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Who Should I Draft?

Jesus Luzardo or Patrick Corbin (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - OAK
Jesus Luzardo
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
16 of 22 experts
27%
Recommended by
6 of 22 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 37# 44
Best Rank# 20# 26
Worst Rank# 64# 102
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 101# 127
Best Rank# 85# 102
Worst Rank# 112# 140
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts146192
Wins912
Saves00
ERA3.693.96
WHIP1.231.30
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 39
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 40
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 76
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 35# 43
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 53# 58
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 36# 44
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 38# 44
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 37# 59
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 28
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 34# 35
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 26# 52
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 36# 61
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 28# 102
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 38# 46
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 28# 57
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 32# 45
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 29# 28
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 43# 40
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 42
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 47# 32
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 48# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 64# 26
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - OAK
Jesus Luzardo
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1211
   
Games Started911
   
Innings Pitched59.266.3
   
Wins32
   
Losses27
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5785
   
Earned Runs2534
   
Home Runs Allowed910
   
Strikeouts5960
   
Walks1718
   
ERA3.814.66
   
WHIP1.251.57
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - OAK
Jesus Luzardo
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2631
   
Games Started2531
   
Innings Pitched144.2185.8
   
Wins912
   
Losses710
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed133183
   
Earned Runs5982
   
Home Runs Allowed2026
   
Strikeouts146192
   
Walks4458
   
ERA3.693.96
   
WHIP1.231.30
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - OAK
Jesus Luzardo
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
News 
 Jesus Luzardo's velocity impresses A's manager Bob Melvin.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Feb 23rd
 
Notes 
 Luzardo's 2020 campaign wasn't terrible, but it certainly left fantasy managers wanting more. The strikeouts were there, but not quite at the level that was expected. He rarely went deep into games. And he was just more hittable than he ever was in the minors or in his brief time as a reliever in 2019. Luzardo throws four quality pitches and is working to improve his arsenal as we head into the 2021 season, so there's little reason to downgrade your opinion of him too much from where it was prior to the 2020 campaign because of one nine-start stretch. He's an incredibly high-upside pitcher who carries with him plenty of injury risk, and the combination leaves him as a solid SP3 for fantasy leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Corbin had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP. His strikeout rate plummeted, and his velocity dropped significantly, with his fastball seeing a dip of almost two miles per hour. Corbin leans heavily into his slider, and he needs it to be pristine to be an effective pitcher. And although it wasn't a terrible pitch in 2020, the swinging strike rate on it dropped from 28.1% to 21.2%, and the whiff rate from 52% to just 38.2%. If the loss in velocity and effectiveness of his slider were entirely due to the oddities of the shortened season, then Corbin is going to be a major value in drafts this year. But if not, then his days as a "set it and forget it" starter are likely over. Monitor Corbin's performance this spring, particularly with his velocity. If it's back up to prior levels, then push him up your board significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros