Who Should I Draft?

Jesus Aguilar or Justin Turner (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Justin Turner
3B - LAD
Justin Turner
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
32 of 59 experts
46%
Recommended by
27 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 58# 54
Best Rank# 36# 28
Worst Rank# 131# 192
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 88# 78
Best Rank# 83# 75
Worst Rank# 115# 85
   
Projections 
   
Runs7877
Home Runs2031
RBI7895
Stolen Bases40
Batting Average.296.260
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 62# 68
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 52# 66
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 36# 42
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 52# 61
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 58# 132
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 38# 60
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 52# 60
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 57
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 63# 65
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 56# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 67# 89
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 57# 58
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 67# 88
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 40# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 72# 73
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 50# 53
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 53# 66
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 49# 192
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 54# 61
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 62# 63
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 52# 60
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 75
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 59
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 48# 65
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 60# 66
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 48# 68
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 63# 75
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 53# 57
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 51# 79
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 41# 67
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 56# 61
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 54# 56
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 80# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 81# 29
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 54# 35
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 49# 35
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 59# 36
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 64# 38
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 61# 39
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 58# 41
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 53# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 79# 44
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 77# 44
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 73# 45
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 84# 51
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 59# 52
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 54# 52
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 72# 52
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 56# 53
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 73# 54
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 87# 54
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 63# 55
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 57# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 62# 59
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 83# 65
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 74# 65
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 131# 66
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 72# 71
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 80# 76
   
  Justin Turner
3B - LAD
Justin Turner
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats365492
   
Runs6280
   
Hits114135
   
Singles6875
   
Doubles3125
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs1435
   
RBI52108
   
Stolen Bases20
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks4758
   
Strikeouts54143
   
Batting Average.312.274
   
On Base Pct.406.352
   
Slugging Pct.518.539
   
On-base Plus Slugging.924.890
   
  Justin Turner
3B - LAD
Justin Turner
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats504520
   
Runs7877
   
Hits149135
   
Singles9578
   
Doubles3425
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs2031
   
RBI7895
   
Stolen Bases40
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks5755
   
Strikeouts77147
   
Batting Average.296.260
   
On Base Pct.368.330
   
Slugging Pct.490.492
   
On-base Plus Slugging.857.822
   
  Justin Turner
3B - LAD
Justin Turner
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
News 
 Justin Turner went 0-for-2 with two walks in the Dodgers' win over the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Aug 22nd
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, two total RBI and two runs scored in Sunday's win over the Marlins.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 4th
 Justin Turner went 2-for-5 with a solo homer in the Dodgers' 8-3 win over the Braves on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 17th
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-3 and scored two runs against the Red Sox in his first game as a Ray on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Aug 2nd
 Justin Turner went 3-for-5 with a solo homer in the Dodgers' 9-1 win over the Marlins on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Aug 15th
Brewers first baseman Jesus Aguilar has been traded to the Tampa Bay Rays in exchange for pitcher Jake Faria, according to MLB insider Jeff Passan on Twitter
Mike Maher
Wed, Jul 31st
 Justin Turner went 2-for-4 with 2 home runs and 3 RBI vs. the Diamondbacks on Sunday.
Chris Chen
Mon, Aug 12th
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a walk, a run scored, and a double Monday against the Reds.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Jul 23rd
 Justin Turner singled once in four at-bats as the Dodgers beat the Cardinals 2-1 on Wednesday afternoon.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 7th
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-5 with an RBI double and a run scored in Saturday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Jul 14th
Notes 
 Turner has played more than 130 games just once in his eight-year career, but he's been consistently excellent when he's on the field. If you pro-rate his stats over a full season, you are typically looking at 25 home runs and 90 RBIs. Most importantly, with a batting average of at least .312 in three of the last five seasons, Turner is on the very short list of players who are capable of winning the batting title. His value gets a big boost in leagues with daily lineups and/or multiple DL spots -- he is highly underrated in those formats.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After hitting .265 with 16 HRs in 279 at-bats in 2017, Aguilar got the chance to be a full-time player in 2018, and took advantage to the sweet tune of a .274/80/35/108 line that made him a top-three first baseman in standard 5x5 roto leagues. Aguilar is a zero on the base paths and he strikes out too much to be of much help in batting average, either, but the power is very real and his run production numbers should continue to be excellent in a loaded lineup and great home park. Call Aguilar a HR/RBI specialist if you must, but at least recognize that he is one of the better HR/RBI specialists in the game.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 An underrated stud when healthy, Turner has touted a higher wRC+ (141) than Paul Goldschmidt, Giancarlo Stanton, Nolan Arenado, and Manny Machado in the past three seasons. He has hit .300/.383/.512 over that time frame, but the games played (150, 130, 103) keeps trending downward. A mere return to 130 would make him a steal beyond the top-100 picks, especially in a shallower league where investors have an easier time filling in the injury gaps on the waiver wire.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Aguilar is currently being drafted ahead of players like Scooter Gennett, Eddie Rosario, Justin Upton, Josh Donaldson, and A.J. Pollock. He may have put together a great first half, but once pitchers built a book on him, his last 60 games saw him hit just .245 with 27 homers. His consensus projections aren't much higher, at 30 homers and a .258 batting average. You can find production like that off the waiver wire at first base, and while there is a chance he returns to first-half form, you may be better off waiting 170 picks and grabbing a similar player like C.J. Cron.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Batting average is difficult to come by after the first four or five rounds, but then there is Turner, who over the last five seasons, has racked up a .305 batting average which beats out plays like Trout, Yelich and Freeman. There isn't a ton in the way of homers or steals, but he won't hurt you in any category unless he deals with yet another injury. For that reason, he is a bit risky.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Aguilar's breakout may have seemed to come out of nowhere, but it was only the playing time that was particularly surprising. After slugging .505 in a short-end platoon role in 2017, he supplanted Eric Thames to pop 35 homers with a 134 wRC+ in a full-time role. All the hard hits and a high launch angle say the power is legit, but his contract skills don't support a .274 hitter. Drafters are naturally dubious of playing for a late bloomer's career year, but Milwaukee's starting first baseman shouldn't fall off a cliff entirely. He should at least remain good for a .250, 30-homer campaign.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros