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Who Should I Draft?

Jesus Luzardo or Lance McCullers Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - OAK
Jesus Luzardo
Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
15 of 22 experts
32%
Recommended by
7 of 22 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 36# 43
Best Rank# 20# 27
Worst Rank# 64# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 101# 125
Best Rank# 85# 116
Worst Rank# 113# 136
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts146158
Wins910
Saves00
ERA3.663.75
WHIP1.221.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 43# 50
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 53
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 45
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 35# 56
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 36# 45
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 38# 43
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 37# 43
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 47
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 34# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 46
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 28# 35
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 32# 67
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 48# 51
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 29# 50
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 32# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 27
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 36# 29
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 38# 36
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 40
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 47# 45
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 48# 45
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 64# 38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - OAK
Jesus Luzardo
Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1211
   
Games Started911
   
Innings Pitched59.255.1
   
Wins33
   
Losses23
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5744
   
Earned Runs2524
   
Home Runs Allowed95
   
Strikeouts5956
   
Walks1720
   
ERA3.813.93
   
WHIP1.251.16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - OAK
Jesus Luzardo
Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2627
   
Games Started2527
   
Innings Pitched144.1149.7
   
Wins910
   
Losses77
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed132132
   
Earned Runs5962
   
Home Runs Allowed1917
   
Strikeouts146158
   
Walks4453
   
ERA3.663.75
   
WHIP1.221.24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - OAK
Jesus Luzardo
Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
News 
 Jesus Luzardo's velocity impresses A's manager Bob Melvin.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Feb 23rd
According to Brian McTaggart, Lance McCullers Jr. and the Astros agree to a $6.5 million deal and avoid arbitration. He's coming off a solid 2020 campaign.
Corbin Young
Fri, Jan 15th
Notes 
 9.5 - 3.50 - 1.20
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
McCullers made a successful return from Tommy John surgery after missing the 2019 season and looked almost exactly like the 2018 version of himself. His ERA (3.93) and WHIP (1.16) were within seven-tenths of a point of his 2018 numbers, and his walk and strikeout rates fell just slightly. McCullers relied a bit more on his sinker and less on his curveball than in past years, but the two work well together and he continued to throw them in combination about 80% of the time. In short, what you thought of McCullers heading into 2018 is pretty much what you should think of him now. Unfortunately, that includes concerns about his innings, because after a missed year and 55 innings last year, the chances of him topping 150 innings this season are remote. Buy him at his production, but understand that there's likely a hard cap on his innings total.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Luzardo's 2020 campaign wasn't terrible, but it certainly left fantasy managers wanting more. The strikeouts were there, but not quite at the level that was expected. He rarely went deep into games. And he was just more hittable than he ever was in the minors or in his brief time as a reliever in 2019. Luzardo throws four quality pitches and is working to improve his arsenal as we head into the 2021 season, so there's little reason to downgrade your opinion of him too much from where it was prior to the 2020 campaign because of one nine-start stretch. He's an incredibly high-upside pitcher who carries with him plenty of injury risk, and the combination leaves him as a solid SP3 for fantasy leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros