Who Should I Draft?

Jesus Aguilar or Justin Upton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
33 of 59 experts
44%
Recommended by
26 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 60# 55
Best Rank# 33# 28
Worst Rank# 121# 192
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 94# 78
Best Rank# 77# 75
Worst Rank# 132# 85
   
Projections 
   
Runs8277
Home Runs2931
RBI8895
Stolen Bases80
Batting Average.253.260
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertDTDMiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 43# 44
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 46# 66
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 55# 61
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 49# 132
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 65# 71
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 49# 60
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 56# 60
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 62# 76
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 64# 65
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 51# 56
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 55# 89
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 42# 58
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 71# 88
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 61# 73
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 52# 53
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 46# 66
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 38# 192
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 58# 63
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 35# 60
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 62# 75
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 48# 54
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 53# 59
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 65
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 60# 68
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 43# 55
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 44# 65
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 55# 75
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 63
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 46# 57
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 63# 79
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 48# 67
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 55# 61
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 44# 52
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 40# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 65# 29
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 87# 35
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 43# 35
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 66# 36
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 73# 38
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 69# 39
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 106# 41
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 78# 42
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 118# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 108# 44
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 54# 44
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 54# 45
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 56# 51
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 77# 52
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 61# 52
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 54# 53
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 96# 54
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 72# 56
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 67# 57
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 61# 59
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 67# 60
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 65
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 121# 66
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 95# 66
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 73# 68
   
  Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats533492
   
Runs8080
   
Hits137135
   
Singles8875
   
Doubles1825
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs3035
   
RBI85108
   
Stolen Bases80
   
Caught Stealing20
   
Walks6458
   
Strikeouts176143
   
Batting Average.257.274
   
On Base Pct.344.352
   
Slugging Pct.463.539
   
On-base Plus Slugging.808.890
   
  Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats535520
   
Runs8277
   
Hits135135
   
Singles8078
   
Doubles2525
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs2931
   
RBI8895
   
Stolen Bases80
   
Caught Stealing30
   
Walks6355
   
Strikeouts171147
   
Batting Average.253.260
   
On Base Pct.332.330
   
Slugging Pct.469.492
   
On-base Plus Slugging.802.822
   
  Justin Upton
LF,DH - LAA
Justin Upton
Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
News 
 Justin Upton (knee) received a PRP injection Friday and will be on crutches for two or three weeks.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 22nd
Jesus Aguilar hit a two-run homer in his only at-bat in Tuesday's loss to the Dodgers.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
 Justin Upton (knee) will not play again this season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 14th
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and another RBI in Friday's victory over the Angels.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Justin Upton underwent an MRI on his right knee Wednesday.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 12th
Jesus Aguilar went 1-for-3 with a three-run home run Friday against the Indians.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 31st
 Justin Upton went 0-for-2 with a walk in Tuesday's 8-0 loss to the Indians.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 11th
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, two total RBI and two runs scored in Sunday's win over the Marlins.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 4th
 Justin Upton went 2-for-4 with a double and three RBI in Thursday's 10-6 loss to the Athletics.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 5th
Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-3 and scored two runs against the Red Sox in his first game as a Ray on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Aug 2nd
Notes 
 Erratic over the course of a season, Upton is consistent on a year-to-year basis. Even if he never lived out Ken Griffey Jr. comparisons, the outfielder has logged over 600 plate appearances in each of the last eight seasons with at least 30 homers in the last three. A rise in ground balls and fall in fly balls, however, puts that streak in jeopardy. So does a toe injury that will likely send him to the IL to start 2019. That's a big blow since stability was a major driving force in drafting Upton.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
After hitting .265 with 16 HRs in 279 at-bats in 2017, Aguilar got the chance to be a full-time player in 2018, and took advantage to the sweet tune of a .274/80/35/108 line that made him a top-three first baseman in standard 5x5 roto leagues. Aguilar is a zero on the base paths and he strikes out too much to be of much help in batting average, either, but the power is very real and his run production numbers should continue to be excellent in a loaded lineup and great home park. Call Aguilar a HR/RBI specialist if you must, but at least recognize that he is one of the better HR/RBI specialists in the game.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Upton is the definition of a boring-but-reliable fantasy producer, with six straight seasons of at least 26 HRs, eight stolen bases, solid run production, and a middling batting average. In a good year, he might hit 35 HRs, bat .280, or swipe 20 bags, but the safe expectation is that he will go around .250-30-10, which is still quite useful in fantasy leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Aguilar is currently being drafted ahead of players like Scooter Gennett, Eddie Rosario, Justin Upton, Josh Donaldson, and A.J. Pollock. He may have put together a great first half, but once pitchers built a book on him, his last 60 games saw him hit just .245 with 27 homers. His consensus projections aren't much higher, at 30 homers and a .258 batting average. You can find production like that off the waiver wire at first base, and while there is a chance he returns to first-half form, you may be better off waiting 170 picks and grabbing a similar player like C.J. Cron.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Upton is one of the only players with at least 30 homers in each of the last three seasons. You can also bank on 80+ RBIs and runs, and while his stolen bases have come down over the years, 10 is a good bet once again. Upton's batting average won't help you, but it should be enough to warrant a sixth round pick in standard leagues.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Aguilar's breakout may have seemed to come out of nowhere, but it was only the playing time that was particularly surprising. After slugging .505 in a short-end platoon role in 2017, he supplanted Eric Thames to pop 35 homers with a 134 wRC+ in a full-time role. All the hard hits and a high launch angle say the power is legit, but his contract skills don't support a .274 hitter. Drafters are naturally dubious of playing for a late bloomer's career year, but Milwaukee's starting first baseman shouldn't fall off a cliff entirely. He should at least remain good for a .250, 30-homer campaign.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros