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Who Should I Draft?

Jesus Luzardo or Chris Paddack (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
29 of 51 experts
43%
Recommended by
22 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 34
Best Rank# 20# 17
Worst Rank# 66# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 101# 97
Best Rank# 85# 89
Worst Rank# 112# 116
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts144146
Wins910
Saves00
ERA3.733.89
WHIP1.211.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 32# 41
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 30# 35
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 38# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 64
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 37
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 28# 41
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 34# 43
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 24# 31
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 20# 35
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 38# 50
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 35# 52
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 34# 36
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 27# 44
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 29# 35
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 24# 42
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 34
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 33# 36
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 38# 43
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 29# 39
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 35# 39
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 24# 62
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 45# 51
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 23# 32
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 33# 34
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 66# 67
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 29# 30
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 28# 32
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 35# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 29# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 31# 30
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 29
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 36# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 37# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 38# 35
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 38# 27
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 35
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 39# 30
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 40# 29
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 41# 34
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 42# 34
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 43# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 43
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 46# 38
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 46# 28
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 40
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 50# 49
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 51# 24
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 57# 39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started912
   
Innings Pitched59.259.2
   
Wins34
   
Losses25
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5760
   
Earned Runs2531
   
Home Runs Allowed914
   
Strikeouts5958
   
Walks1712
   
ERA3.814.73
   
WHIP1.251.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2726
   
Games Started2626
   
Innings Pitched141.6139.4
   
Wins910
   
Losses77
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130127
   
Earned Runs5960
   
Home Runs Allowed1922
   
Strikeouts144146
   
Walks4131
   
ERA3.733.89
   
WHIP1.211.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
News 
 Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on six hits and four walks while striking out two over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Monday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Sep 21st
Chris Paddack (elbow) has been shut down for the remainder of the 2021 season by the Padres.
Chris Schommer
Mon, Sep 27th
 Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed four earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out just one over 4 1/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 15th
Padres pitcher Chris Paddack has been placed on the 10-day IL with inflammation in his right elbow. The move is retroactive to Sept. 12, meaning Paddack will be eligible to return on Sept. 22.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
 Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed two earned runs on two hits and four walks while striking out eight over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Mets on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 10th
Chris Paddack went six innings on Sunday, allowing three earned runs on six hits. He didn't walk any batters but he also didn't record a strikeout.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 6th
 Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed three earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out three over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Sep 4th
Chris Paddack went 4.2 innings on Monday, allowing one earned run on three hits and no walks. He also struck out five batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Aug 31st
 Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on 10 hits and one walk while striking out three over 4 2/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Aug 25th
Padres RHP Chris Paddack (oblique) will return from the IL for Monday's start against the Diamondbacks.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 30th
Notes 
 Luzardo's 2020 campaign wasn't terrible, but it certainly left fantasy managers wanting more. The strikeouts were there, but not quite at the level that was expected. He rarely went deep into games. And he was just more hittable than he ever was in the minors or in his brief time as a reliever in 2019. Luzardo throws four quality pitches and is working to improve his arsenal as we head into the 2021 season, so there's little reason to downgrade your opinion of him too much from where it was prior to the 2020 campaign because of one nine-start stretch. He's an incredibly high-upside pitcher who carries with him plenty of injury risk, and the combination leaves him as a solid SP3 for fantasy leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Paddack followed up his stellar rookie campaign with a subpar sophomore season, as his ERA rose to 4.73 and his WHIP to 1.22, while his strikeout rate dipped below one per inning. Paddack's bread and butter changeup was as good as ever in 2020 (and even better than in 2019), but his usually outstanding fastball just fell apart. After batters hit .204 with a .391 slugging percentage and .275 wOBA against the pitch in 2019, they hit .308 with a .658 slugging percentage and .407 wOBA against it in 2020. Paddack added a cutter in 2020, and it's possible that the addition of the pitch impacted the way he threw his fastball, as the vertical movement of it fell significantly. Either way, Paddack has too much talent to see his ERA hover around 5.00. There's risk given what we saw last year, but it's baked into his draft price.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros