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Who Should I Draft?

Jesus Luzardo or Joe Musgrove (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Expert
Recommendation
67%
Recommended by
34 of 51 experts
33%
Recommended by
17 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 38
Best Rank# 20# 16
Worst Rank# 66# 77
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 101# 130
Best Rank# 85# 115
Worst Rank# 112# 140
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts144158
Wins911
Saves00
ERA3.733.92
WHIP1.211.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 32# 34
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 30# 56
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 39# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 42
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 36# 42
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 28# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 38# 51
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 24# 29
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 20# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 38# 61
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 34# 40
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 27# 37
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 37# 39
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 29# 38
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 24# 40
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 40
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 57
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 42# 54
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 77
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 33# 40
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 38# 45
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 55
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 31# 55
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 35# 44
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 29# 43
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 38# 52
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 24# 34
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 45# 66
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 23# 43
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 33# 38
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 29# 38
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 28# 43
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 29# 26
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 34# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 35# 33
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 35# 29
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 19
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 38# 31
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 40# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 41# 39
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 43# 33
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 46# 28
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 46# 16
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 50# 37
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 51# 43
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 57# 38
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 66# 30
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played128
   
Games Started98
   
Innings Pitched59.240.1
   
Wins31
   
Losses25
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5733
   
Earned Runs2517
   
Home Runs Allowed95
   
Strikeouts5955
   
Walks1716
   
ERA3.813.86
   
WHIP1.251.24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2729
   
Games Started2629
   
Innings Pitched141.6154.4
   
Wins911
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130145
   
Earned Runs5967
   
Home Runs Allowed1921
   
Strikeouts144158
   
Walks4139
   
ERA3.733.92
   
WHIP1.211.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
News 
 Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on six hits and four walks while striking out two over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Monday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Sep 21st
Joe Musgrove went just 5.2 innings on Tuesday, allowing five earned runs on eight hits and three walks. He did salvage some of his day with six strikeouts and two hits of his own in the game.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed four earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out just one over 4 1/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 15th
Joe Musgrove went six innings on Friday, allowing three earned runs on four hits and five walks. He did still manage to strike out seven batters though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Sep 11th
 Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed two earned runs on two hits and four walks while striking out eight over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Mets on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 10th
Joe Musgrove went 5.1 inning on Saturday, allowing two earned runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out four batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
 Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed three earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out three over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Sep 4th
Joe Musgrove only allowed three hits and two walks in his nine innings of work while also striking out nine batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Aug 28th
 Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on 10 hits and one walk while striking out three over 4 2/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Aug 25th
Joe Musgrove pitched six innings of one-run ball, allowing three hits and two walks while striking out nine batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Aug 22nd
Notes 
 Luzardo's 2020 campaign wasn't terrible, but it certainly left fantasy managers wanting more. The strikeouts were there, but not quite at the level that was expected. He rarely went deep into games. And he was just more hittable than he ever was in the minors or in his brief time as a reliever in 2019. Luzardo throws four quality pitches and is working to improve his arsenal as we head into the 2021 season, so there's little reason to downgrade your opinion of him too much from where it was prior to the 2020 campaign because of one nine-start stretch. He's an incredibly high-upside pitcher who carries with him plenty of injury risk, and the combination leaves him as a solid SP3 for fantasy leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Musgrove has been a popular sleeper the last two seasons and now that he's been traded to the Padres, his ADP is surely going to rise. In 2019, Musgrove continued to improve as a pitcher, upping his strikeout rate and adding velocity. But his 2020 season looked like a step back, until he returned from the IL strong, including finishing his season with back-to-back scoreless outings while getting back some of the lost zip on his fastball. Overall, Musgrove's 2020 numbers suggest a breakout waiting to happen, as he built significantly on his gains in 2019, increasing his strikeout rate to 33.1%. His chances for wins should improve dramatically in San Diego, and he's a fine fourth starter with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Over his final four starts of the 2020 season Musgrove posted an exceptional 34:5 K:BB ratio in just 22 innings. In 34 starts from the beginning of 2019 through August 2020 his swinging strike rate sat at 11.9%. In September 2020 that figure jumped to 16.3%. So here we are again. Musgrove is an annual breakout candidate among fantasy analysts, and last year's hot finish combined with the move to San Diego won't temper expectations at all. Musgrove is an upside starting pitcher option come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros