92
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 42# 80
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 60# 79
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 68# 85
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 54# 83
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 66# 89
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 54# 91
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 64# 88
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 39# 70
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 38# 105
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 57# 95
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 64# 73
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 68# 69
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 59# 83
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 67# 85
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 62# 98
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 63# 91
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 67# 102
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 68# 90
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 63# 71
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 53# 94
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 66# 113
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 74# 85
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 63# 91
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 46# 137
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 72# 88
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 71# 115
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 64# 66
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 63# 86
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 52# 75
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 64# 91
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 65# 82
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 62# 57
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 69# 58
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 72# 58
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 84# 72
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 84# 83
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 86# 73
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 95# 64
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 100# 66
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 101# 98
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
Ke'Bryan Hayes
3B - PIT
Ke'Bryan Hayes
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats18385
   
Runs1917
   
Hits5732
   
Singles3918
   
Doubles147
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs45
   
RBI2311
   
Stolen Bases01
   
Caught Stealing20
   
Walks209
   
Strikeouts2420
   
Batting Average.312.377
   
On Base Pct.383.442
   
Slugging Pct.454.682
   
On-base Plus Slugging.8361.125
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
Ke'Bryan Hayes
3B - PIT
Ke'Bryan Hayes
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats556506
   
Runs8172
   
Hits163137
   
Singles10684
   
Doubles3531
   
Triples35
   
Home Runs1816
   
RBI7362
   
Stolen Bases68
   
Caught Stealing42
   
Walks4650
   
Strikeouts82116
   
Batting Average.296.275
   
On Base Pct.350.341
   
Slugging Pct.465.451
   
On-base Plus Slugging.815.793
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
Ke'Bryan Hayes
3B - PIT
Ke'Bryan Hayes
News 
 Jeff McNeil went 2-for-3 with one RBI, one homer, one single, and two runs scored. The Mets won 3-2 Sunday and are 73-77 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Sep 20th
Ke'Bryan Hayes went 3-for-4 with two RBI and two runs scored Monday against the Tigers.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 6th
 Jeff McNeil went 1-for-3 with one single, one strikeout, and two RBIs.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sat, Aug 14th
Pirates 3B Ke'Bryan Hayes (hand) is once again absent from the lineup on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 1st
 Jeff McNeil went 1-for-4 with a solo home run and a strikeout.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Aug 2nd
Ke'Bryan Hayes went 1-for-4 with a stolen base Sunday against the Brewers.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Aug 15th
 Jeff McNeil is absent from Thursday's lineup against the Braves.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jul 29th
Ke'Bryan Hayes went 2-for-4 with a solo home run Sunday against the Reds.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Aug 8th
 Jeff McNeil went 2-for-5 with one run scored, one home run, one double, one strikeout, and two RBIs.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Jul 28th
Ke'Bryan Hayes went 2-for-5 with two doubles, one RBI, and one run scored Friday against the Phillies.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jul 30th
Notes 
 Much of McNeil's 2020 season looked similar to his year in 2019. He hit over .300, rarely struck out, and got on base plenty. But the power gains that we saw in 2019 vanished, as he hit just four home runs over 52 games. His barrel rate (2.5%) and hard-hit percentage (26.5%) were some of the worst in the league, and he didn't even offer the token stolen base that he had chipped in during previous seasons. This is a scenario where McNeil's value to any particular fantasy manager will depend on the weight he or she gives to the shortened 2020 season. Given that McNeil never hit the ball particularly hard anyway, though, a good bet is to assume he at least returns to the high teens in home runs, slightly below his 2019 pace. With his strong average and multi-position eligibility, that makes McNeil an asset in the middle rounds.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Hayes came up through the minors as a glove-first prospect before erupting onto the major league scene by hitting 376/.442/.582 in a 24-game sample. His 92.8 mph average exit velocity and 55.4% hard-hit rate both would've ranked within the top-15 of baseball if he had the playing time to qualify. Hayes still hits more ground balls than I'd like, but he's talented enough to continue adjusting and is already a very different hitter than he was in 2019. Hayes might not hit 25+ homers but fantasy managers can expect a high average with a lot of doubles. Early-career Manny Machado is my best comparison for him.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  Hayes had an outstanding 24-game run with the Pirates last year, hitting five home runs with an 1.124 OPS and a 55.4% hard-hit rate, which would have ranked seventh best in the majors had he had enough plate appearances. But that was far more offensve production than he had shown in the minors, where he totaled just a .752 OPS with 25 home runs in 461 career games. Hayes makes a ton of contact and should bat near the top of the Pirates order this year, so even if he regresses some offensively, he should still find enough counting stats to be useful. But don't expect 2020's power levels.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Ke'Bryan Hayes busted onto the scene once he was promoted to the majors. He slashed .376/.442/.682 with five home runs, 11 RBI, 17 runs scored and one stolen base across 95 plate appearances in 2020. The 24-year-old is expected to be the Pirates primary third baseman and hit in the top of the order. Hayes stole 25 bases in the minors from 2018-2019 and is a threat for double digit steals. Hayes will look to build on his 2020 campaign and could produce a 20-10 season for fantasy managers in 2021.
Brad Camara - FantasyPros