Who Should I Draft?

Jesus Aguilar or Matt Chapman (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
Matt Chapman
3B - OAK
Matt Chapman
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
38 of 59 experts
36%
Recommended by
21 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 55# 64
Best Rank# 28# 29
Worst Rank# 192# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 78# 103
Best Rank# 75# 86
Worst Rank# 85# 111
   
Projections 
   
Runs7790
Home Runs3127
RBI9582
Stolen Bases03
Batting Average.260.257
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertMiLB-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 68# 82
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 65
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 57
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 29# 70
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 35# 73
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 42# 53
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 103
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 51# 74
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 45# 62
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 60# 73
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 86
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 35# 63
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 60# 77
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 52# 55
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 77
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 66# 68
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 65# 67
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 56# 68
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 60# 64
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 58# 65
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 65
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 44# 64
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 53# 58
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 66# 73
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 41# 50
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 54# 69
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 59# 61
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 65# 73
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 44# 87
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 68# 80
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 55# 65
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 63# 69
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 57# 69
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 38# 77
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 39# 64
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 36# 117
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 61# 73
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 56# 65
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 43# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 52# 48
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 59# 55
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 60# 56
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 61# 59
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 63# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 65# 64
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 65# 63
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 66# 59
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 66# 29
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 67# 55
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 71# 69
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 73# 65
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 75# 71
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 75# 66
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 76# 68
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 79# 67
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 88# 84
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 89# 68
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 132# 39
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 192# 60
   
  Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
Matt Chapman
3B - OAK
Matt Chapman
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats492547
   
Runs80100
   
Hits135152
   
Singles7580
   
Doubles2542
   
Triples06
   
Home Runs3524
   
RBI10868
   
Stolen Bases01
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks5858
   
Strikeouts143146
   
Batting Average.274.278
   
On Base Pct.352.356
   
Slugging Pct.539.508
   
On-base Plus Slugging.890.864
   
  Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
Matt Chapman
3B - OAK
Matt Chapman
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats520558
   
Runs7790
   
Hits135144
   
Singles7875
   
Doubles2536
   
Triples15
   
Home Runs3127
   
RBI9582
   
Stolen Bases03
   
Caught Stealing03
   
Walks5559
   
Strikeouts147157
   
Batting Average.260.257
   
On Base Pct.330.328
   
Slugging Pct.492.487
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.816
   
  Jesus Aguilar
1B - TB
Jesus Aguilar
Matt Chapman
3B - OAK
Matt Chapman
News 
 Jesus Aguilar hit a two-run homer in his only at-bat in Tuesday's loss to the Dodgers.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
Matt Chapman went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run and a walk in Thursday's 3-1 win over the Mariners.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 27th
 Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and another RBI in Friday's victory over the Angels.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
Matt Chapman went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run in Wednesday's 3-2 win over the Angels.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 26th
 Jesus Aguilar went 1-for-3 with a three-run home run Friday against the Indians.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 31st
Matt Chapman went 0-for-3 with two walks and two runs scored in Friday's 8-0 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 21st
 Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, two total RBI and two runs scored in Sunday's win over the Marlins.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 4th
Matt Chapman went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Sunday's 6-1 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 16th
 Jesus Aguilar went 2-for-3 and scored two runs against the Red Sox in his first game as a Ray on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Aug 2nd
Matt Chapman went 1-for-4 with a three-run home run in Saturday's 8-6 win over the Rangers.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 15th
Notes 
 After hitting .265 with 16 HRs in 279 at-bats in 2017, Aguilar got the chance to be a full-time player in 2018, and took advantage to the sweet tune of a .274/80/35/108 line that made him a top-three first baseman in standard 5x5 roto leagues. Aguilar is a zero on the base paths and he strikes out too much to be of much help in batting average, either, but the power is very real and his run production numbers should continue to be excellent in a loaded lineup and great home park. Call Aguilar a HR/RBI specialist if you must, but at least recognize that he is one of the better HR/RBI specialists in the game.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
While it may be appealing to draft incredible real-life players, there is a major difference between fringe AL MVP candidate and top 80 fantasy baseball player. Chapman's defensive prowess doesn't transfer over, unfortunately, so rather, we are looking at a mediocre power hitter with some batting average concerns.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Aguilar is currently being drafted ahead of players like Scooter Gennett, Eddie Rosario, Justin Upton, Josh Donaldson, and A.J. Pollock. He may have put together a great first half, but once pitchers built a book on him, his last 60 games saw him hit just .245 with 27 homers. His consensus projections aren't much higher, at 30 homers and a .258 batting average. You can find production like that off the waiver wire at first base, and while there is a chance he returns to first-half form, you may be better off waiting 170 picks and grabbing a similar player like C.J. Cron.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Chapman didn't hit quite as many homers in 2018 as fantasy owners may have hoped, after displaying 30-HR power in the minors. But he made up for it with much lower strikeout rate than he had in the minors, riding that and a .338 BABIP to a .278 batting average and even 100 runs scored. The high BABIP all but ensures that Chapman's batting average will fall in 2019, but if he's able to keep the strikeouts in check he could be more of a .260 hitter than a .240 one. He also still has clear 30 HR potential if he can just elevate the ball more -- his 40.3 percent ground ball rate last year was much higher than he ever had in the minors.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Aguilar's breakout may have seemed to come out of nowhere, but it was only the playing time that was particularly surprising. After slugging .505 in a short-end platoon role in 2017, he supplanted Eric Thames to pop 35 homers with a 134 wRC+ in a full-time role. All the hard hits and a high launch angle say the power is legit, but his contract skills don't support a .274 hitter. Drafters are naturally dubious of playing for a late bloomer's career year, but Milwaukee's starting first baseman shouldn't fall off a cliff entirely. He should at least remain good for a .250, 30-homer campaign.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Although he underwent offseason surgery, Chapman is expected to be ready by Oakland's season opener in Tokyo on March 20. Fantasy investors don't reap the rewards of his Gold Glove at third, and typical five-by-five gamers didn't fully benefit from his 42 doubles. Yet those strengths led to a steadfast starting role and 100 runs scored. Having towered as many as 36 homers in a minor league season, he could expand upon last season's 23. He also make quiet contact gains to support his .278 batting average, so even if Chapman doesn't take another step further, he also won't regress as much as most projections expect.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros